Marshall, MO, Missouri: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+40%. Republican peak: R+40 in 2024.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+40MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 23,2312024 5-year
- Median household income
- $57,9312024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 79.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 12.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+38 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+40 in 2024MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 2,726 | 6,498 | 9,330 | ||
| R | 2,904 | 6,451 | 9,533 | ||
| R | 2,789 | 5,977 | 9,274 | ||
| R | 3,790 | 5,104 | 9,108 | ||
| R | 4,712 | 4,962 | 9,848 | ||
| R | 4,479 | 5,389 | 9,939 | ||
| D | 4,585 | 4,572 | 9,355 | ||
| D | 4,765 | 2,931 | 8,854 | ||
| D | 4,643 | 2,688 | 10,166 | ||
| D | 5,039 | 4,625 | 9,696 | ||
| R | 4,281 | 6,042 | 10,323 | ||
| R | 4,943 | 5,218 | 10,576 | ||
| D | 5,890 | 4,883 | 10,845 | ||
| R | 3,460 | 6,641 | 10,101 | ||
| R | 4,646 | 4,698 | 10,048 | ||
| D | 7,308 | 3,635 | 10,943 | ||
| R | 5,969 | 6,085 | 12,054 | ||
| R | 5,841 | 5,970 | 11,811 | ||
| R | 6,318 | 6,926 | 13,271 | ||
| D | 7,185 | 4,822 | 12,029 | ||
| D | 6,715 | 6,022 | 12,753 | ||
| D | 7,988 | 7,336 | 15,352 | ||
| D | 8,622 | 6,108 | 14,776 | ||
| D | 8,389 | 3,783 | 12,245 | ||
| R | 6,251 | 6,780 | 13,044 | ||
| D | 6,564 | 4,990 | 12,125 | ||
| D | 7,114 | 5,613 | 12,812 | ||
| D | 4,503 | 2,966 | 7,564 | ||
| D | 3,929 | 1,443 | 6,892 | ||
| D | 4,189 | 2,926 | 7,184 | ||
| D | 3,710 | 2,805 | 6,666 | ||
| D | 4,901 | 2,814 | 7,836 | ||
| D | 5,615 | 3,050 | 8,752 | ||
| D | 4,565 | 2,622 | 7,872 | ||
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Demographics
Marshall anchors Saline County, a historically Democratic river-bottom county that has shifted sharply Republican over the past two decades, mirroring the broader realignment across rural Missouri's agricultural interior.
The Democratic margin in Marshall, MO peaked at thirty-eight points in 1932. By 2004 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was forty points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $57,931 sits well below state and national norms, and 16% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Marshall, MO, Missouri — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/32180/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.