Mankato, MN, Minnesota: Bellwether metro. In 2024, voted R+1%. Republican peak: R+65 in 1920.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+1MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 104,2822024 5-year
- Median household income
- $76,2192024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 85.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+21 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+65 in 1920MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 26,999 | 27,541 | 55,859 | ||
| D | 27,952 | 25,749 | 55,176 | ||
| R | 22,314 | 24,104 | 51,690 | ||
| D | 27,816 | 23,130 | 52,631 | ||
| D | 29,212 | 22,750 | 53,315 | ||
| D | 25,662 | 24,426 | 50,860 | ||
| R | 19,370 | 20,163 | 42,729 | ||
| D | 19,192 | 14,139 | 39,103 | ||
| D | 17,586 | 13,904 | 42,886 | ||
| D | 19,161 | 18,837 | 38,331 | ||
| R | 17,666 | 21,770 | 39,696 | ||
| R | 16,330 | 18,402 | 39,760 | ||
| D | 18,707 | 18,069 | 37,933 | ||
| R | 15,318 | 18,932 | 34,731 | ||
| R | 13,498 | 14,242 | 28,771 | ||
| D | 15,808 | 11,614 | 27,533 | ||
| R | 12,013 | 16,611 | 28,668 | ||
| R | 8,103 | 16,720 | 24,852 | ||
| R | 7,536 | 17,642 | 25,268 | ||
| R | 10,935 | 11,096 | 22,279 | ||
| R | 7,419 | 13,774 | 21,283 | ||
| R | 8,712 | 14,316 | 23,121 | ||
| D | 12,391 | 7,910 | 21,772 | ||
| D | 11,885 | 7,767 | 20,019 | ||
| R | 7,643 | 11,748 | 19,512 | ||
| R | 1,410 | 9,291 | 17,326 | ||
| R | 2,530 | 13,009 | 16,182 | ||
| R | 3,025 | 4,152 | 7,512 | ||
| D | 2,954 | 1,869 | 7,717 | ||
| R | 3,023 | 4,689 | 8,215 | ||
| R | 1,932 | 5,250 | 7,565 | ||
| R | 3,112 | 5,331 | 8,841 | ||
| R | 3,581 | 5,858 | 9,767 | ||
| D | 3,778 | 3,336 | 8,128 | ||
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Demographics
Anchored by Minnesota State University, Mankato anchors a mid-size metro that has trended more competitive than its surrounding Greater Minnesota counties, with younger, education-driven in-migration reshaping its precinct-level margins over the past decade.
The Democratic margin in Mankato, MN has rarely exceeded twenty-one points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded sixty-five points. 2024 delivered the metro to the Republican candidate by one points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most metros. A 86% non-Hispanic-white share, a 13% poverty rate, and a median household income of $76,219 — all within the broad national range.
Mankato, MN, Minnesota — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/31860/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.