akashic
1876–2024
Lebanon-Claremont, NH-VT·New Hampshire

Lebanon-Claremont, NH-VT was solidly Democratic for decades. In the last twenty years, it flipped.

Upper Valley straddles two states along the Connecticut River

18762024·38 elections
NH
Latest
D+21
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
223,586
2024 ACS

Lebanon-Claremont, NH-VT, New Hampshire: Populist metro. In 2024, voted D+21%. Republican peak: R+58 in 1896.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+21MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
PopulistAkashic typology
Population
223,5862024 5-year
Median household income
$83,2442024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
90.8%2024 5-year
Black
0.8%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
2.4%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+29 in 2008MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+58 in 1896MIT Election Lab
4 counties · 3 D · 1 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+20.7%
80,21952,088136,144
D
+24.3%
79,25047,571130,144
D
+17.2%
63,81743,418118,451
D
+26.3%
70,56240,663113,603
D
+29.5%
75,93840,987118,560
D
+14.0%
64,33448,331114,437
D
+2.4%
48,38445,967101,243
D
+16.9%
48,05332,42592,341
D
+10.2%
42,95533,05296,744
R
−14.3%
34,84846,60482,230
R
−26.8%
27,67648,13276,421
R
−19.8%
23,31737,87173,593
R
−15.6%
26,77236,87864,972
R
−28.8%
23,26342,31666,240
R
−18.1%
22,49532,90557,479
D
+28.1%
37,43421,01858,454
R
−28.3%
22,12139,57961,702
R
−50.0%
14,59743,78558,400
R
−47.1%
15,74043,80559,609
R
−31.7%
16,41231,93848,943
R
−18.5%
21,26830,92952,210
R
−14.0%
23,13730,69753,885
R
−20.4%
20,51331,12851,939
R
−21.9%
18,88329,62149,041
R
−44.0%
13,24534,28247,787
R
−51.5%
9,36730,56041,170
R
−39.9%
11,27526,41037,895
R
−12.1%
10,45413,37524,153
R
−5.7%
7,5338,89524,104
R
−40.5%
6,62516,02623,240
R
−42.3%
6,32715,96322,769
R
−40.6%
6,84016,47823,719
R
−57.9%
4,41218,14423,731
R
−21.5%
9,23214,41024,134
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
22.6%
Irish
15.6%
German
9.6%
French
9.2%
Italian
7.0%
American
6.5%
Scottish
4.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
95.7%
speak English only
Other Indo-European2.0%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.1%
Spanish1.0%
Other languages0.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
10.7%
Other Christian
3.8%
Mainline Protestant
3.6%
Baptist
2.1%
Methodist
1.5%
Non-Christian
0.9%
Pentecostal & Holiness
0.8%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 76.5% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

This small cross-border metro anchors New Hampshire's western edge and Vermont's eastern strip, where college-town demographics around Dartmouth consistently push presidential margins closer than either state's broader rural precincts.

The Democratic margin in Lebanon-Claremont, NH-VT peaked at twenty-nine points in 2008. By 1992 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was twenty-one points, the most Democratic-leaning result in the metro's modern history.

The economic context is the key. The median household income of $83,244 sits well below state and national norms, and 10% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Lebanon-Claremont, NH-VT, New Hampshire — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/30150/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Lebanon-Claremont, NH-VT, New Hampshire vote in 2024?
In 2024, Lebanon-Claremont, NH-VT, New Hampshire voted Democratic by 20.7 points (D+21), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 136,144 votes cast, 80,219 went Democratic and 52,088 went Republican.
What is Lebanon-Claremont, NH-VT, New Hampshire's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Lebanon-Claremont, NH-VT, New Hampshire as a "Populist" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 10 times, Republican 24 times, and other 0 times.
When did Lebanon-Claremont, NH-VT, New Hampshire last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Lebanon-Claremont, NH-VT, New Hampshire voted Republican was 1988.
How many people live in Lebanon-Claremont, NH-VT, New Hampshire?
Lebanon-Claremont, NH-VT, New Hampshire has a population of 223,586 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Lebanon-Claremont, NH-VT, New Hampshire?
Median household income in Lebanon-Claremont, NH-VT, New Hampshire is $83,244 — above the national median of $80,734. The New Hampshire state median is $99,031.
What is the political history of Lebanon-Claremont, NH-VT, New Hampshire?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Lebanon-Claremont, NH-VT, New Hampshire from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 24 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.