akashic
1876–2024
Key West-Key Largo, FL·Florida

Key West-Key Largo, FL peaked at D+91; 2024 delivered R+18.

Island chain where tourism economics shape ballots more than suburban sprawl

18762024·38 elections
FL
Latest
R+18
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
81,860
2024 ACS

Key West-Key Largo, FL, Florida: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+18%. Democratic peak: D+91 in 1892.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+18MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
PopulistAkashic typology
Population
81,8602024 5-year
Median household income
$87,7382024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
69.9%2024 5-year
Black
7.3%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
24.6%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+91 in 1892MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+45 in 1972MIT Election Lab
1 counties · 0 D · 1 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−18.4%
17,92326,06344,316
R
−7.9%
21,88125,69348,029
R
−6.9%
18,97121,90442,478
D
+0.4%
19,40419,23439,057
D
+4.9%
20,90718,93340,272
D
+0.5%
19,65419,46739,535
D
+1.3%
16,48716,06333,895
D
+9.8%
15,25112,07632,544
D
+1.9%
10,4509,89828,789
R
−21.9%
10,15715,92826,405
R
−35.5%
7,77416,33224,115
R
−17.1%
7,92011,64421,806
D
+14.4%
11,0798,23219,757
R
−44.6%
4,46911,68816,193
D
+3.0%
5,5345,09414,899
D
+29.7%
8,9364,84213,778
D
+34.2%
6,9723,41610,388
D
+12.9%
4,3273,3377,664
D
+25.3%
4,9412,9437,884
D
+71.3%
3,7595484,503
D
+74.6%
3,8825664,448
D
+79.7%
4,1024634,565
D
+80.5%
2,6052822,887
D
+78.8%
2,8383363,174
D
+24.5%
1,8991,1423,092
D
+46.5%
8352621,232
D
+26.8%
9795101,747
D
+26.9%
7303451,431
D
+33.2%
1,0234141,836
D
+34.6%
6302271,166
D
+35.4%
6802871,111
D
+43.9%
7472521,127
D
+9.2%
452369906
D
+91.0%
7670843
No data
R
−1.0%
8889061,794
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
Irish
11.2%
German
10.9%
English
10.4%
Italian
5.9%
American
5.9%
Polish
2.7%
French
2.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
77.8%
speak English only
Spanish16.9%
Other Indo-European4.4%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.7%
Other languages0.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
33.8%
Other Christian
8.8%
Methodist
3.4%
Baptist
2.9%
Mainline Protestant
1.7%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.1%
Non-Christian
0.5%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 47.8% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Monroe County's economy runs almost entirely on hospitality and marine industries, drawing a transient workforce and retiree mix that produces competitive margins in federal races despite Florida's broader statewide trends.

The Democratic margin in Key West-Key Largo, FL peaked at ninety-one points in 1892. By 2016 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was eighteen points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.

The economic context is the key. The median household income of $87,738 sits well below state and national norms, and 11% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Key West-Key Largo, FL, Florida — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/28580/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Key West-Key Largo, FL, Florida vote in 2024?
In 2024, Key West-Key Largo, FL, Florida voted Republican by 18.4 points (R+18), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 44,316 votes cast, 17,923 went Democratic and 26,063 went Republican.
What is Key West-Key Largo, FL, Florida's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Key West-Key Largo, FL, Florida as a "Populist" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 27 times, Republican 8 times, and other 0 times.
When did Key West-Key Largo, FL, Florida last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Key West-Key Largo, FL, Florida voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Key West-Key Largo, FL, Florida?
Key West-Key Largo, FL, Florida has a population of 81,860 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Key West-Key Largo, FL, Florida?
Median household income in Key West-Key Largo, FL, Florida is $87,738 — above the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of Key West-Key Largo, FL, Florida?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Key West-Key Largo, FL, Florida from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 27 went Democratic and 8 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.