Lock Haven, PA, Pennsylvania: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+41%. Republican peak: R+48 in 1928.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+41MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 37,7982024 5-year
- Median household income
- $60,8162024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 94.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+40 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+48 in 1928MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 5,395 | 12,965 | 18,567 | ||
| R | 5,502 | 11,902 | 17,625 | ||
| R | 4,744 | 10,022 | 15,505 | ||
| R | 5,734 | 7,303 | 13,311 | ||
| R | 7,097 | 7,504 | 14,791 | ||
| R | 5,823 | 8,035 | 13,967 | ||
| R | 5,521 | 6,064 | 11,994 | ||
| D | 5,658 | 4,293 | 11,483 | ||
| D | 5,397 | 4,471 | 12,569 | ||
| D | 5,759 | 5,735 | 11,613 | ||
| R | 4,525 | 6,678 | 11,273 | ||
| R | 4,842 | 6,288 | 12,010 | ||
| D | 6,532 | 5,858 | 12,564 | ||
| R | 4,772 | 8,205 | 13,119 | ||
| R | 6,301 | 6,563 | 13,508 | ||
| D | 10,038 | 4,298 | 14,372 | ||
| R | 5,965 | 9,184 | 15,161 | ||
| R | 5,411 | 8,250 | 13,678 | ||
| R | 5,758 | 8,125 | 13,938 | ||
| R | 5,013 | 5,618 | 10,631 | ||
| R | 5,703 | 5,915 | 11,675 | ||
| D | 7,419 | 6,291 | 13,736 | ||
| D | 8,351 | 6,479 | 14,969 | ||
| R | 3,741 | 4,851 | 8,894 | ||
| R | 2,849 | 8,120 | 11,029 | ||
| R | 1,939 | 5,129 | 9,391 | ||
| R | 2,976 | 4,303 | 7,884 | ||
| D | 2,967 | 2,794 | 6,190 | ||
| O | 2,200 | 1,214 | 6,035 | ||
| R | 2,547 | 3,477 | 6,375 | ||
| R | 1,941 | 3,535 | 5,761 | ||
| R | 2,879 | 3,157 | 6,241 | ||
| R | 3,053 | 3,486 | 6,804 | ||
| D | 3,075 | 2,572 | 5,858 | ||
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Demographics
Lock Haven anchors a shrinking metro along the West Branch Susquehanna, where deindustrialization and a modest university presence create an electorate that has shifted markedly toward Republican margins over the past two decades.
The Democratic margin in Lock Haven, PA peaked at forty points in 1964. By 2000 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was forty-one points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $60,816 sits well below state and national norms, and 15% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Lock Haven, PA, Pennsylvania — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/30820/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.