akashic
1876–2024
Marshall, MN·Minnesota

Marshall, MN peaked at D+37; 2024 delivered R+32.

A regional hub where agriculture and higher education shape the electorate

18762024·38 elections
MN
Latest
R+32
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
25,503
2024 ACS

Marshall, MN, Minnesota: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+32%. Republican peak: R+71 in 1904.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+32MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
PopulistAkashic typology
Population
25,5032024 5-year
Median household income
$75,3032024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
81.7%2024 5-year
Black
2.6%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
7.9%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+37 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+71 in 1904MIT Election Lab
1 counties · 0 D · 1 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−31.7%
4,2848,40012,990
R
−25.9%
4,6347,97912,893
R
−28.1%
3,8257,25612,215
R
−9.1%
5,4656,59412,388
R
−1.6%
6,1106,31512,708
R
−15.1%
5,2927,20312,673
R
−11.8%
4,7376,08711,489
D
+1.1%
5,0624,93211,477
R
−0.9%
4,4814,59112,324
R
−2.7%
5,6575,96911,736
R
−14.1%
5,3897,17012,659
R
−1.8%
5,6265,85212,911
D
+16.7%
7,1225,03612,458
R
−1.8%
5,6145,82011,630
D
+9.9%
5,3174,3319,966
D
+35.5%
6,6493,1659,822
D
+7.9%
5,5504,74010,305
R
−10.6%
4,1905,1889,386
R
−19.7%
4,0306,01510,069
D
+33.3%
6,1443,0549,286
D
+12.3%
4,6403,6178,295
D
+9.7%
5,2344,3059,575
D
+31.0%
5,1632,5518,424
D
+36.9%
4,9892,2647,383
R
−10.6%
3,2744,0587,388
R
−48.6%
3343,5196,553
R
−53.4%
1,2324,5576,229
D
+14.1%
1,8931,3893,564
O
+20.7%
1,0684602,939
R
−20.1%
1,0431,6182,854
R
−70.5%
3302,3942,926
R
−33.8%
8791,8442,854
R
−8.9%
1,3511,6233,072
D
+27.7%
1,0684862,099
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
34.1%
Irish
6.4%
English
5.3%
French
3.7%
Polish
2.9%
American
2.6%
Italian
0.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
88.8%
speak English only
Spanish6.1%
Asian & Pacific Islander3.0%
Other Indo-European1.6%
Other languages0.6%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Mainline Protestant
26.7%
Catholic & Orthodox
25.4%
Other Christian
6.3%
Methodist
1.6%
Pentecostal & Holiness
0.9%
Non-Christian
0.8%
Baptist
0.2%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 38.1% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Marshall anchors Lyon County in southwestern Minnesota's farm belt, where Southwest Minnesota State University adds a modest academic presence to a predominantly rural, agriculture-driven voting base that has trended Republican in recent cycles by double-digit margins.

The Democratic margin in Marshall, MN peaked at thirty-seven points in 1932. By 2000 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was thirty-two points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.

The economic context is the key. The median household income of $75,303 sits well below state and national norms, and 12% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Marshall, MN, Minnesota — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/32140/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Marshall, MN, Minnesota vote in 2024?
In 2024, Marshall, MN, Minnesota voted Republican by 31.7 points (R+32), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 12,990 votes cast, 4,284 went Democratic and 8,400 went Republican.
What is Marshall, MN, Minnesota's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Marshall, MN, Minnesota as a "Populist" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 12 times, Republican 21 times, and other 1 times.
When did Marshall, MN, Minnesota last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Marshall, MN, Minnesota voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Marshall, MN, Minnesota?
Marshall, MN, Minnesota has a population of 25,503 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Marshall, MN, Minnesota?
Median household income in Marshall, MN, Minnesota is $75,303 — below the national median of $80,734. The Minnesota state median is $89,062.
What is the political history of Marshall, MN, Minnesota?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Marshall, MN, Minnesota from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 12 went Democratic and 21 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.