akashic
1876–2024
Missoula, MT·Montana

Missoula, MT has voted Democratic in six straight presidential cycles.

Montana's college hub swings Democratic in a reliably red state

1876 — 2024·38 elections
MT
Latest
D+19
in 2024
Archetype
Democratic loyalist
since the recent cycles
Population
125,631
2024 ACS

Missoula, MT, Montana: Democratic loyalist metro. In 2024, voted D+19%. Democratic peak: D+72 in 1896.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+19MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
Democratic loyalistAkashic typology
Population
125,6312024 5-year
Median household income
$75,1182024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
87.1%2024 5-year
Black
0.4%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
5.0%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+72 in 1896MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+33 in 1904MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
2 counties · 1 D · 1 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+18.8%
43,59229,35575,606
D
+21.4%
44,04328,17574,058
D
+13.5%
32,06223,58062,734
D
+16.3%
33,52423,86859,253
D
+25.5%
37,37621,79661,070
D
+4.2%
27,52525,23154,291
R
−10.2%
17,62322,55248,215
D
+12.9%
22,53216,58345,997
D
+17.2%
21,01113,30144,934
D
+9.1%
19,96716,58137,097
R
−9.0%
17,25820,72038,641
R
−8.8%
13,77516,96136,251
R
−3.3%
15,91817,02933,351
R
−5.8%
14,44316,26331,468
R
−5.8%
8,97410,22821,461
D
+24.1%
13,8018,43322,278
R
−6.7%
9,56210,94520,577
R
−21.1%
7,31211,23318,545
R
−17.8%
7,39210,60618,095
D
+4.9%
7,4806,76414,733
D
+1.8%
5,9595,75111,820
D
+16.1%
8,3926,04214,605
D
+46.2%
8,3472,91211,763
D
+16.5%
5,8204,07910,571
R
−19.8%
3,6615,4999,299
O
−16.1%
1,1352,6099,136
R
−11.6%
3,6544,7219,203
D
+19.0%
4,8503,1778,789
O
+20.1%
1,5235894,658
R
−1.9%
1,7801,8564,022
R
−33.3%
9962,2393,738
D
+15.1%
1,8931,3923,326
D
+72.0%
2,2593652,630
D
+5.7%
2,3402,0455,136
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Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
20.7%
Irish
15.2%
English
12.9%
Italian
4.5%
American
3.7%
French
3.5%
Scottish
3.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 37.6 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.7%
85+
0.9%
2.4%
75–84
2.7%
5.2%
65–74
5.6%
5.5%
55–64
5.7%
5.6%
45–54
5.4%
7.2%
35–44
6.7%
8.0%
25–34
7.5%
6.2%
18–24
6.3%
6.9%
5–17
6.7%
2.5%
<5
2.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$75,118
Missoula, MT ranks near the middle of US counties.
Missoula, MT$75,118
Montana$72,509
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
10.2%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 188.1%
Working age (18–64)10.9%
Seniors (65+)9.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
95.3%
speak English only
Other Indo-European1.7%
Spanish1.6%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.2%
Other languages0.3%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Other Christian
10.8%
Catholic & Orthodox
9.3%
Mainline Protestant
3.3%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.3%
Non-Christian
0.8%
Baptist
0.7%
Methodist
0.4%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 73.4% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Home to the University of Montana, Missoula County has voted Democratic in recent presidential cycles by double-digit margins, making it one of the sharpest blue outliers in a state that leans heavily Republican statewide.

The Democratic margin in Missoula, MT reached its widest at seventy-two points in 1896. The margin in 2024 was nineteen points — still decisive.

Its loyalty is rooted in its place. Median household income of $75,118, a 87% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 125,631 together describe a metro whose political habits are deeply settled.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Missoula, MT, Montana — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/33540/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Missoula, MT, Montana vote in 2024?
In 2024, Missoula, MT, Montana voted Democratic by 18.8 points (D+19), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 75,606 votes cast, 43,592 went Democratic and 29,355 went Republican.
What is Missoula, MT, Montana's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Missoula, MT, Montana as a "Democratic loyalist" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 19 times, Republican 13 times, and other 2 times.
When did Missoula, MT, Montana last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Missoula, MT, Montana voted Republican was 2000.
How many people live in Missoula, MT, Montana?
Missoula, MT, Montana has a population of 125,631 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Missoula, MT, Montana?
Median household income in Missoula, MT, Montana is $75,118 — below the national median of $80,734. The Montana state median is $72,509.
What is the political history of Missoula, MT, Montana?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Missoula, MT, Montana from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 19 went Democratic and 13 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Democratic loyalist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.