akashic
1876–2024
Lubbock, TX·Texas

For fifty-two years, Lubbock, TX voted Democratic. Then it stopped.

Hub of the South Plains, anchored by Texas Tech and cotton agriculture

18762024·38 elections
TX
Latest
R+42
in 2024
Archetype
Realigner
since the recent cycles
Population
358,708
2024 ACS

Lubbock, TX, Texas: Realigner metro. In 2024, voted R+42%. Democratic peak: D+85 in 1916.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+42MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
RealignerAkashic typology
Population
358,7082024 5-year
Median household income
$63,6912024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
62.3%2024 5-year
Black
7.0%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
37.8%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+85 in 1916MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+52 in 2004MIT Election Lab
6 counties · 0 D · 6 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−42.3%
39,65498,863139,988
R
−35.3%
42,86290,868135,818
R
−40.5%
30,57476,091112,446
R
−42.1%
29,43773,498104,541
R
−38.1%
34,25376,907112,016
R
−52.2%
25,54482,054108,196
R
−49.3%
21,95366,19089,780
R
−30.4%
28,22555,26689,013
R
−30.0%
27,46557,07998,838
R
−33.9%
29,24359,48289,123
R
−47.4%
24,13667,94292,432
R
−37.4%
25,01356,52684,234
R
−13.3%
34,48545,13480,150
R
−45.9%
19,55753,17673,208
R
−13.6%
22,05830,94465,313
D
+21.4%
33,17921,46654,706
R
−2.9%
24,02125,44949,741
D
+5.7%
21,02818,76339,881
R
−7.3%
19,62722,71442,423
D
+62.4%
19,9273,87025,732
D
+63.3%
15,5122,21921,002
D
+74.7%
16,6712,39519,111
D
+82.9%
13,3401,22414,612
D
+83.4%
11,5201,00212,614
R
−26.9%
4,0907,10711,220
D
+53.1%
4,7991,3626,478
D
+65.7%
2,6824543,389
D
+85.2%
1,750941,943
D
+76.4%
878361,102
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
10.2%
German
9.6%
Irish
6.9%
American
5.4%
Scottish
1.8%
Italian
1.2%
French
1.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
79.2%
speak English only
Spanish17.8%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.4%
Other Indo-European1.0%
Other languages0.5%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Other Christian
15.6%
Baptist
14.6%
Catholic & Orthodox
14.0%
Methodist
4.4%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.0%
Mainline Protestant
1.5%
Non-Christian
0.8%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 47.1% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Lubbock's metro consistently posts some of Texas's widest Republican margins, driven by a predominantly rural-adjacent economy and a university presence that has not tempered its conservative baseline the way college towns often do elsewhere.

The unraveling was not abrupt. The Democratic margin in Lubbock, TX peaked at eighty-five points in 1916; it narrowed steadily over the late twentieth century. The 1968 election delivered the metro to the Republican party for the first time in many years, by a margin of fourteen points. By 2024, the margin had widened further.

The economic and demographic context is severe. The median household income of $63,691 is among the lowest at this geographic scale; 17% of residents live below the federal poverty line.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Lubbock, TX, Texas — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/31180/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Lubbock, TX, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Lubbock, TX, Texas voted Republican by 42.3 points (R+42), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 139,988 votes cast, 39,654 went Democratic and 98,863 went Republican.
What is Lubbock, TX, Texas's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Lubbock, TX, Texas as a "Realigner" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 11 times, Republican 18 times, and other 0 times.
When did Lubbock, TX, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Lubbock, TX, Texas voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Lubbock, TX, Texas?
Lubbock, TX, Texas has a population of 358,708 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Lubbock, TX, Texas?
Median household income in Lubbock, TX, Texas is $63,691 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Lubbock, TX, Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Lubbock, TX, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 11 went Democratic and 18 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Realigner" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.