akashic
1876–2024
Minot, ND·North Dakota

Minot, ND peaked at D+37; 2024 delivered R+49.

Williston Basin energy economy shapes a reliably Republican electorate

18762024·38 elections
ND
Latest
R+49
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
76,484
2024 ACS

Minot, ND, North Dakota: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+49%. Republican peak: R+61 in 1892.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+49MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
PopulistAkashic typology
Population
76,4842024 5-year
Median household income
$78,2892024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
82.6%2024 5-year
Black
4.3%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
6.7%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+37 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+61 in 1892MIT Election Lab
3 counties · 0 D · 3 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−49.1%
7,87323,85132,512
R
−47.1%
8,07723,40332,568
R
−48.2%
6,49721,67931,525
R
−30.5%
9,78218,75929,453
R
−19.1%
11,63017,23429,383
R
−33.2%
9,76319,70529,901
R
−28.8%
8,86416,49926,551
R
−7.6%
10,31812,30926,074
R
−14.3%
9,60914,03230,918
R
−12.4%
12,40815,96028,561
R
−36.0%
9,21119,72529,198
R
−42.7%
7,06319,07328,135
R
−10.9%
12,48615,60628,678
R
−32.6%
8,96217,78627,049
R
−11.2%
9,58012,15623,017
D
+23.7%
14,8709,16624,111
R
−8.1%
11,40213,40724,831
R
−20.6%
8,61213,09621,753
R
−38.8%
6,96115,92823,089
R
−6.3%
7,7978,90417,646
R
−4.5%
8,8519,70118,693
R
−1.8%
11,19211,61523,023
D
+37.1%
13,9325,37223,085
D
+37.1%
14,0356,28020,923
R
−15.0%
8,07110,94819,154
O
−35.3%
1,1056,50715,285
R
−48.0%
3,72011,68716,615
D
+24.4%
5,1192,9678,815
O
+13.1%
2,4501,4997,271
R
−21.0%
4,4597,05812,365
R
−58.4%
1,4706,1568,022
R
−41.5%
5861,4752,143
R
−17.8%
359516880
R
−61.4%
0383624
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
30.6%
Irish
8.6%
English
6.3%
French
2.6%
American
2.5%
Polish
1.4%
Italian
1.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
94.7%
speak English only
Spanish2.4%
Other Indo-European1.3%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.1%
Other languages0.5%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Mainline Protestant
18.6%
Catholic & Orthodox
16.9%
Other Christian
4.9%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.9%
Baptist
1.1%
Methodist
0.9%
Non-Christian
0.2%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 55.6% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Minot anchors north-central North Dakota's oil-patch workforce, where presidential margins have run 30-plus points Republican in recent cycles and military ties to Minot Air Force Base add a significant active-duty demographic to the voter pool.

The Democratic margin in Minot, ND peaked at thirty-seven points in 1936. By 1968 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was forty-nine points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.

The economic context is the key. The median household income of $78,289 sits well below state and national norms, and 9% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Minot, ND, North Dakota — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/33500/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Minot, ND, North Dakota vote in 2024?
In 2024, Minot, ND, North Dakota voted Republican by 49.1 points (R+49), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 32,512 votes cast, 7,873 went Democratic and 23,851 went Republican.
What is Minot, ND, North Dakota's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Minot, ND, North Dakota as a "Populist" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 4 times, Republican 28 times, and other 2 times.
When did Minot, ND, North Dakota last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Minot, ND, North Dakota voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Minot, ND, North Dakota?
Minot, ND, North Dakota has a population of 76,484 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Minot, ND, North Dakota?
Median household income in Minot, ND, North Dakota is $78,289 — below the national median of $80,734. The North Dakota state median is $76,657.
What is the political history of Minot, ND, North Dakota?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Minot, ND, North Dakota from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 4 went Democratic and 28 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.