Medford, OR, Oregon: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+6%. Republican peak: R+52 in 1928.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+6MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 222,6452024 5-year
- Median household income
- $73,9992024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 80.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 14.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+26 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+52 in 1928MIT Election Lab
Constituent county margins for Medford, OR, OROne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 54,065 | 61,743 | 119,572 | ||
| R | 59,478 | 63,869 | 127,165 | ||
| R | 44,447 | 53,870 | 109,327 | ||
| R | 44,468 | 49,020 | 97,127 | ||
| D | 49,090 | 49,043 | 101,047 | ||
| R | 44,366 | 56,519 | 102,189 | ||
| R | 33,153 | 46,052 | 84,796 | ||
| R | 29,230 | 33,771 | 73,647 | ||
| D | 29,146 | 28,704 | 77,096 | ||
| R | 28,028 | 32,516 | 61,912 | ||
| R | 23,230 | 37,895 | 61,359 | ||
| R | 19,903 | 32,879 | 58,740 | ||
| R | 23,384 | 24,237 | 50,236 | ||
| R | 14,529 | 24,003 | 41,561 | ||
| R | 12,714 | 19,577 | 34,842 | ||
| D | 19,486 | 14,598 | 34,084 | ||
| R | 14,531 | 17,554 | 32,157 | ||
| R | 12,733 | 17,201 | 29,934 | ||
| R | 8,674 | 18,279 | 27,060 | ||
| R | 7,342 | 11,226 | 19,072 | ||
| R | 6,668 | 8,598 | 15,426 | ||
| R | 6,754 | 8,507 | 15,339 | ||
| D | 7,520 | 4,866 | 13,914 | ||
| D | 7,519 | 5,459 | 13,639 | ||
| R | 2,463 | 8,053 | 10,676 | ||
| R | 1,840 | 4,868 | 9,141 | ||
| R | 2,503 | 4,382 | 7,326 | ||
| D | 4,874 | 3,538 | 8,978 | ||
| O | 2,079 | 847 | 5,243 | ||
| R | 1,537 | 2,032 | 4,057 | ||
| R | 798 | 1,992 | 3,257 | ||
| R | 1,525 | 1,565 | 3,249 | ||
| D | 2,354 | 1,387 | 3,788 | ||
| O | 466 | 959 | 2,737 | ||
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Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
15.7%
German
14.6%
Irish
11.6%
Italian
4.5%
American
4.0%
Scottish
2.8%
French
2.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 42.8 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$73,999
Medford, OR ranks near the middle of US counties.
Medford, OR$73,999
Oregon$83,011
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
12.4%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1811.7%
Working age (18–64)12.9%
Seniors (65+)9.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
90.6%
speak English only
Spanish7.6%
Other Indo-European1.1%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.6%
Other languages0.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 72.0% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Medford anchors Jackson County, which has trended more conservative than Oregon's urban centers despite steady in-migration from California. Its retiree-heavy demographic and timber-era roots keep it competitive in a reliably blue state.
The Democratic margin in Medford, OR peaked at twenty-six points in 1896. By 2012 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was six points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $73,999 sits well below state and national norms, and 12% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Medford, OR, Oregon — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/32780/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did Medford, OR, Oregon vote in 2024?
In 2024, Medford, OR, Oregon voted Republican by 6.4 points (R+6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 119,572 votes cast, 54,065 went Democratic and 61,743 went Republican.
What is Medford, OR, Oregon's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Medford, OR, Oregon as a "Populist" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 7 times, Republican 25 times, and other 2 times.
When did Medford, OR, Oregon last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Medford, OR, Oregon voted Democratic was 2008.
How many people live in Medford, OR, Oregon?
Medford, OR, Oregon has a population of 222,645 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Medford, OR, Oregon?
Median household income in Medford, OR, Oregon is $73,999 — below the national median of $80,734. The Oregon state median is $83,011.
What is the political history of Medford, OR, Oregon?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Medford, OR, Oregon from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 7 went Democratic and 25 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.