akashic
1876–2024
Lebanon, PA·Pennsylvania

Lebanon, PA was solidly Democratic for decades. In the last twenty years, it flipped.

A mid-size Pennsylvania county where rural Mennonite heritage meets swing-district suburbs

18762024·38 elections
PA
Latest
R+32
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
144,186
2024 ACS

Lebanon, PA, Pennsylvania: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+32%. Republican peak: R+66 in 1928.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+32MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
PopulistAkashic typology
Population
144,1862024 5-year
Median household income
$78,4252024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
80.7%2024 5-year
Black
2.2%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
15.2%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+6 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+66 in 1928MIT Election Lab
1 counties · 0 D · 1 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−31.8%
24,73448,28273,986
R
−31.8%
23,93246,73171,652
R
−34.5%
18,95340,52562,503
R
−28.1%
19,90035,87256,777
R
−18.9%
23,31034,31458,297
R
−34.1%
18,10937,08955,665
R
−27.1%
16,09328,53445,897
R
−18.9%
14,18721,88540,735
R
−21.3%
12,35021,51243,021
R
−34.2%
11,91224,41536,608
R
−43.7%
10,52027,00837,716
R
−45.7%
8,28124,49535,507
R
−27.3%
11,78520,88033,330
R
−56.7%
6,68325,00832,320
R
−36.2%
9,52921,83234,025
R
−5.9%
15,88217,89133,845
R
−36.8%
11,76125,52537,353
R
−36.8%
10,40622,55633,003
R
−28.1%
11,61120,72632,472
R
−24.3%
9,41815,55325,241
R
−12.5%
11,81815,20627,153
R
−0.5%
13,31513,44926,857
D
+2.1%
13,80013,21327,476
R
−25.7%
5,92410,48717,784
R
−66.3%
3,27816,84120,464
R
−55.0%
2,4649,49412,783
R
−46.5%
3,0168,77812,402
R
−20.1%
3,8215,87610,228
O
+5.6%
2,9722,37810,580
R
−39.2%
2,8586,87410,247
R
−45.4%
2,4496,9389,884
R
−38.0%
3,0507,08910,618
R
−43.3%
2,8197,28810,323
R
−21.8%
3,4095,4039,141
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
31.5%
Irish
9.6%
English
6.8%
Italian
5.9%
American
5.3%
Polish
2.5%
French
1.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
87.1%
speak English only
Spanish9.2%
Other Indo-European2.7%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.8%
Other languages0.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Mainline Protestant
11.6%
Other Christian
8.5%
Catholic & Orthodox
8.1%
Methodist
6.6%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.0%
Non-Christian
0.3%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 63.9% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Lebanon County sits at the edge of Pennsylvania Dutch Country, where a predominantly white, working-class electorate has shifted toward Republican margins in federal races while local contests remain more competitive.

The Democratic margin in Lebanon, PA peaked at six points in 1912. By 1940 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was thirty-two points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.

The economic context is the key. The median household income of $78,425 sits well below state and national norms, and 10% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Lebanon, PA, Pennsylvania — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/30140/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Lebanon, PA, Pennsylvania vote in 2024?
In 2024, Lebanon, PA, Pennsylvania voted Republican by 31.8 points (R+32), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 73,986 votes cast, 24,734 went Democratic and 48,282 went Republican.
What is Lebanon, PA, Pennsylvania's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Lebanon, PA, Pennsylvania as a "Populist" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 1 times, Republican 32 times, and other 1 times.
When did Lebanon, PA, Pennsylvania last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Lebanon, PA, Pennsylvania voted Democratic was 1936.
How many people live in Lebanon, PA, Pennsylvania?
Lebanon, PA, Pennsylvania has a population of 144,186 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Lebanon, PA, Pennsylvania?
Median household income in Lebanon, PA, Pennsylvania is $78,425 — below the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.
What is the political history of Lebanon, PA, Pennsylvania?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Lebanon, PA, Pennsylvania from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 1 went Democratic and 32 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.