Mansfield, OH, Ohio: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+42%. Republican peak: R+43 in 1928.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+42MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 125,0992024 5-year
- Median household income
- $59,5092024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 84.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 7.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+27 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+43 in 1928MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 16,591 | 41,298 | 58,362 | ||
| R | 17,640 | 41,472 | 59,975 | ||
| R | 16,085 | 36,590 | 56,106 | ||
| R | 22,687 | 33,867 | 58,241 | ||
| R | 25,727 | 34,034 | 61,239 | ||
| R | 24,638 | 36,872 | 61,840 | ||
| R | 20,572 | 30,138 | 52,779 | ||
| R | 20,832 | 23,697 | 51,451 | ||
| R | 19,606 | 23,532 | 56,697 | ||
| R | 19,617 | 30,047 | 50,047 | ||
| R | 16,141 | 35,299 | 51,836 | ||
| R | 18,253 | 29,213 | 50,824 | ||
| R | 23,065 | 24,310 | 49,251 | ||
| R | 13,468 | 31,117 | 45,641 | ||
| R | 14,988 | 23,484 | 43,787 | ||
| D | 24,799 | 18,833 | 43,632 | ||
| R | 19,645 | 27,317 | 46,962 | ||
| R | 13,578 | 26,098 | 39,676 | ||
| R | 14,780 | 25,829 | 40,609 | ||
| R | 14,712 | 15,894 | 30,886 | ||
| R | 15,406 | 18,065 | 33,471 | ||
| D | 18,645 | 17,157 | 35,802 | ||
| D | 20,070 | 11,220 | 32,758 | ||
| D | 15,225 | 12,531 | 28,249 | ||
| R | 7,295 | 18,468 | 25,909 | ||
| R | 6,703 | 12,013 | 21,645 | ||
| R | 9,349 | 10,940 | 20,727 | ||
| D | 6,985 | 4,886 | 12,283 | ||
| D | 5,201 | 2,389 | 10,698 | ||
| D | 6,702 | 5,301 | 12,326 | ||
| R | 5,407 | 5,587 | 11,438 | ||
| D | 6,581 | 5,461 | 12,162 | ||
| D | 6,256 | 5,115 | 11,444 | ||
| D | 5,398 | 3,994 | 9,796 | ||
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Demographics
Mansfield's voter behavior tracks closely with Ohio's broader working-class industrial belt, where deindustrialization reshaped party coalitions over the past two decades. Turnout tends to lag state averages despite the area's mid-sized population base.
The Democratic margin in Mansfield, OH peaked at twenty-seven points in 1936. By 1968 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was forty-two points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $59,509 sits well below state and national norms, and 14% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Mansfield, OH, Ohio — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/31900/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.