Las Cruces, NM, New Mexico: Democratic loyalist metro. In 2024, voted D+10%. Democratic peak: D+38 in 1936.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+10MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- Democratic loyalistAkashic typology
- Population
- 224,2662024 5-year
- Median household income
- $56,8482024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 40.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 67.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+38 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+33 in 1920MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 45,937 | 37,594 | 85,407 | ||
| D | 47,957 | 32,802 | 82,641 | ||
| D | 37,947 | 25,374 | 70,648 | ||
| D | 37,139 | 27,322 | 66,423 | ||
| D | 40,282 | 28,068 | 69,280 | ||
| D | 31,762 | 29,548 | 61,960 | ||
| D | 23,912 | 21,263 | 46,653 | ||
| D | 22,766 | 17,541 | 43,564 | ||
| D | 19,894 | 16,308 | 44,217 | ||
| R | 19,608 | 21,582 | 41,747 | ||
| R | 13,878 | 22,153 | 36,393 | ||
| R | 10,839 | 15,539 | 28,820 | ||
| R | 12,036 | 13,888 | 26,157 | ||
| R | 9,416 | 14,562 | 24,366 | ||
| R | 7,658 | 10,824 | 19,990 | ||
| D | 10,748 | 7,280 | 18,085 | ||
| D | 8,905 | 7,789 | 16,755 | ||
| R | 4,918 | 7,025 | 11,991 | ||
| R | 4,556 | 5,902 | 10,478 | ||
| D | 5,116 | 3,440 | 8,593 | ||
| D | 4,172 | 3,149 | 7,327 | ||
| D | 5,208 | 3,720 | 8,936 | ||
| D | 5,544 | 2,494 | 8,102 | ||
| D | 5,133 | 2,354 | 7,595 | ||
| R | 2,169 | 3,141 | 5,318 | ||
| R | 1,775 | 2,823 | 4,819 | ||
| R | 1,318 | 2,627 | 3,964 | ||
| R | 1,078 | 1,606 | 2,706 | ||
| R | 895 | 912 | 2,064 | ||
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Demographics
Home to New Mexico State University and roughly 60 miles from El Paso, Las Cruces blends a majority-Hispanic population with a transient student demographic, producing turnout patterns that diverge noticeably from the surrounding Doña Ana County precincts.
The Democratic margin in Las Cruces, NM reached its widest at thirty-eight points in 1936. The margin in 2024 was ten points — still decisive.
Its loyalty is rooted in its place. Median household income of $56,848, a 41% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 224,266 together describe a metro whose political habits are deeply settled.
Las Cruces, NM, New Mexico — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/29740/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.