akashic
1876–2024
Las Vegas, NM·New Mexico

Las Vegas, NM was solidly Democratic for decades. In the last twenty years, it flipped.

A high-desert county seat where Hispanic heritage shapes the ballot box

18762024·38 elections
NM
Latest
D+26
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
30,999
2024 ACS

Las Vegas, NM, New Mexico: Populist metro. In 2024, voted D+26%. Democratic peak: D+60 in 2008.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+26MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
PopulistAkashic typology
Population
30,9992024 5-year
Median household income
$49,9972024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
41.2%2024 5-year
Black
1.6%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
75.0%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+60 in 2008MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+15 in 1928MIT Election Lab
2 counties · 2 D · 0 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+25.9%
8,4244,89713,595
D
+37.3%
9,6334,32414,217
D
+44.3%
8,8212,97813,192
D
+56.0%
10,8052,89814,120
D
+60.1%
12,4883,04715,701
D
+42.3%
10,5594,24114,942
D
+45.0%
7,9962,88311,352
D
+51.0%
8,6412,49912,041
D
+41.4%
7,7412,85111,808
D
+35.0%
7,7323,68611,568
D
+17.6%
6,4624,50211,137
D
+13.6%
5,7884,32910,754
D
+23.7%
6,6424,06610,868
D
+1.7%
5,7985,59911,611
R
−0.2%
5,1575,18210,634
D
+32.2%
7,2763,72811,032
D
+13.3%
6,9785,33712,321
R
−13.0%
5,2476,81912,069
R
−10.3%
5,8647,20913,084
R
−0.4%
6,4946,54813,066
D
+2.6%
6,1095,79711,911
D
+4.5%
8,0147,32215,344
D
+10.9%
8,6596,95615,631
D
+8.3%
8,0386,80814,867
R
−14.5%
5,3597,18212,545
R
−3.8%
5,6306,09112,018
R
−13.0%
6,1698,01314,210
R
−9.5%
3,7364,5228,309
R
−11.2%
2,7423,5016,785
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
5.6%
German
5.5%
English
4.0%
Irish
3.3%
French
1.5%
Italian
1.5%
Scottish
0.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
54.1%
speak English only
Spanish44.4%
Other languages0.8%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.4%
Other Indo-European0.3%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
74.7%
Other Christian
4.4%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.1%
Baptist
1.0%
Mainline Protestant
0.9%
Methodist
0.2%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 17.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

San Miguel County, anchored by Las Vegas, NM, has delivered Democratic margins exceeding 70% in recent presidential cycles, driven by a majority-Hispanic electorate with deep New Mexican roots dating to Spanish colonial settlement.

The Democratic margin in Las Vegas, NM peaked at sixty points in 2008. By 1972 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was twenty-six points, the most Democratic-leaning result in the metro's modern history.

The economic context is the key. The median household income of $49,997 sits well below state and national norms, and 24% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Las Vegas, NM, New Mexico — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/29780/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Las Vegas, NM, New Mexico vote in 2024?
In 2024, Las Vegas, NM, New Mexico voted Democratic by 25.9 points (D+26), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 13,595 votes cast, 8,424 went Democratic and 4,897 went Republican.
What is Las Vegas, NM, New Mexico's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Las Vegas, NM, New Mexico as a "Populist" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 20 times, Republican 9 times, and other 0 times.
When did Las Vegas, NM, New Mexico last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Las Vegas, NM, New Mexico voted Republican was 1968.
How many people live in Las Vegas, NM, New Mexico?
Las Vegas, NM, New Mexico has a population of 30,999 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Las Vegas, NM, New Mexico?
Median household income in Las Vegas, NM, New Mexico is $49,997 — below the national median of $80,734. The New Mexico state median is $64,059.
What is the political history of Las Vegas, NM, New Mexico?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Las Vegas, NM, New Mexico from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 20 went Democratic and 9 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.