Marshalltown, IA, Iowa: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+16%. Republican peak: R+61 in 1920.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+16MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 40,1142024 5-year
- Median household income
- $73,3152024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 70.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 24.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+22 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+61 in 1920MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 7,134 | 9,815 | 17,270 | ||
| R | 8,176 | 9,571 | 18,136 | ||
| R | 7,652 | 9,146 | 18,175 | ||
| D | 10,257 | 8,472 | 19,064 | ||
| D | 10,023 | 8,278 | 18,657 | ||
| R | 9,443 | 9,557 | 19,164 | ||
| R | 8,322 | 8,785 | 17,624 | ||
| D | 8,669 | 7,017 | 17,324 | ||
| D | 8,303 | 6,784 | 18,289 | ||
| D | 9,760 | 7,657 | 17,549 | ||
| R | 8,809 | 10,839 | 19,840 | ||
| R | 7,114 | 10,707 | 19,626 | ||
| R | 8,695 | 9,562 | 18,630 | ||
| R | 6,618 | 10,798 | 17,744 | ||
| R | 6,362 | 9,402 | 16,686 | ||
| D | 9,815 | 6,323 | 16,176 | ||
| R | 6,761 | 10,265 | 17,042 | ||
| R | 5,755 | 10,305 | 16,425 | ||
| R | 5,314 | 11,135 | 16,890 | ||
| R | 5,602 | 6,698 | 12,833 | ||
| R | 5,598 | 7,325 | 13,157 | ||
| R | 6,497 | 8,503 | 15,065 | ||
| R | 6,297 | 7,377 | 14,008 | ||
| R | 6,385 | 6,604 | 13,483 | ||
| R | 3,384 | 9,326 | 12,792 | ||
| R | 1,516 | 9,010 | 13,233 | ||
| R | 2,166 | 9,334 | 11,800 | ||
| R | 2,414 | 4,172 | 6,916 | ||
| O | 2,162 | 926 | 6,717 | ||
| R | 1,941 | 3,887 | 6,337 | ||
| R | 1,203 | 4,229 | 6,337 | ||
| R | 2,329 | 4,878 | 7,496 | ||
| R | 2,626 | 4,541 | 7,342 | ||
| R | 2,312 | 3,441 | 6,080 | ||
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Demographics
Marshalltown's large meatpacking workforce has driven one of Iowa's fastest-growing Hispanic populations, creating a community where shifting demographics and union-household voting patterns make precinct-level targeting unusually consequential.
The Democratic margin in Marshalltown, IA peaked at twenty-two points in 1964. By 2016 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was sixteen points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $73,315 sits well below state and national norms, and 11% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Marshalltown, IA, Iowa — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/32260/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.