akashic
1876–2024
Lock Haven, PA·Pennsylvania

Lock Haven, PA peaked at D+40; 2024 delivered R+41.

A small Clinton County river city where manufacturing heritage shapes the electorate

18762024·38 elections
PA
Latest
R+41
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
37,798
2024 ACS

Lock Haven, PA, Pennsylvania: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+41%. Republican peak: R+48 in 1928.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+41MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
PopulistAkashic typology
Population
37,7982024 5-year
Median household income
$60,8162024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
94.0%2024 5-year
Black
1.0%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
1.9%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+40 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+48 in 1928MIT Election Lab
1 counties · 0 D · 1 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−40.8%
5,39512,96518,567
R
−36.3%
5,50211,90217,625
R
−34.0%
4,74410,02215,505
R
−11.8%
5,7347,30313,311
R
−2.8%
7,0977,50414,791
R
−15.8%
5,8238,03513,967
R
−4.5%
5,5216,06411,994
D
+11.9%
5,6584,29311,483
D
+7.4%
5,3974,47112,569
D
+0.2%
5,7595,73511,613
R
−19.1%
4,5256,67811,273
R
−12.0%
4,8426,28812,010
D
+5.4%
6,5325,85812,564
R
−26.2%
4,7728,20513,119
R
−1.9%
6,3016,56313,508
D
+39.9%
10,0384,29814,372
R
−21.2%
5,9659,18415,161
R
−20.8%
5,4118,25013,678
R
−17.0%
5,7588,12513,938
R
−5.7%
5,0135,61810,631
R
−1.8%
5,7035,91511,675
D
+8.2%
7,4196,29113,736
D
+12.5%
8,3516,47914,969
R
−12.5%
3,7414,8518,894
R
−47.8%
2,8498,12011,029
R
−34.0%
1,9395,1299,391
R
−16.8%
2,9764,3037,884
D
+2.8%
2,9672,7946,190
O
+16.3%
2,2001,2146,035
R
−14.6%
2,5473,4776,375
R
−27.7%
1,9413,5355,761
R
−4.5%
2,8793,1576,241
R
−6.4%
3,0533,4866,804
D
+8.6%
3,0752,5725,858
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
29.7%
Irish
12.0%
American
8.1%
Italian
8.0%
English
6.9%
French
2.0%
Polish
1.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
92.8%
speak English only
Other Indo-European5.7%
Spanish0.9%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.5%
Other languages0.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Other Christian
12.7%
Catholic & Orthodox
7.8%
Methodist
7.5%
Mainline Protestant
4.2%
Pentecostal & Holiness
0.9%
Baptist
0.6%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 66.3% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Lock Haven anchors a shrinking metro along the West Branch Susquehanna, where deindustrialization and a modest university presence create an electorate that has shifted markedly toward Republican margins over the past two decades.

The Democratic margin in Lock Haven, PA peaked at forty points in 1964. By 2000 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was forty-one points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.

The economic context is the key. The median household income of $60,816 sits well below state and national norms, and 15% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Lock Haven, PA, Pennsylvania — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/30820/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Lock Haven, PA, Pennsylvania vote in 2024?
In 2024, Lock Haven, PA, Pennsylvania voted Republican by 40.8 points (R+41), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 18,567 votes cast, 5,395 went Democratic and 12,965 went Republican.
What is Lock Haven, PA, Pennsylvania's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Lock Haven, PA, Pennsylvania as a "Populist" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 9 times, Republican 24 times, and other 1 times.
When did Lock Haven, PA, Pennsylvania last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Lock Haven, PA, Pennsylvania voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Lock Haven, PA, Pennsylvania?
Lock Haven, PA, Pennsylvania has a population of 37,798 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Lock Haven, PA, Pennsylvania?
Median household income in Lock Haven, PA, Pennsylvania is $60,816 — below the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.
What is the political history of Lock Haven, PA, Pennsylvania?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Lock Haven, PA, Pennsylvania from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 9 went Democratic and 24 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.