Lima, OH, Ohio: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+44%. Republican peak: R+46 in 1984.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+44MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 101,3482024 5-year
- Median household income
- $64,0382024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 80.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 9.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+26 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+46 in 1984MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 12,754 | 33,201 | 46,576 | ||
| R | 14,149 | 33,116 | 48,006 | ||
| R | 13,294 | 30,487 | 46,735 | ||
| R | 17,914 | 29,502 | 48,708 | ||
| R | 19,522 | 29,940 | 50,495 | ||
| R | 16,470 | 32,580 | 49,256 | ||
| R | 13,996 | 28,647 | 43,795 | ||
| R | 15,529 | 24,325 | 43,948 | ||
| R | 13,777 | 25,322 | 47,350 | ||
| R | 13,727 | 31,021 | 44,975 | ||
| R | 12,176 | 33,506 | 45,911 | ||
| R | 13,140 | 29,070 | 44,154 | ||
| R | 14,627 | 23,721 | 39,167 | ||
| R | 10,184 | 26,966 | 38,543 | ||
| R | 10,994 | 23,124 | 38,349 | ||
| R | 18,990 | 19,897 | 38,887 | ||
| R | 14,725 | 28,007 | 42,732 | ||
| R | 12,042 | 28,388 | 40,430 | ||
| R | 14,139 | 26,396 | 40,535 | ||
| R | 13,161 | 17,380 | 30,668 | ||
| R | 12,564 | 21,024 | 33,588 | ||
| R | 14,469 | 20,675 | 35,144 | ||
| D | 16,500 | 15,079 | 33,592 | ||
| D | 16,676 | 14,678 | 31,930 | ||
| R | 9,462 | 20,693 | 30,337 | ||
| R | 7,378 | 15,711 | 25,437 | ||
| R | 11,658 | 13,978 | 26,082 | ||
| D | 7,905 | 5,713 | 14,140 | ||
| D | 5,696 | 2,638 | 11,815 | ||
| D | 7,195 | 5,841 | 13,557 | ||
| R | 4,980 | 6,091 | 11,603 | ||
| D | 6,540 | 5,281 | 12,018 | ||
| D | 6,394 | 4,959 | 11,529 | ||
| D | 4,945 | 3,579 | 9,285 | ||
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Demographics
Lima's economy traces its roots to oil refining and heavy industry, and the metro has voted Republican in presidential races by double-digit margins for decades, reflecting its working-class, small-city demographic profile.
The Democratic margin in Lima, OH peaked at twenty-six points in 1912. By 1940 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was forty-four points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $64,038 sits well below state and national norms, and 13% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Lima, OH, Ohio — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/30620/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.