Kiryas Joel-Poughkeepsie-Newburgh, NY, New York: Bellwether metro. In 2024, voted R+2%. Republican peak: R+56 in 1956.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+2MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 704,8362024 5-year
- Median household income
- $98,1512024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 64.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 10.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 20.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+24 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+56 in 1956MIT Election Lab
Constituent county margins for Kiryas Joel-Poughkeepsie-Newburgh, NY, NYOne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 160,247 | 166,714 | 329,073 | ||
| D | 166,398 | 151,940 | 323,284 | ||
| R | 130,563 | 138,466 | 283,039 | ||
| D | 138,627 | 121,392 | 264,333 | ||
| D | 149,386 | 131,670 | 284,284 | ||
| R | 121,626 | 142,461 | 268,554 | ||
| R | 110,560 | 115,521 | 238,328 | ||
| D | 102,334 | 87,885 | 218,359 | ||
| R | 87,601 | 100,202 | 237,848 | ||
| R | 77,433 | 127,611 | 206,769 | ||
| R | 65,530 | 139,737 | 205,993 | ||
| R | 58,638 | 104,884 | 183,477 | ||
| R | 77,893 | 100,997 | 180,784 | ||
| R | 53,650 | 128,420 | 182,418 | ||
| R | 59,147 | 89,987 | 162,216 | ||
| D | 98,423 | 60,113 | 158,649 | ||
| R | 61,313 | 94,755 | 156,186 | ||
| R | 31,598 | 111,579 | 143,177 | ||
| R | 39,229 | 97,598 | 137,147 | ||
| R | 38,077 | 72,418 | 114,070 | ||
| R | 46,837 | 71,931 | 119,088 | ||
| R | 53,230 | 71,242 | 124,739 | ||
| R | 51,995 | 63,296 | 117,621 | ||
| R | 43,345 | 56,444 | 101,294 | ||
| R | 35,795 | 66,021 | 105,041 | ||
| R | 18,629 | 51,357 | 77,386 | ||
| R | 20,505 | 45,710 | 69,381 | ||
| R | 19,104 | 24,701 | 44,593 | ||
| R | 18,275 | 19,280 | 44,451 | ||
| R | 18,899 | 25,546 | 46,051 | ||
| R | 18,157 | 25,931 | 45,504 | ||
| R | 17,871 | 26,073 | 44,847 | ||
| R | 15,605 | 26,213 | 43,089 | ||
| R | 19,399 | 20,457 | 42,249 | ||
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Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
Irish
15.0%
Italian
14.7%
German
10.3%
English
6.0%
American
5.6%
Polish
3.4%
French
1.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 39.3 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$98,151
Kiryas Joel-Poughkeepsie-Newburgh, NY ranks near the middle of US counties.
Kiryas Joel-Poughkeepsie-Newburgh, NY$98,151
New York$85,974
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
10.8%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1813.4%
Working age (18–64)9.8%
Seniors (65+)11.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
75.7%
speak English only
Spanish12.6%
Other Indo-European9.0%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.7%
Other languages1.0%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 54.0% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
The metropolitan area spans the densely organized Haredi enclave of Kiryas Joel, where near-unanimous turnout shapes local races, and the broader mid-Hudson suburbs, where competitive margins reflect ongoing demographic and economic change.
The Democratic margin in Kiryas Joel-Poughkeepsie-Newburgh, NY has rarely exceeded twenty-four points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded fifty-six points. 2024 delivered the metro to the Republican candidate by two points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most metros. A 65% non-Hispanic-white share, a 11% poverty rate, and a median household income of $98,151 — all within the broad national range.
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Kiryas Joel-Poughkeepsie-Newburgh, NY, New York — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/28880/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did Kiryas Joel-Poughkeepsie-Newburgh, NY, New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, Kiryas Joel-Poughkeepsie-Newburgh, NY, New York voted Republican by 2.0 points (R+2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 329,073 votes cast, 160,247 went Democratic and 166,714 went Republican.
What is Kiryas Joel-Poughkeepsie-Newburgh, NY, New York's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Kiryas Joel-Poughkeepsie-Newburgh, NY, New York as a "Bellwether" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 5 times, Republican 29 times, and other 0 times.
When did Kiryas Joel-Poughkeepsie-Newburgh, NY, New York last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Kiryas Joel-Poughkeepsie-Newburgh, NY, New York voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Kiryas Joel-Poughkeepsie-Newburgh, NY, New York?
Kiryas Joel-Poughkeepsie-Newburgh, NY, New York has a population of 704,836 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Kiryas Joel-Poughkeepsie-Newburgh, NY, New York?
Median household income in Kiryas Joel-Poughkeepsie-Newburgh, NY, New York is $98,151 — above the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Kiryas Joel-Poughkeepsie-Newburgh, NY, New York?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Kiryas Joel-Poughkeepsie-Newburgh, NY, New York from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 29 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.