Lebanon-Claremont, NH-VT, New Hampshire: Populist metro. In 2024, voted D+21%. Republican peak: R+58 in 1896.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+21MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 223,5862024 5-year
- Median household income
- $83,2442024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 90.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+29 in 2008MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+58 in 1896MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 80,219 | 52,088 | 136,144 | ||
| D | 79,250 | 47,571 | 130,144 | ||
| D | 63,817 | 43,418 | 118,451 | ||
| D | 70,562 | 40,663 | 113,603 | ||
| D | 75,938 | 40,987 | 118,560 | ||
| D | 64,334 | 48,331 | 114,437 | ||
| D | 48,384 | 45,967 | 101,243 | ||
| D | 48,053 | 32,425 | 92,341 | ||
| D | 42,955 | 33,052 | 96,744 | ||
| R | 34,848 | 46,604 | 82,230 | ||
| R | 27,676 | 48,132 | 76,421 | ||
| R | 23,317 | 37,871 | 73,593 | ||
| R | 26,772 | 36,878 | 64,972 | ||
| R | 23,263 | 42,316 | 66,240 | ||
| R | 22,495 | 32,905 | 57,479 | ||
| D | 37,434 | 21,018 | 58,454 | ||
| R | 22,121 | 39,579 | 61,702 | ||
| R | 14,597 | 43,785 | 58,400 | ||
| R | 15,740 | 43,805 | 59,609 | ||
| R | 16,412 | 31,938 | 48,943 | ||
| R | 21,268 | 30,929 | 52,210 | ||
| R | 23,137 | 30,697 | 53,885 | ||
| R | 20,513 | 31,128 | 51,939 | ||
| R | 18,883 | 29,621 | 49,041 | ||
| R | 13,245 | 34,282 | 47,787 | ||
| R | 9,367 | 30,560 | 41,170 | ||
| R | 11,275 | 26,410 | 37,895 | ||
| R | 10,454 | 13,375 | 24,153 | ||
| R | 7,533 | 8,895 | 24,104 | ||
| R | 6,625 | 16,026 | 23,240 | ||
| R | 6,327 | 15,963 | 22,769 | ||
| R | 6,840 | 16,478 | 23,719 | ||
| R | 4,412 | 18,144 | 23,731 | ||
| R | 9,232 | 14,410 | 24,134 | ||
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Demographics
This small cross-border metro anchors New Hampshire's western edge and Vermont's eastern strip, where college-town demographics around Dartmouth consistently push presidential margins closer than either state's broader rural precincts.
The Democratic margin in Lebanon-Claremont, NH-VT peaked at twenty-nine points in 2008. By 1992 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was twenty-one points, the most Democratic-leaning result in the metro's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $83,244 sits well below state and national norms, and 10% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Lebanon-Claremont, NH-VT, New Hampshire — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/30150/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.