akashic
1876–2024
Knoxville, TN·Tennessee

Knoxville, TN delivered R+35 in 2024.

Anchor of East Tennessee's reliably Republican highland corridor

1876 — 2024·38 elections
TN
Latest
R+35
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
932,241
2024 ACS

Knoxville, TN, Tennessee: Bellwether metro. In 2024, voted R+35%. Republican peak: R+54 in 1928.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+35MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
BellwetherAkashic typology
Population
932,2412024 5-year
Median household income
$72,4722024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
84.8%2024 5-year
Black
5.4%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
5.4%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+11 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+54 in 1928MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
9 counties · 0 D · 9 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−35.4%
136,410289,889433,955
R
−31.1%
140,410270,665419,417
R
−36.2%
99,215222,902341,338
R
−35.8%
101,730218,572326,258
R
−29.6%
119,877222,750348,113
R
−26.6%
122,550212,374337,730
R
−15.7%
119,031164,296288,357
R
−4.4%
118,070129,746265,979
R
−2.4%
117,731124,272273,269
R
−26.7%
80,018138,795219,961
R
−28.0%
82,774147,515231,551
R
−19.9%
85,188129,892224,287
D
+0.7%
104,292102,769209,431
R
−44.7%
45,240120,998169,485
R
−25.8%
46,26591,091173,697
R
−1.6%
81,31083,894165,204
R
−23.2%
62,05799,831163,082
R
−23.5%
57,04292,753151,955
R
−26.0%
52,06588,688141,049
R
−14.8%
33,90546,35883,975
R
−15.1%
32,83844,56677,743
D
+6.8%
36,24531,59068,206
D
+7.7%
35,96430,78566,996
R
−7.9%
21,21924,92046,833
R
−53.6%
10,20933,90944,222
R
−32.7%
12,02724,85339,198
R
−44.3%
13,40734,89948,482
R
−32.2%
9,13617,97627,419
O
+10.9%
8,7525,85926,635
R
−35.7%
8,80318,95228,433
R
−36.0%
6,79714,80122,228
R
−30.4%
9,62418,27028,465
R
−39.5%
9,77422,84633,107
R
−25.1%
8,86415,26425,477
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Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
14.7%
American
11.7%
German
11.1%
Irish
10.5%
Scottish
2.8%
Italian
2.4%
French
1.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 40.8 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.7%
85+
1.2%
2.6%
75–84
3.1%
5.3%
65–74
5.9%
6.5%
55–64
6.8%
6.2%
45–54
6.3%
6.0%
35–44
6.2%
6.6%
25–34
6.4%
5.0%
18–24
4.7%
7.8%
5–17
7.5%
2.7%
<5
2.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$72,472
Knoxville, TN ranks near the middle of US counties.
Knoxville, TN$72,472
Tennessee$69,595
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
12.2%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1815.1%
Working age (18–64)11.6%
Seniors (65+)10.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
93.4%
speak English only
Spanish3.7%
Other Indo-European1.3%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.0%
Other languages0.6%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
26.6%
Other Christian
12.6%
Methodist
6.8%
Catholic & Orthodox
3.3%
Mainline Protestant
2.8%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.8%
Non-Christian
1.0%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 45.2% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Knoxville's metro has delivered Republican presidential margins above 30 points in recent cycles, anchored by a white working-class and college-educated suburban base that has shown little of the ticket-splitting volatility seen in Nashville or Memphis.

The Democratic margin in Knoxville, TN has rarely exceeded eleven points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded fifty-four points. 2024 delivered the metro to the Republican candidate by thirty-five points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most metros. A 85% non-Hispanic-white share, a 12% poverty rate, and a median household income of $72,472 — all within the broad national range.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Knoxville, TN, Tennessee — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/28940/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Knoxville, TN, Tennessee vote in 2024?
In 2024, Knoxville, TN, Tennessee voted Republican by 35.4 points (R+35), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 433,955 votes cast, 136,410 went Democratic and 289,889 went Republican.
What is Knoxville, TN, Tennessee's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Knoxville, TN, Tennessee as a "Bellwether" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 3 times, Republican 30 times, and other 1 times.
When did Knoxville, TN, Tennessee last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Knoxville, TN, Tennessee voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Knoxville, TN, Tennessee?
Knoxville, TN, Tennessee has a population of 932,241 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Knoxville, TN, Tennessee?
Median household income in Knoxville, TN, Tennessee is $72,472 — below the national median of $80,734. The Tennessee state median is $69,595.
What is the political history of Knoxville, TN, Tennessee?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Knoxville, TN, Tennessee from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 3 went Democratic and 30 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.