akashic
1876–2024
Mansfield, OH·Ohio

Mansfield, OH was solidly Democratic for decades. In the last twenty years, it flipped.

Richland County anchor with a long manufacturing identity

18762024·38 elections
OH
Latest
R+42
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
125,099
2024 ACS

Mansfield, OH, Ohio: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+42%. Republican peak: R+43 in 1928.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+42MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
PopulistAkashic typology
Population
125,0992024 5-year
Median household income
$59,5092024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
84.6%2024 5-year
Black
7.2%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
2.3%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+27 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+43 in 1928MIT Election Lab
1 counties · 0 D · 1 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−42.3%
16,59141,29858,362
R
−39.7%
17,64041,47259,975
R
−36.5%
16,08536,59056,106
R
−19.2%
22,68733,86758,241
R
−13.6%
25,72734,03461,239
R
−19.8%
24,63836,87261,840
R
−18.1%
20,57230,13852,779
R
−5.6%
20,83223,69751,451
R
−6.9%
19,60623,53256,697
R
−20.8%
19,61730,04750,047
R
−37.0%
16,14135,29951,836
R
−21.6%
18,25329,21350,824
R
−2.5%
23,06524,31049,251
R
−38.7%
13,46831,11745,641
R
−19.4%
14,98823,48443,787
D
+13.7%
24,79918,83343,632
R
−16.3%
19,64527,31746,962
R
−31.6%
13,57826,09839,676
R
−27.2%
14,78025,82940,609
R
−3.8%
14,71215,89430,886
R
−7.9%
15,40618,06533,471
D
+4.2%
18,64517,15735,802
D
+27.0%
20,07011,22032,758
D
+9.5%
15,22512,53128,249
R
−43.1%
7,29518,46825,909
R
−24.5%
6,70312,01321,645
R
−7.7%
9,34910,94020,727
D
+17.1%
6,9854,88612,283
D
+26.3%
5,2012,38910,698
D
+11.4%
6,7025,30112,326
R
−1.6%
5,4075,58711,438
D
+9.2%
6,5815,46112,162
D
+10.0%
6,2565,11511,444
D
+14.3%
5,3983,9949,796
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
24.4%
English
11.9%
Irish
10.9%
American
7.2%
Italian
3.7%
Polish
1.7%
Scottish
1.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
95.3%
speak English only
Other Indo-European2.7%
Spanish1.2%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.4%
Other languages0.3%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Other Christian
22.7%
Pentecostal & Holiness
6.0%
Catholic & Orthodox
5.7%
Mainline Protestant
3.8%
Methodist
3.2%
Baptist
2.0%
Non-Christian
0.6%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 56.0% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Mansfield's voter behavior tracks closely with Ohio's broader working-class industrial belt, where deindustrialization reshaped party coalitions over the past two decades. Turnout tends to lag state averages despite the area's mid-sized population base.

The Democratic margin in Mansfield, OH peaked at twenty-seven points in 1936. By 1968 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was forty-two points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.

The economic context is the key. The median household income of $59,509 sits well below state and national norms, and 14% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Mansfield, OH, Ohio — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/31900/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Mansfield, OH, Ohio vote in 2024?
In 2024, Mansfield, OH, Ohio voted Republican by 42.3 points (R+42), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 58,362 votes cast, 16,591 went Democratic and 41,298 went Republican.
What is Mansfield, OH, Ohio's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Mansfield, OH, Ohio as a "Populist" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 10 times, Republican 24 times, and other 0 times.
When did Mansfield, OH, Ohio last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Mansfield, OH, Ohio voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Mansfield, OH, Ohio?
Mansfield, OH, Ohio has a population of 125,099 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Mansfield, OH, Ohio?
Median household income in Mansfield, OH, Ohio is $59,509 — below the national median of $80,734. The Ohio state median is $71,389.
What is the political history of Mansfield, OH, Ohio?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Mansfield, OH, Ohio from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 24 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.