akashic
1876–2024
McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX·Texas

McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX peaked at D+84; 2024 delivered R+3.

A majority-Hispanic border metro where turnout patterns keep shifting

1876 — 2024·38 elections
TX
Latest
R+3
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
891,977
2024 ACS

McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX, Texas: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+3%. Democratic peak: D+84 in 1912.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+3MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
PopulistAkashic typology
Population
891,9772024 5-year
Median household income
$54,3382024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
27.8%2024 5-year
Black
0.7%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
91.9%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+84 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+25 in 1952MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
1 counties · 0 D · 1 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−2.9%
104,517110,760217,265
D
+17.1%
128,19990,527220,884
D
+40.2%
118,80948,642174,408
D
+41.7%
97,96939,865139,322
D
+38.7%
90,26139,668130,784
D
+10.1%
62,36950,931113,683
D
+22.8%
61,39038,301101,050
D
+37.6%
56,33524,43784,727
D
+27.5%
51,20526,97688,160
D
+29.9%
54,33029,24683,870
D
+11.4%
44,14735,05979,432
D
+14.2%
34,54225,80861,717
D
+29.0%
35,02119,19954,593
R
−11.0%
18,36622,92041,499
D
+15.2%
20,08714,45537,111
D
+31.2%
22,11011,56333,756
D
+15.5%
18,66313,62832,406
R
−14.9%
9,80413,27023,327
R
−24.6%
9,25115,30324,602
D
+20.6%
9,5266,22016,018
D
+25.9%
7,2504,08012,234
D
+21.8%
7,4714,78712,285
D
+38.0%
6,7822,96210,053
D
+52.6%
9,6952,96912,784
R
−3.0%
4,0344,2858,335
D
+54.7%
3,6629964,872
D
+36.6%
2,4091,1083,559
D
+66.6%
1,3642601,657
D
+83.7%
1,203391,390
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Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
2.4%
German
1.7%
English
1.1%
Irish
1.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 30.5 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.5%
85+
0.8%
1.7%
75–84
2.1%
3.0%
65–74
3.6%
4.1%
55–64
4.6%
5.6%
45–54
5.9%
6.1%
35–44
6.1%
7.0%
25–34
6.7%
5.6%
18–24
5.5%
11.8%
5–17
11.4%
4.0%
<5
3.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$54,338
McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX ranks near the middle of US counties.
McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX$54,338
Texas$78,476
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
26.7%
Children face higher poverty than working-age adults.
Children under 1836.4%
Working age (18–64)22.2%
Seniors (65+)23.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
19.9%
speak English only
Spanish78.9%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.7%
Other Indo-European0.3%
Other languages0.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
46.6%
Other Christian
9.9%
Baptist
2.2%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.1%
Methodist
0.7%
Mainline Protestant
0.6%
Non-Christian
0.3%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 38.6% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Anchored by Hidalgo County along the Rio Grande, this metro is roughly 90% Hispanic and drew national attention after posting unexpected rightward swings in recent presidential cycles despite decades of lopsided Democratic margins.

The Democratic margin in McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX peaked at eighty-four points in 1912. By 2024 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was three points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.

The economic context is the key. The median household income of $54,338 sits well below state and national norms, and 27% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX, Texas — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/32580/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX, Texas voted Republican by 2.9 points (R+3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 217,265 votes cast, 104,517 went Democratic and 110,760 went Republican.
What is McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX, Texas's political archetype?
Akashic classifies McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX, Texas as a "Populist" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 24 times, Republican 5 times, and other 0 times.
When did McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX, Texas voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX, Texas?
McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX, Texas has a population of 891,977 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX, Texas?
Median household income in McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX, Texas is $54,338 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX, Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 24 went Democratic and 5 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.