akashic
1876–2024
Manchester-Nashua, NH·New Hampshire

Manchester-Nashua, NH votes the way the country votes.

New Hampshire's most populous metro, where presidential primaries are decided

1876 — 2024·38 elections
NH
Latest
D+3
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
426,378
2024 ACS

Manchester-Nashua, NH, New Hampshire: Bellwether metro. In 2024, voted D+3%. Republican peak: R+42 in 1896.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+3MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
BellwetherAkashic typology
Population
426,3782024 5-year
Median household income
$103,5452024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
81.6%2024 5-year
Black
2.5%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
8.5%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+34 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+42 in 1896MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
1 counties · 1 D · 0 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+2.9%
118,777112,059234,443
D
+7.6%
122,344104,625231,659
R
−0.2%
99,589100,013214,157
D
+1.1%
102,30399,991205,667
D
+3.7%
104,82097,178203,799
R
−2.9%
94,12199,724195,247
R
−1.8%
77,62580,649165,761
D
+8.1%
71,28259,441146,635
R
−2.0%
58,47061,620157,840
R
−31.3%
45,79988,261135,778
R
−41.8%
33,31481,462115,251
R
−32.3%
31,78968,994115,304
R
−8.0%
45,54453,581100,880
R
−30.1%
34,73965,274101,377
D
+3.3%
45,42342,40992,169
D
+34.2%
60,23629,50389,739
D
+15.1%
52,13538,43090,565
R
−11.1%
36,23445,24881,528
D
+0.6%
41,80241,26383,065
D
+19.1%
41,78928,25770,742
D
+24.0%
42,30625,92168,236
D
+23.8%
42,58026,20168,781
D
+19.1%
34,99223,29361,180
D
+16.3%
32,45823,30856,161
D
+9.2%
29,45724,46554,087
R
−14.3%
16,00222,09842,773
R
−10.2%
18,73623,04042,322
D
+4.7%
10,9399,92721,428
D
+4.0%
8,9098,00722,294
R
−17.6%
8,70112,56821,938
R
−17.2%
8,83112,60321,904
R
−20.0%
8,33912,65321,535
R
−42.1%
4,96513,08019,293
R
−5.7%
8,7859,87518,963
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Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
Irish
19.9%
English
14.5%
French
10.3%
Italian
10.0%
German
8.1%
Polish
3.7%
American
3.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 41.0 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.7%
85+
1.2%
2.2%
75–84
2.8%
5.1%
65–74
5.3%
7.4%
55–64
7.4%
6.5%
45–54
6.4%
6.7%
35–44
6.4%
7.3%
25–34
6.8%
4.2%
18–24
4.0%
7.5%
5–17
7.1%
2.6%
<5
2.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$103,545
Manchester-Nashua, NH ranks near the middle of US counties.
Manchester-Nashua, NH$103,545
New Hampshire$99,031
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
6.7%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 188.5%
Working age (18–64)6.1%
Seniors (65+)8.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
86.1%
speak English only
Other Indo-European5.4%
Spanish5.3%
Asian & Pacific Islander2.1%
Other languages1.0%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
17.2%
Other Christian
6.3%
Mainline Protestant
2.1%
Non-Christian
0.7%
Baptist
0.6%
Methodist
0.5%
Pentecostal & Holiness
0.4%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 72.2% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Manchester-Nashua anchors the state's densest Democratic-leaning urban corridor, yet sits within a state famous for fierce independent-voter swings that have flipped its Electoral College votes multiple times since 2000.

The Democratic margin in Manchester-Nashua, NH has rarely exceeded thirty-four points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded forty-two points. 2024 delivered the metro to the Democratic candidate by three points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most metros. A 82% non-Hispanic-white share, a 7% poverty rate, and a median household income of $103,545 — all within the broad national range.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Manchester-Nashua, NH, New Hampshire — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/31700/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Manchester-Nashua, NH, New Hampshire vote in 2024?
In 2024, Manchester-Nashua, NH, New Hampshire voted Democratic by 2.9 points (D+3), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 234,443 votes cast, 118,777 went Democratic and 112,059 went Republican.
What is Manchester-Nashua, NH, New Hampshire's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Manchester-Nashua, NH, New Hampshire as a "Bellwether" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 17 times, Republican 17 times, and other 0 times.
When did Manchester-Nashua, NH, New Hampshire last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Manchester-Nashua, NH, New Hampshire voted Republican was 2016.
How many people live in Manchester-Nashua, NH, New Hampshire?
Manchester-Nashua, NH, New Hampshire has a population of 426,378 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Manchester-Nashua, NH, New Hampshire?
Median household income in Manchester-Nashua, NH, New Hampshire is $103,545 — above the national median of $80,734. The New Hampshire state median is $99,031.
What is the political history of Manchester-Nashua, NH, New Hampshire?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Manchester-Nashua, NH, New Hampshire from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 17 went Democratic and 17 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.