akashic
1876–2024
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach, FL·Florida

Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach, FL delivered D+1 in 2024 — close enough to flip again next time.

South Florida's sprawling tri-county metro where margins shift with each wave of arrivals

1876 — 2024·38 elections
FL
Latest
D+1
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
6,249,291
2024 ACS

Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach, FL, Florida: Tossup metro. In 2024, voted D+1%. Democratic peak: D+96 in 1892.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+1MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
TossupAkashic typology
Population
6,249,2912024 5-year
Median household income
$76,5162024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
36.7%2024 5-year
Black
19.8%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
46.7%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+96 in 1892MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+31 in 1972MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
3 counties · 2 D · 1 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+1.0%
1,359,4431,331,0252,713,214
D
+16.2%
1,670,1881,200,9532,887,646
D
+27.7%
1,552,139867,3522,474,487
D
+25.7%
1,399,403824,4802,235,457
D
+24.2%
1,353,742824,3172,187,885
D
+18.4%
1,192,292818,4572,026,220
D
+22.4%
986,381620,4771,634,013
D
+26.3%
869,021486,4211,456,234
D
+12.0%
718,839540,4951,483,144
R
−7.4%
579,443672,7481,258,087
R
−17.8%
534,538765,8331,300,469
R
−16.0%
449,182639,2201,188,396
D
+9.9%
576,243470,7951,062,942
R
−31.4%
292,645561,727857,375
R
−5.5%
266,139303,535676,951
D
+12.0%
321,183252,358573,541
D
+2.5%
260,796248,137508,933
R
−21.3%
136,441210,236346,677
R
−19.8%
118,599177,275295,874
D
+9.0%
76,18562,230155,148
D
+28.0%
77,37643,568120,944
D
+31.5%
70,22736,583106,810
D
+43.2%
42,02716,67958,706
D
+31.7%
28,84714,96743,814
R
−24.8%
14,35224,04739,156
D
+3.6%
5,4384,88615,306
D
+6.0%
6,1915,41112,963
D
+33.5%
2,7611,0984,970
D
+59.8%
1,6291302,507
D
+43.3%
9612751,586
D
+45.5%
8873071,275
D
+30.5%
8063891,365
D
+0.5%
372368792
D
+95.6%
1090114
—
No data
———
D
+19.4%
402767
—
No data
———
—
No data
———

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
5.4%
Italian
4.8%
German
4.1%
Irish
4.0%
English
3.2%
Polish
1.7%
French
1.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 42.0 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
1.0%
85+
1.7%
2.7%
75–84
3.5%
4.7%
65–74
5.6%
6.6%
55–64
6.9%
6.7%
45–54
6.7%
6.7%
35–44
6.6%
6.5%
25–34
6.4%
4.0%
18–24
3.8%
7.5%
5–17
7.2%
2.7%
<5
2.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$76,516
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach, FL ranks near the middle of US counties.
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach, FL$76,516
Florida$74,568
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
13.1%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1816.7%
Working age (18–64)11.5%
Seniors (65+)18.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
44.8%
speak English only
Spanish43.2%
Other Indo-European9.7%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.3%
Other languages1.0%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
23.9%
Other Christian
11.1%
Baptist
5.0%
Non-Christian
2.6%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.4%
Mainline Protestant
1.1%
Methodist
0.9%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 53.8% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Rapid in-migration from Latin America and the Northeast has steadily reshaped the electorate, making registration trends and turnout patterns among naturalized citizens some of the most closely watched signals in Florida statewide races.

The metro's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached ninety-six points in 1892; the Republican margin reached thirty-one points in 1972. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Its demographics — a population of 6,249,291, a 37% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $76,516 — situate the metro close to national averages on several dimensions.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach, FL, Florida — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/33100/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach, FL, Florida vote in 2024?
In 2024, Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach, FL, Florida voted Democratic by 1.0 points (D+1), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 2,713,214 votes cast, 1,359,443 went Democratic and 1,331,025 went Republican.
What is Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach, FL, Florida's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach, FL, Florida as a "Tossup" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 27 times, Republican 8 times, and other 0 times.
When did Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach, FL, Florida last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach, FL, Florida voted Republican was 1988.
How many people live in Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach, FL, Florida?
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach, FL, Florida has a population of 6,249,291 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach, FL, Florida?
Median household income in Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach, FL, Florida is $76,516 — below the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach, FL, Florida?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach, FL, Florida from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 27 went Democratic and 8 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Tossup" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.