Las Vegas, NM, New Mexico: Populist metro. In 2024, voted D+26%. Democratic peak: D+60 in 2008.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+26MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 30,9992024 5-year
- Median household income
- $49,9972024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 41.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 75.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+60 in 2008MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+15 in 1928MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 8,424 | 4,897 | 13,595 | ||
| D | 9,633 | 4,324 | 14,217 | ||
| D | 8,821 | 2,978 | 13,192 | ||
| D | 10,805 | 2,898 | 14,120 | ||
| D | 12,488 | 3,047 | 15,701 | ||
| D | 10,559 | 4,241 | 14,942 | ||
| D | 7,996 | 2,883 | 11,352 | ||
| D | 8,641 | 2,499 | 12,041 | ||
| D | 7,741 | 2,851 | 11,808 | ||
| D | 7,732 | 3,686 | 11,568 | ||
| D | 6,462 | 4,502 | 11,137 | ||
| D | 5,788 | 4,329 | 10,754 | ||
| D | 6,642 | 4,066 | 10,868 | ||
| D | 5,798 | 5,599 | 11,611 | ||
| R | 5,157 | 5,182 | 10,634 | ||
| D | 7,276 | 3,728 | 11,032 | ||
| D | 6,978 | 5,337 | 12,321 | ||
| R | 5,247 | 6,819 | 12,069 | ||
| R | 5,864 | 7,209 | 13,084 | ||
| R | 6,494 | 6,548 | 13,066 | ||
| D | 6,109 | 5,797 | 11,911 | ||
| D | 8,014 | 7,322 | 15,344 | ||
| D | 8,659 | 6,956 | 15,631 | ||
| D | 8,038 | 6,808 | 14,867 | ||
| R | 5,359 | 7,182 | 12,545 | ||
| R | 5,630 | 6,091 | 12,018 | ||
| R | 6,169 | 8,013 | 14,210 | ||
| R | 3,736 | 4,522 | 8,309 | ||
| R | 2,742 | 3,501 | 6,785 | ||
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Demographics
San Miguel County, anchored by Las Vegas, NM, has delivered Democratic margins exceeding 70% in recent presidential cycles, driven by a majority-Hispanic electorate with deep New Mexican roots dating to Spanish colonial settlement.
The Democratic margin in Las Vegas, NM peaked at sixty points in 2008. By 1972 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was twenty-six points, the most Democratic-leaning result in the metro's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $49,997 sits well below state and national norms, and 24% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Las Vegas, NM, New Mexico — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/29780/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.