Lawrenceburg, TN, Tennessee: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+69%. Republican peak: R+69 in 2024.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+69MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 45,3852024 5-year
- Median household income
- $54,7062024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+35 in 1940MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+69 in 2024MIT Election Lab
Constituent county margins for Lawrenceburg, TN, TNOne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 2,939 | 16,429 | 19,565 | ||
| R | 3,195 | 15,334 | 18,718 | ||
| R | 2,821 | 12,420 | 15,666 | ||
| R | 4,237 | 10,770 | 15,219 | ||
| R | 5,161 | 10,566 | 16,020 | ||
| R | 6,592 | 9,959 | 16,658 | ||
| R | 6,643 | 7,613 | 14,470 | ||
| D | 6,188 | 6,115 | 13,359 | ||
| D | 6,816 | 5,608 | 13,864 | ||
| R | 4,903 | 6,273 | 11,183 | ||
| R | 5,458 | 6,034 | 11,563 | ||
| R | 6,082 | 6,532 | 13,477 | ||
| D | 7,140 | 4,967 | 12,190 | ||
| R | 2,824 | 6,438 | 9,482 | ||
| R | 2,191 | 4,343 | 10,527 | ||
| D | 5,449 | 4,590 | 10,039 | ||
| R | 4,862 | 5,709 | 10,639 | ||
| R | 4,227 | 4,588 | 8,880 | ||
| R | 4,299 | 4,561 | 8,931 | ||
| D | 4,854 | 3,837 | 9,084 | ||
| D | 4,662 | 4,359 | 9,021 | ||
| D | 3,936 | 1,877 | 5,836 | ||
| D | 4,773 | 3,342 | 8,164 | ||
| D | 3,240 | 1,684 | 4,948 | ||
| R | 2,779 | 3,581 | 6,369 | ||
| R | 2,185 | 2,375 | 4,616 | ||
| R | 2,610 | 3,843 | 6,453 | ||
| R | 1,787 | 1,837 | 3,634 | ||
| D | 1,504 | 878 | 3,213 | ||
| R | 1,591 | 1,725 | 3,330 | ||
| R | 1,299 | 1,359 | 2,658 | ||
| D | 1,480 | 1,327 | 2,807 | ||
| D | 1,376 | 1,203 | 2,586 | ||
| D | 1,231 | 758 | 2,114 | ||
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Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
16.9%
American
13.9%
German
10.2%
Irish
10.1%
Scottish
1.9%
French
1.2%
Italian
0.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 39.3 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$54,706
Lawrenceburg, TN ranks near the middle of US counties.
Lawrenceburg, TN$54,706
Tennessee$69,595
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
15.0%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1816.7%
Working age (18–64)14.4%
Seniors (65+)14.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
94.9%
speak English only
Other Indo-European3.9%
Spanish1.0%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 39.0% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Lawrenceburg sits at the center of a persistently rural Middle Tennessee labor market, where factory employment in auto-parts supply chains shapes both the workforce composition and the economic anxieties that drive voter behavior.
The Democratic margin in Lawrenceburg, TN peaked at thirty-five points in 1940. By 2000 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was sixty-nine points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $54,706 sits well below state and national norms, and 15% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Lawrenceburg, TN, Tennessee — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/29980/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did Lawrenceburg, TN, Tennessee vote in 2024?
In 2024, Lawrenceburg, TN, Tennessee voted Republican by 68.9 points (R+69), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 19,565 votes cast, 2,939 went Democratic and 16,429 went Republican.
What is Lawrenceburg, TN, Tennessee's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Lawrenceburg, TN, Tennessee as a "Populist" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 13 times, Republican 21 times, and other 0 times.
When did Lawrenceburg, TN, Tennessee last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Lawrenceburg, TN, Tennessee voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Lawrenceburg, TN, Tennessee?
Lawrenceburg, TN, Tennessee has a population of 45,385 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Lawrenceburg, TN, Tennessee?
Median household income in Lawrenceburg, TN, Tennessee is $54,706 — below the national median of $80,734. The Tennessee state median is $69,595.
What is the political history of Lawrenceburg, TN, Tennessee?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Lawrenceburg, TN, Tennessee from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 13 went Democratic and 21 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.