Minot, ND, North Dakota: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+49%. Republican peak: R+61 in 1892.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+49MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 76,4842024 5-year
- Median household income
- $78,2892024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 82.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 6.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+37 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+61 in 1892MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 7,873 | 23,851 | 32,512 | ||
| R | 8,077 | 23,403 | 32,568 | ||
| R | 6,497 | 21,679 | 31,525 | ||
| R | 9,782 | 18,759 | 29,453 | ||
| R | 11,630 | 17,234 | 29,383 | ||
| R | 9,763 | 19,705 | 29,901 | ||
| R | 8,864 | 16,499 | 26,551 | ||
| R | 10,318 | 12,309 | 26,074 | ||
| R | 9,609 | 14,032 | 30,918 | ||
| R | 12,408 | 15,960 | 28,561 | ||
| R | 9,211 | 19,725 | 29,198 | ||
| R | 7,063 | 19,073 | 28,135 | ||
| R | 12,486 | 15,606 | 28,678 | ||
| R | 8,962 | 17,786 | 27,049 | ||
| R | 9,580 | 12,156 | 23,017 | ||
| D | 14,870 | 9,166 | 24,111 | ||
| R | 11,402 | 13,407 | 24,831 | ||
| R | 8,612 | 13,096 | 21,753 | ||
| R | 6,961 | 15,928 | 23,089 | ||
| R | 7,797 | 8,904 | 17,646 | ||
| R | 8,851 | 9,701 | 18,693 | ||
| R | 11,192 | 11,615 | 23,023 | ||
| D | 13,932 | 5,372 | 23,085 | ||
| D | 14,035 | 6,280 | 20,923 | ||
| R | 8,071 | 10,948 | 19,154 | ||
| O | 1,105 | 6,507 | 15,285 | ||
| R | 3,720 | 11,687 | 16,615 | ||
| D | 5,119 | 2,967 | 8,815 | ||
| O | 2,450 | 1,499 | 7,271 | ||
| R | 4,459 | 7,058 | 12,365 | ||
| R | 1,470 | 6,156 | 8,022 | ||
| R | 586 | 1,475 | 2,143 | ||
| R | 359 | 516 | 880 | ||
| R | 0 | 383 | 624 | ||
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Demographics
Minot anchors north-central North Dakota's oil-patch workforce, where presidential margins have run 30-plus points Republican in recent cycles and military ties to Minot Air Force Base add a significant active-duty demographic to the voter pool.
The Democratic margin in Minot, ND peaked at thirty-seven points in 1936. By 1968 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was forty-nine points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $78,289 sits well below state and national norms, and 9% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Minot, ND, North Dakota — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/33500/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.