Kingsville, TX, Texas: Bellwether metro. In 2024, voted R+13%. Democratic peak: D+78 in 1932.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+13MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 30,5792024 5-year
- Median household income
- $61,2922024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 42.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 71.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+78 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+13 in 2024MIT Election Lab
Constituent county margins for Kingsville, TX, TXOne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 4,338 | 5,612 | 10,031 | ||
| R | 5,381 | 5,575 | 11,097 | ||
| D | 4,716 | 4,367 | 9,587 | ||
| D | 4,754 | 4,058 | 8,907 | ||
| D | 5,256 | 4,540 | 9,876 | ||
| R | 4,550 | 5,366 | 9,973 | ||
| R | 4,481 | 4,526 | 9,194 | ||
| D | 5,136 | 3,391 | 8,999 | ||
| D | 5,109 | 3,897 | 10,564 | ||
| D | 5,367 | 4,443 | 9,946 | ||
| R | 4,924 | 5,712 | 10,681 | ||
| D | 5,125 | 4,608 | 10,053 | ||
| D | 5,803 | 3,771 | 9,647 | ||
| R | 4,481 | 5,312 | 9,803 | ||
| D | 4,633 | 2,713 | 8,016 | ||
| D | 4,568 | 1,652 | 6,230 | ||
| D | 3,773 | 2,092 | 5,866 | ||
| D | 2,436 | 2,121 | 4,572 | ||
| D | 3,193 | 2,037 | 5,231 | ||
| D | 2,083 | 697 | 2,873 | ||
| D | 1,473 | 421 | 1,957 | ||
| D | 1,631 | 429 | 2,064 | ||
| D | 1,488 | 156 | 1,708 | ||
| D | 1,727 | 198 | 1,950 | ||
| R | 695 | 751 | 1,446 | ||
| D | 721 | 206 | 1,135 | ||
| D | 455 | 172 | 673 | ||
| D | 427 | 106 | 578 | ||
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Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
6.3%
English
5.8%
Irish
4.2%
American
1.9%
Scottish
0.8%
Italian
0.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 29.0 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$61,292
Kingsville, TX ranks near the middle of US counties.
Kingsville, TX$61,292
Texas$78,476
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
28.1%
Children face higher poverty than working-age adults.
Children under 1839.8%
Working age (18–64)24.4%
Seniors (65+)22.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
65.6%
speak English only
Spanish32.0%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.1%
Other Indo-European1.0%
Other languages0.3%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 37.4% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Kingsville anchors a predominantly Hispanic, rural stretch of the Coastal Bend, where Naval Air Station Kingsville and Texas A&M's local campus shape both the economy and the electorate in a region that has trended competitive in recent cycles.
The Democratic margin in Kingsville, TX has rarely exceeded seventy-eight points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded thirteen points. 2024 delivered the metro to the Republican candidate by thirteen points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most metros. A 42% non-Hispanic-white share, a 28% poverty rate, and a median household income of $61,292 — all within the broad national range.
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Kingsville, TX, Texas — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/28780/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did Kingsville, TX, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Kingsville, TX, Texas voted Republican by 12.7 points (R+13), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 10,031 votes cast, 4,338 went Democratic and 5,612 went Republican.
What is Kingsville, TX, Texas's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Kingsville, TX, Texas as a "Bellwether" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 21 times, Republican 7 times, and other 0 times.
When did Kingsville, TX, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Kingsville, TX, Texas voted Democratic was 2016.
How many people live in Kingsville, TX, Texas?
Kingsville, TX, Texas has a population of 30,579 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Kingsville, TX, Texas?
Median household income in Kingsville, TX, Texas is $61,292 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Kingsville, TX, Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Kingsville, TX, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 21 went Democratic and 7 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.