Lebanon, MO, Missouri: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+67%. Republican peak: R+67 in 2024.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+67MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 36,3902024 5-year
- Median household income
- $53,2822024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 91.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+17 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+67 in 2024MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 2,756 | 14,155 | 17,139 | ||
| R | 2,780 | 13,762 | 16,828 | ||
| R | 2,553 | 12,881 | 16,140 | ||
| R | 4,093 | 10,934 | 15,435 | ||
| R | 5,218 | 10,875 | 16,323 | ||
| R | 4,213 | 10,578 | 14,869 | ||
| R | 4,183 | 8,556 | 13,046 | ||
| R | 4,047 | 5,887 | 11,499 | ||
| R | 4,179 | 5,176 | 12,222 | ||
| R | 3,442 | 6,070 | 9,536 | ||
| R | 2,665 | 6,406 | 9,071 | ||
| R | 3,443 | 5,642 | 9,282 | ||
| D | 4,381 | 4,067 | 8,475 | ||
| R | 2,186 | 6,152 | 8,338 | ||
| R | 2,958 | 4,860 | 8,670 | ||
| D | 4,517 | 3,848 | 8,365 | ||
| R | 3,156 | 5,805 | 8,961 | ||
| R | 3,287 | 5,079 | 8,366 | ||
| R | 2,839 | 5,312 | 8,155 | ||
| R | 3,221 | 3,773 | 7,015 | ||
| R | 3,011 | 4,670 | 7,687 | ||
| R | 3,323 | 4,941 | 8,278 | ||
| R | 3,691 | 4,258 | 7,977 | ||
| D | 3,960 | 2,804 | 6,823 | ||
| R | 2,031 | 3,971 | 6,025 | ||
| R | 2,500 | 2,960 | 5,735 | ||
| R | 2,183 | 3,469 | 5,754 | ||
| R | 1,755 | 1,877 | 3,733 | ||
| D | 1,634 | 1,478 | 3,711 | ||
| R | 1,681 | 1,902 | 3,662 | ||
| R | 1,450 | 1,874 | 3,474 | ||
| D | 1,786 | 1,686 | 3,534 | ||
| D | 2,120 | 1,598 | 3,751 | ||
| R | 1,223 | 1,376 | 3,193 | ||
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Demographics
Lebanon's metro returned a Democratic lean of 3.3 points in 2024, an outlier in a heavily Republican swath of south-central Missouri, suggesting local economic or demographic currents that diverge from surrounding Ozarks counties.
The Democratic margin in Lebanon, MO peaked at seventeen points in 1932. By 1980 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was sixty-seven points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $53,282 sits well below state and national norms, and 18% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Lebanon, MO, Missouri — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/30060/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.