akashic
1876–2024
Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR·Arkansas

Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR delivered R+10 in 2024.

Arkansas's capitol metro where suburban growth is reshaping old margins

1876 — 2024·38 elections
AR
Latest
R+10
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
758,629
2024 ACS

Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR, Arkansas: Bellwether metro. In 2024, voted R+10%. Democratic peak: D+77 in 1936.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+10MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
BellwetherAkashic typology
Population
758,6292024 5-year
Median household income
$67,4362024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
64.6%2024 5-year
Black
23.6%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
7.3%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+77 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+27 in 1972MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
6 counties · 1 D · 5 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−10.1%
135,304166,609309,280
R
−7.9%
145,320170,821324,832
R
−10.2%
125,545155,157289,228
R
−11.3%
122,018153,959282,434
R
−9.3%
125,386151,563281,988
R
−3.9%
125,122135,319262,913
R
−1.2%
104,004106,543216,721
D
+18.4%
114,01376,135205,615
D
+19.3%
118,21277,072213,359
R
−13.4%
79,993105,152187,711
R
−19.6%
76,571114,594193,733
D
+4.1%
84,02477,084169,612
D
+33.5%
100,84050,118151,241
R
−26.6%
47,17981,451129,023
O
+2.4%
37,96435,158116,022
D
+7.1%
59,07251,191110,930
D
+12.2%
38,92629,39178,190
D
+2.4%
35,73034,02671,318
D
+11.5%
37,76029,93068,158
D
+38.1%
21,5227,63136,421
D
+47.6%
25,2208,92534,225
D
+66.8%
22,4424,43726,965
D
+77.1%
20,5532,63123,241
D
+76.6%
24,9133,20128,347
D
+35.2%
16,6737,98124,709
D
+36.5%
9,8884,12315,802
D
+29.8%
12,7516,78120,001
D
+48.3%
13,7184,78518,503
D
+42.4%
7,5902,13712,867
D
+20.7%
9,0805,83915,653
D
+16.0%
6,8214,88712,104
D
+25.5%
6,9814,10311,265
D
+50.1%
10,2613,35713,789
D
+23.9%
8,8445,17515,367
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Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
12.8%
German
8.6%
Irish
8.3%
American
6.6%
Scottish
1.8%
Italian
1.4%
French
1.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 37.7 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.6%
85+
1.1%
2.1%
75–84
2.8%
4.5%
65–74
5.3%
5.8%
55–64
6.3%
5.7%
45–54
6.2%
6.4%
35–44
6.8%
6.7%
25–34
7.1%
4.7%
18–24
4.8%
8.9%
5–17
8.4%
3.1%
<5
3.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$67,436
Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR ranks near the middle of US counties.
Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR$67,436
Arkansas$60,773
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
14.3%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1819.2%
Working age (18–64)13.0%
Seniors (65+)10.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
92.4%
speak English only
Spanish5.3%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.1%
Other Indo-European0.9%
Other languages0.3%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
23.3%
Other Christian
12.6%
Methodist
6.1%
Catholic & Orthodox
4.9%
Pentecostal & Holiness
4.7%
Mainline Protestant
1.8%
Non-Christian
0.7%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 45.8% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Home to state government, a major medical corridor, and fast-growing Faulkner County, the Little Rock metro has trended more competitive at the suburban edges even as its urban core anchors the state's heaviest Democratic vote share.

The Democratic margin in Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR has rarely exceeded seventy-seven points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded twenty-seven points. 2024 delivered the metro to the Republican candidate by ten points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most metros. A 65% non-Hispanic-white share, a 14% poverty rate, and a median household income of $67,436 — all within the broad national range.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR, Arkansas — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/30780/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR, Arkansas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR, Arkansas voted Republican by 10.1 points (R+10), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 309,280 votes cast, 135,304 went Democratic and 166,609 went Republican.
What is Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR, Arkansas's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR, Arkansas as a "Bellwether" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 23 times, Republican 10 times, and other 1 times.
When did Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR, Arkansas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR, Arkansas voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR, Arkansas?
Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR, Arkansas has a population of 758,629 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR, Arkansas?
Median household income in Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR, Arkansas is $67,436 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arkansas state median is $60,773.
What is the political history of Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR, Arkansas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR, Arkansas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 23 went Democratic and 10 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.