Lynchburg, VA, Virginia: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+37%. Democratic peak: D+72 in 1912.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+37MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 263,7982024 5-year
- Median household income
- $67,7022024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 74.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 16.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+72 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+58 in 1972MIT Election Lab
Constituent county margins for Lynchburg, VA, VAOne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 44,721 | 99,608 | 146,434 | ||
| R | 46,384 | 91,685 | 141,197 | ||
| R | 38,304 | 83,626 | 129,110 | ||
| R | 42,105 | 78,396 | 122,474 | ||
| R | 44,112 | 72,875 | 118,315 | ||
| R | 35,790 | 65,812 | 102,633 | ||
| R | 32,137 | 53,218 | 87,621 | ||
| R | 31,958 | 41,388 | 80,424 | ||
| R | 28,398 | 42,257 | 82,010 | ||
| R | 24,526 | 49,772 | 75,360 | ||
| R | 23,580 | 53,749 | 77,948 | ||
| R | 23,094 | 40,226 | 66,458 | ||
| R | 23,846 | 33,158 | 59,228 | ||
| R | 7,766 | 31,295 | 40,514 | ||
| R | 10,743 | 23,937 | 52,041 | ||
| R | 18,304 | 24,682 | 43,094 | ||
| R | 14,661 | 15,491 | 30,262 | ||
| R | 11,697 | 15,163 | 28,140 | ||
| R | 12,022 | 14,789 | 26,871 | ||
| D | 8,253 | 4,823 | 17,364 | ||
| D | 12,525 | 4,810 | 17,378 | ||
| D | 12,741 | 3,720 | 16,500 | ||
| D | 11,069 | 2,802 | 13,924 | ||
| D | 10,556 | 2,369 | 13,105 | ||
| D | 6,717 | 5,542 | 12,259 | ||
| D | 7,409 | 1,640 | 9,477 | ||
| D | 7,142 | 1,925 | 9,152 | ||
| D | 5,942 | 1,062 | 7,127 | ||
| D | 4,935 | 442 | 6,256 | ||
| D | 4,343 | 1,391 | 5,820 | ||
| D | 4,532 | 1,280 | 5,937 | ||
| D | 7,553 | 5,377 | 13,065 | ||
| D | 9,554 | 7,379 | 17,106 | ||
| D | 9,845 | 6,039 | 17,228 | ||
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Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
15.8%
English
15.2%
German
9.1%
Irish
8.6%
Italian
2.8%
Scottish
2.0%
French
0.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 40.1 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$67,702
Lynchburg, VA ranks near the middle of US counties.
Lynchburg, VA$67,702
Virginia$93,170
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
12.5%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1815.9%
Working age (18–64)11.9%
Seniors (65+)9.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
95.2%
speak English only
Spanish2.3%
Other Indo-European1.0%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.0%
Other languages0.6%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 44.0% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Lynchburg's electorate leans conservative even by Virginia standards, anchored by a large evangelical institutional presence and a blue-collar manufacturing base that has historically produced wide Republican margins in federal races.
The Democratic margin in Lynchburg, VA peaked at seventy-two points in 1912. By 1952 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was thirty-seven points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $67,702 sits well below state and national norms, and 13% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Lynchburg, VA, Virginia — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/31340/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did Lynchburg, VA, Virginia vote in 2024?
In 2024, Lynchburg, VA, Virginia voted Republican by 37.5 points (R+37), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 146,434 votes cast, 44,721 went Democratic and 99,608 went Republican.
What is Lynchburg, VA, Virginia's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Lynchburg, VA, Virginia as a "Populist" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 15 times, Republican 19 times, and other 0 times.
When did Lynchburg, VA, Virginia last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Lynchburg, VA, Virginia voted Democratic was 1948.
How many people live in Lynchburg, VA, Virginia?
Lynchburg, VA, Virginia has a population of 263,798 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Lynchburg, VA, Virginia?
Median household income in Lynchburg, VA, Virginia is $67,702 — below the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of Lynchburg, VA, Virginia?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Lynchburg, VA, Virginia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 15 went Democratic and 19 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.