akashic
1876–2024
Lebanon, MO·Missouri

Lebanon, MO was solidly Democratic for decades. In the last twenty years, it flipped.

A small Ozarks metro that bucked its region's sharp rightward trend in 2024

18762024·38 elections
MO
Latest
R+67
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
36,390
2024 ACS

Lebanon, MO, Missouri: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+67%. Republican peak: R+67 in 2024.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+67MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
PopulistAkashic typology
Population
36,3902024 5-year
Median household income
$53,2822024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
91.3%2024 5-year
Black
0.6%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
3.0%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+17 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+67 in 2024MIT Election Lab
1 counties · 0 D · 1 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−66.5%
2,75614,15517,139
R
−65.3%
2,78013,76216,828
R
−64.0%
2,55312,88116,140
R
−44.3%
4,09310,93415,435
R
−34.7%
5,21810,87516,323
R
−42.8%
4,21310,57814,869
R
−33.5%
4,1838,55613,046
R
−16.0%
4,0475,88711,499
R
−8.2%
4,1795,17612,222
R
−27.6%
3,4426,0709,536
R
−41.2%
2,6656,4069,071
R
−23.7%
3,4435,6429,282
D
+3.7%
4,3814,0678,475
R
−47.6%
2,1866,1528,338
R
−21.9%
2,9584,8608,670
D
+8.0%
4,5173,8488,365
R
−29.6%
3,1565,8058,961
R
−21.4%
3,2875,0798,366
R
−30.3%
2,8395,3128,155
R
−7.9%
3,2213,7737,015
R
−21.6%
3,0114,6707,687
R
−19.5%
3,3234,9418,278
R
−7.1%
3,6914,2587,977
D
+16.9%
3,9602,8046,823
R
−32.2%
2,0313,9716,025
R
−8.0%
2,5002,9605,735
R
−22.3%
2,1833,4695,754
R
−3.3%
1,7551,8773,733
D
+4.2%
1,6341,4783,711
R
−6.0%
1,6811,9023,662
R
−12.2%
1,4501,8743,474
D
+2.8%
1,7861,6863,534
D
+13.9%
2,1201,5983,751
R
−4.8%
1,2231,3763,193
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
18.2%
German
14.8%
Irish
14.2%
American
10.2%
Scottish
2.3%
French
2.2%
Polish
1.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
97.3%
speak English only
Spanish1.2%
Other Indo-European1.0%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.5%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
24.3%
Other Christian
19.9%
Pentecostal & Holiness
3.8%
Methodist
3.7%
Mainline Protestant
2.0%
Catholic & Orthodox
1.6%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 44.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Lebanon's metro returned a Democratic lean of 3.3 points in 2024, an outlier in a heavily Republican swath of south-central Missouri, suggesting local economic or demographic currents that diverge from surrounding Ozarks counties.

The Democratic margin in Lebanon, MO peaked at seventeen points in 1932. By 1980 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was sixty-seven points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.

The economic context is the key. The median household income of $53,282 sits well below state and national norms, and 18% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Lebanon, MO, Missouri — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/30060/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Lebanon, MO, Missouri vote in 2024?
In 2024, Lebanon, MO, Missouri voted Republican by 66.5 points (R+67), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 17,139 votes cast, 2,756 went Democratic and 14,155 went Republican.
What is Lebanon, MO, Missouri's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Lebanon, MO, Missouri as a "Populist" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 6 times, Republican 28 times, and other 0 times.
When did Lebanon, MO, Missouri last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Lebanon, MO, Missouri voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Lebanon, MO, Missouri?
Lebanon, MO, Missouri has a population of 36,390 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Lebanon, MO, Missouri?
Median household income in Lebanon, MO, Missouri is $53,282 — below the national median of $80,734. The Missouri state median is $70,702.
What is the political history of Lebanon, MO, Missouri?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Lebanon, MO, Missouri from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 28 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.