Manhattan, KS, Kansas: Bellwether metro. In 2024, voted R+16%. Republican peak: R+55 in 1952.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+16MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 133,9652024 5-year
- Median household income
- $66,7302024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 74.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 7.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 11.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+17 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+55 in 1952MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 19,131 | 26,729 | 47,172 | ||
| R | 20,061 | 26,385 | 47,857 | ||
| R | 14,288 | 21,993 | 40,255 | ||
| R | 14,644 | 22,683 | 38,425 | ||
| R | 16,585 | 23,532 | 40,928 | ||
| R | 12,615 | 23,701 | 37,062 | ||
| R | 10,885 | 19,634 | 32,850 | ||
| R | 11,187 | 19,303 | 34,141 | ||
| R | 12,591 | 14,428 | 37,343 | ||
| R | 12,548 | 17,186 | 30,129 | ||
| R | 10,069 | 20,370 | 30,747 | ||
| R | 9,305 | 16,333 | 29,266 | ||
| R | 11,699 | 16,231 | 28,661 | ||
| R | 8,339 | 19,366 | 28,318 | ||
| R | 7,854 | 14,517 | 24,302 | ||
| D | 11,448 | 11,261 | 22,952 | ||
| R | 7,972 | 16,523 | 24,587 | ||
| R | 6,284 | 17,733 | 24,118 | ||
| R | 5,489 | 19,057 | 24,660 | ||
| R | 9,029 | 15,800 | 25,248 | ||
| R | 6,493 | 13,418 | 20,036 | ||
| R | 8,023 | 15,305 | 23,511 | ||
| R | 10,361 | 12,436 | 23,045 | ||
| D | 10,716 | 10,633 | 21,894 | ||
| R | 5,335 | 13,789 | 19,248 | ||
| R | 3,840 | 12,473 | 18,183 | ||
| R | 3,865 | 11,760 | 15,905 | ||
| R | 7,211 | 8,739 | 16,560 | ||
| O | 3,569 | 1,870 | 10,257 | ||
| R | 4,002 | 6,183 | 10,403 | ||
| R | 2,159 | 6,314 | 8,867 | ||
| R | 4,217 | 5,915 | 10,239 | ||
| R | 4,890 | 5,249 | 10,252 | ||
| O | 0 | 4,641 | 9,297 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — |
Demographics
Manhattan's electorate is shaped by the presence of Kansas State University, which injects a younger, more transient population into an otherwise rural, reliably Republican stretch of northeast Kansas.
The Democratic margin in Manhattan, KS has rarely exceeded seventeen points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded fifty-five points. 2024 delivered the metro to the Republican candidate by sixteen points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most metros. A 75% non-Hispanic-white share, a 17% poverty rate, and a median household income of $66,730 — all within the broad national range.
Manhattan, KS, Kansas — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/31740/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.