La Grande, OR, Oregon: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+40%. Democratic peak: D+47 in 1936.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+40MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 26,1442024 5-year
- Median household income
- $65,6612024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 87.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+47 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+40 in 2016MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 4,107 | 9,942 | 14,574 | ||
| R | 4,254 | 10,298 | 14,944 | ||
| R | 3,249 | 8,431 | 12,968 | ||
| R | 3,973 | 7,636 | 12,070 | ||
| R | 4,613 | 7,581 | 12,594 | ||
| R | 4,428 | 8,879 | 13,519 | ||
| R | 3,577 | 7,836 | 12,076 | ||
| R | 4,379 | 5,414 | 11,345 | ||
| R | 3,990 | 4,223 | 11,588 | ||
| R | 4,682 | 5,061 | 10,090 | ||
| R | 4,134 | 6,645 | 10,829 | ||
| R | 3,677 | 6,514 | 11,272 | ||
| R | 4,280 | 5,111 | 9,829 | ||
| R | 3,272 | 5,073 | 8,985 | ||
| R | 3,409 | 3,796 | 7,747 | ||
| D | 4,929 | 2,553 | 7,489 | ||
| D | 4,081 | 3,689 | 7,770 | ||
| D | 4,389 | 3,749 | 8,138 | ||
| R | 3,526 | 4,114 | 7,663 | ||
| D | 3,808 | 2,668 | 6,698 | ||
| D | 3,951 | 2,413 | 6,424 | ||
| D | 4,500 | 2,642 | 7,196 | ||
| D | 4,643 | 1,517 | 6,712 | ||
| D | 4,450 | 1,705 | 6,350 | ||
| R | 2,154 | 3,219 | 5,444 | ||
| R | 1,816 | 2,428 | 5,663 | ||
| R | 1,899 | 2,844 | 5,020 | ||
| D | 3,086 | 2,253 | 5,665 | ||
| O | 1,090 | 671 | 3,134 | ||
| R | 1,191 | 1,510 | 2,980 | ||
| R | 775 | 1,884 | 2,996 | ||
| D | 1,646 | 1,512 | 3,292 | ||
| D | 2,155 | 1,303 | 3,487 | ||
| O | 586 | 1,008 | 2,915 | ||
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Demographics
Anchored by Union County in the Blue Mountains corridor, La Grande leans Republican by wide margins in statewide races, reflecting the rural, agriculture-dependent economy that defines much of Oregon east of the Cascades.
The Democratic margin in La Grande, OR peaked at forty-seven points in 1936. By 1968 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was forty points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $65,661 sits well below state and national norms, and 16% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
La Grande, OR, Oregon — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/29260/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.