Kirksville, MO, Missouri: Bellwether metro. In 2024, voted R+38%. Republican peak: R+40 in 1972.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+38MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 29,3392024 5-year
- Median household income
- $61,4902024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 89.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+25 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+40 in 1972MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 3,668 | 8,359 | 12,236 | ||
| R | 4,083 | 8,019 | 12,339 | ||
| R | 3,854 | 7,535 | 12,162 | ||
| R | 4,916 | 6,825 | 12,065 | ||
| R | 6,510 | 7,030 | 13,854 | ||
| R | 5,832 | 7,491 | 13,435 | ||
| R | 4,909 | 7,209 | 12,558 | ||
| R | 5,298 | 5,433 | 12,330 | ||
| D | 5,168 | 4,883 | 12,810 | ||
| R | 4,584 | 6,784 | 11,414 | ||
| R | 4,260 | 7,680 | 11,940 | ||
| R | 4,621 | 6,899 | 12,081 | ||
| R | 5,101 | 6,442 | 11,753 | ||
| R | 3,277 | 7,652 | 10,929 | ||
| R | 3,614 | 5,915 | 10,289 | ||
| D | 5,684 | 4,645 | 10,329 | ||
| R | 4,521 | 7,135 | 11,656 | ||
| R | 5,066 | 6,822 | 11,888 | ||
| R | 5,019 | 7,384 | 12,443 | ||
| D | 6,028 | 5,401 | 11,478 | ||
| R | 5,335 | 6,435 | 11,805 | ||
| R | 6,811 | 7,420 | 14,314 | ||
| D | 7,488 | 6,132 | 13,756 | ||
| D | 6,862 | 4,100 | 11,132 | ||
| R | 4,638 | 7,360 | 12,057 | ||
| R | 4,782 | 5,905 | 11,775 | ||
| R | 4,327 | 6,667 | 11,515 | ||
| R | 3,616 | 3,676 | 7,624 | ||
| D | 3,002 | 2,193 | 7,134 | ||
| R | 3,214 | 3,521 | 7,194 | ||
| R | 2,826 | 3,845 | 7,142 | ||
| R | 3,515 | 3,734 | 7,555 | ||
| D | 3,903 | 3,533 | 7,495 | ||
| R | 2,302 | 2,949 | 6,365 | ||
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Demographics
Home to Truman State University, Kirksville punches above its population weight in educational attainment, yet the surrounding Adair County has shifted toward wide Republican margins over the past two decades as rural realignment reshaped the region.
The Democratic margin in Kirksville, MO has rarely exceeded twenty-five points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded forty points. 2024 delivered the metro to the Republican candidate by thirty-eight points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most metros. A 89% non-Hispanic-white share, a 20% poverty rate, and a median household income of $61,490 — all within the broad national range.
Kirksville, MO, Missouri — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/28860/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.