Longview-Kelso, WA, Washington: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+20%. Republican peak: R+62 in 1904.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+20MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 112,3602024 5-year
- Median household income
- $76,5312024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 83.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 10.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+46 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+62 in 1904MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 22,825 | 34,580 | 59,325 | ||
| R | 23,938 | 34,424 | 60,280 | ||
| R | 17,908 | 24,185 | 47,142 | ||
| D | 22,726 | 20,746 | 45,012 | ||
| D | 24,597 | 19,554 | 45,229 | ||
| D | 21,589 | 20,217 | 42,530 | ||
| D | 18,233 | 16,873 | 36,962 | ||
| D | 18,054 | 11,221 | 33,515 | ||
| D | 15,052 | 10,000 | 34,529 | ||
| D | 16,090 | 12,009 | 28,465 | ||
| D | 15,361 | 14,858 | 30,968 | ||
| R | 12,560 | 13,154 | 28,639 | ||
| D | 14,958 | 12,531 | 28,406 | ||
| R | 12,682 | 14,431 | 28,182 | ||
| D | 13,363 | 10,842 | 25,750 | ||
| D | 17,605 | 6,708 | 24,501 | ||
| R | 12,054 | 12,103 | 24,310 | ||
| D | 12,448 | 11,912 | 24,410 | ||
| R | 11,242 | 12,366 | 23,746 | ||
| D | 11,075 | 7,098 | 18,902 | ||
| D | 10,485 | 6,157 | 16,799 | ||
| D | 11,420 | 6,078 | 17,714 | ||
| D | 10,147 | 3,617 | 14,292 | ||
| D | 5,443 | 3,767 | 11,113 | ||
| R | 2,581 | 5,882 | 8,554 | ||
| R | 927 | 3,274 | 5,882 | ||
| R | 801 | 2,267 | 3,687 | ||
| R | 1,282 | 2,113 | 3,834 | ||
| O | 919 | 1,348 | 3,889 | ||
| R | 617 | 1,573 | 2,396 | ||
| R | 317 | 1,589 | 2,055 | ||
| R | 619 | 1,171 | 1,849 | ||
| R | 974 | 989 | 1,988 | ||
| R | 566 | 738 | 1,770 | ||
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Demographics
Straddling the Columbia River at the confluence with the Cowlitz, Longview-Kelso's economy traces back to planned industrial timber development in the 1920s, and its working-class union heritage continues to shape a consistent Democratic lean in federal races.
The Democratic margin in Longview-Kelso, WA peaked at forty-six points in 1936. By 2016 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was twenty points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $76,531 sits well below state and national norms, and 12% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Longview-Kelso, WA, Washington — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/31020/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.