Lebanon, PA, Pennsylvania: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+32%. Republican peak: R+66 in 1928.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+32MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 144,1862024 5-year
- Median household income
- $78,4252024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 80.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 15.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+6 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+66 in 1928MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 24,734 | 48,282 | 73,986 | ||
| R | 23,932 | 46,731 | 71,652 | ||
| R | 18,953 | 40,525 | 62,503 | ||
| R | 19,900 | 35,872 | 56,777 | ||
| R | 23,310 | 34,314 | 58,297 | ||
| R | 18,109 | 37,089 | 55,665 | ||
| R | 16,093 | 28,534 | 45,897 | ||
| R | 14,187 | 21,885 | 40,735 | ||
| R | 12,350 | 21,512 | 43,021 | ||
| R | 11,912 | 24,415 | 36,608 | ||
| R | 10,520 | 27,008 | 37,716 | ||
| R | 8,281 | 24,495 | 35,507 | ||
| R | 11,785 | 20,880 | 33,330 | ||
| R | 6,683 | 25,008 | 32,320 | ||
| R | 9,529 | 21,832 | 34,025 | ||
| R | 15,882 | 17,891 | 33,845 | ||
| R | 11,761 | 25,525 | 37,353 | ||
| R | 10,406 | 22,556 | 33,003 | ||
| R | 11,611 | 20,726 | 32,472 | ||
| R | 9,418 | 15,553 | 25,241 | ||
| R | 11,818 | 15,206 | 27,153 | ||
| R | 13,315 | 13,449 | 26,857 | ||
| D | 13,800 | 13,213 | 27,476 | ||
| R | 5,924 | 10,487 | 17,784 | ||
| R | 3,278 | 16,841 | 20,464 | ||
| R | 2,464 | 9,494 | 12,783 | ||
| R | 3,016 | 8,778 | 12,402 | ||
| R | 3,821 | 5,876 | 10,228 | ||
| O | 2,972 | 2,378 | 10,580 | ||
| R | 2,858 | 6,874 | 10,247 | ||
| R | 2,449 | 6,938 | 9,884 | ||
| R | 3,050 | 7,089 | 10,618 | ||
| R | 2,819 | 7,288 | 10,323 | ||
| R | 3,409 | 5,403 | 9,141 | ||
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Demographics
Lebanon County sits at the edge of Pennsylvania Dutch Country, where a predominantly white, working-class electorate has shifted toward Republican margins in federal races while local contests remain more competitive.
The Democratic margin in Lebanon, PA peaked at six points in 1912. By 1940 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was thirty-two points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $78,425 sits well below state and national norms, and 10% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Lebanon, PA, Pennsylvania — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/30140/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.