Key West-Key Largo, FL, Florida: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+18%. Democratic peak: D+91 in 1892.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+18MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 81,8602024 5-year
- Median household income
- $87,7382024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 69.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 7.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 24.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+91 in 1892MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+45 in 1972MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 17,923 | 26,063 | 44,316 | ||
| R | 21,881 | 25,693 | 48,029 | ||
| R | 18,971 | 21,904 | 42,478 | ||
| D | 19,404 | 19,234 | 39,057 | ||
| D | 20,907 | 18,933 | 40,272 | ||
| D | 19,654 | 19,467 | 39,535 | ||
| D | 16,487 | 16,063 | 33,895 | ||
| D | 15,251 | 12,076 | 32,544 | ||
| D | 10,450 | 9,898 | 28,789 | ||
| R | 10,157 | 15,928 | 26,405 | ||
| R | 7,774 | 16,332 | 24,115 | ||
| R | 7,920 | 11,644 | 21,806 | ||
| D | 11,079 | 8,232 | 19,757 | ||
| R | 4,469 | 11,688 | 16,193 | ||
| D | 5,534 | 5,094 | 14,899 | ||
| D | 8,936 | 4,842 | 13,778 | ||
| D | 6,972 | 3,416 | 10,388 | ||
| D | 4,327 | 3,337 | 7,664 | ||
| D | 4,941 | 2,943 | 7,884 | ||
| D | 3,759 | 548 | 4,503 | ||
| D | 3,882 | 566 | 4,448 | ||
| D | 4,102 | 463 | 4,565 | ||
| D | 2,605 | 282 | 2,887 | ||
| D | 2,838 | 336 | 3,174 | ||
| D | 1,899 | 1,142 | 3,092 | ||
| D | 835 | 262 | 1,232 | ||
| D | 979 | 510 | 1,747 | ||
| D | 730 | 345 | 1,431 | ||
| D | 1,023 | 414 | 1,836 | ||
| D | 630 | 227 | 1,166 | ||
| D | 680 | 287 | 1,111 | ||
| D | 747 | 252 | 1,127 | ||
| D | 452 | 369 | 906 | ||
| D | 767 | 0 | 843 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| R | 888 | 906 | 1,794 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — |
Demographics
Monroe County's economy runs almost entirely on hospitality and marine industries, drawing a transient workforce and retiree mix that produces competitive margins in federal races despite Florida's broader statewide trends.
The Democratic margin in Key West-Key Largo, FL peaked at ninety-one points in 1892. By 2016 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was eighteen points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $87,738 sits well below state and national norms, and 11% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Key West-Key Largo, FL, Florida — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/28580/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.