akashic
1876–2024
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI·Minnesota

Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI delivered D+17 in 2024.

Twin Cities metro anchors Minnesota's electoral math

1876 — 2024·38 elections
MN
Latest
D+17
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
3,713,668
2024 ACS

Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI, Minnesota: Bellwether metro. In 2024, voted D+17%. Republican peak: R+54 in 1904.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+17MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
BellwetherAkashic typology
Population
3,713,6682024 5-year
Median household income
$100,1942024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
72.5%2024 5-year
Black
9.2%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
6.8%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+29 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+54 in 1904MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
15 counties · 4 D · 11 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+16.8%
1,213,755856,9842,125,508
D
+19.3%
1,259,771843,8772,154,823
D
+12.7%
992,990750,7181,911,715
D
+11.8%
1,041,062817,2161,901,966
D
+13.8%
1,039,202783,2971,858,143
D
+6.9%
942,996819,6661,783,730
D
+6.3%
755,209660,1271,513,432
D
+19.1%
701,279448,2221,327,013
D
+14.6%
642,441434,6821,421,495
D
+9.9%
677,241553,9021,243,390
D
+3.9%
615,342569,2621,192,288
D
+9.7%
552,129441,8481,136,129
D
+14.0%
590,491441,6921,064,340
R
−3.3%
440,188471,070932,718
D
+17.3%
469,406325,224832,480
D
+28.9%
512,100281,912796,155
D
+3.7%
392,405364,640759,054
R
−6.3%
302,115343,134646,619
R
−4.4%
308,901337,500649,860
D
+16.3%
308,022219,312543,185
D
+9.1%
275,413229,072508,926
D
+5.1%
276,426249,589531,170
D
+28.6%
289,039149,674486,886
D
+19.7%
249,434165,189427,641
R
−13.5%
180,092236,734420,929
R
−45.1%
25,829177,635336,341
R
−43.7%
63,605188,289285,601
D
+9.7%
77,87163,259149,991
O
+11.4%
40,98727,268120,670
R
−24.0%
41,45270,193119,508
R
−54.4%
20,18179,029108,168
R
−25.3%
40,38469,233113,901
R
−18.3%
50,43773,751127,221
D
+2.6%
49,26446,494107,358
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Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
27.0%
Irish
10.8%
English
7.0%
Polish
3.9%
American
3.0%
French
2.7%
Italian
2.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 38.0 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.6%
85+
1.1%
2.0%
75–84
2.4%
4.5%
65–74
4.9%
6.3%
55–64
6.4%
6.1%
45–54
5.9%
7.3%
35–44
7.1%
7.1%
25–34
6.9%
4.2%
18–24
4.1%
8.8%
5–17
8.5%
3.0%
<5
2.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$100,194
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI ranks near the middle of US counties.
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI$100,194
Minnesota$89,062
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
8.2%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 189.5%
Working age (18–64)7.7%
Seniors (65+)9.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
84.8%
speak English only
Asian & Pacific Islander4.7%
Spanish4.6%
Other languages3.6%
Other Indo-European2.3%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
20.2%
Mainline Protestant
12.1%
Other Christian
6.0%
Non-Christian
4.2%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.5%
Methodist
1.1%
Baptist
0.7%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 53.2% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Home to roughly 3.7 million residents, the Minneapolis–St. Paul metro generates a Democratic-leaning vote share that routinely offsets rural outstate margins, making it the decisive weight in statewide contests.

The Democratic margin in Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI has rarely exceeded twenty-nine points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded fifty-four points. 2024 delivered the metro to the Democratic candidate by seventeen points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most metros. A 73% non-Hispanic-white share, a 8% poverty rate, and a median household income of $100,194 — all within the broad national range.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI, Minnesota — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/33460/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI, Minnesota vote in 2024?
In 2024, Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI, Minnesota voted Democratic by 16.8 points (D+17), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 2,125,508 votes cast, 1,213,755 went Democratic and 856,984 went Republican.
What is Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI, Minnesota's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI, Minnesota as a "Bellwether" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 23 times, Republican 10 times, and other 1 times.
When did Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI, Minnesota last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI, Minnesota voted Republican was 1972.
How many people live in Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI, Minnesota?
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI, Minnesota has a population of 3,713,668 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI, Minnesota?
Median household income in Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI, Minnesota is $100,194 — above the national median of $80,734. The Minnesota state median is $89,062.
What is the political history of Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI, Minnesota?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI, Minnesota from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 23 went Democratic and 10 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.