Mobile, AL, Alabama: Old Confederacy metro. In 2024, voted R+16%. Democratic peak: D+82 in 1936.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+16MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- Old ConfederacyAkashic typology
- Population
- 412,5902024 5-year
- Median household income
- $58,8802024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 55.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 35.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+82 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+71 in 1964MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 72,055 | 100,759 | 175,164 | ||
| R | 79,474 | 101,243 | 183,164 | ||
| R | 72,186 | 95,116 | 170,593 | ||
| R | 78,760 | 94,893 | 174,864 | ||
| R | 82,181 | 98,049 | 181,424 | ||
| R | 63,732 | 92,014 | 156,771 | ||
| R | 58,640 | 78,162 | 139,745 | ||
| R | 54,749 | 66,775 | 130,103 | ||
| R | 54,962 | 72,935 | 143,788 | ||
| R | 45,524 | 72,203 | 118,597 | ||
| R | 47,252 | 81,923 | 130,959 | ||
| R | 46,180 | 67,515 | 116,992 | ||
| R | 50,264 | 53,835 | 105,876 | ||
| R | 20,694 | 62,639 | 85,634 | ||
| O | 18,615 | 10,509 | 91,936 | ||
| R | 0 | 49,493 | 69,981 | ||
| D | 28,626 | 24,608 | 54,542 | ||
| R | 17,163 | 20,639 | 39,534 | ||
| D | 14,473 | 14,153 | 28,715 | ||
| O | 0 | 2,685 | 13,835 | ||
| D | 9,439 | 2,867 | 12,423 | ||
| D | 11,480 | 1,887 | 13,493 | ||
| D | 11,165 | 1,072 | 12,299 | ||
| D | 9,658 | 1,710 | 11,447 | ||
| D | 5,965 | 5,058 | 11,033 | ||
| D | 4,125 | 1,814 | 6,355 | ||
| D | 6,171 | 2,681 | 9,023 | ||
| D | 2,968 | 832 | 3,896 | ||
| D | 3,009 | 140 | 3,762 | ||
| D | 2,422 | 453 | 3,228 | ||
| D | 3,283 | 325 | 3,675 | ||
| D | 2,939 | 2,243 | 5,387 | ||
| D | 3,948 | 2,778 | 7,357 | ||
| D | 4,680 | 397 | 7,056 | ||
| D | 3,109 | 2,542 | 5,651 | ||
| D | 2,806 | 2,787 | 5,609 | ||
| D | 3,784 | 3,239 | 7,224 | ||
| D | 5,330 | 4,272 | 9,602 |
Demographics
Mobile's electorate blends a substantial Black voting-age population with a white working-class majority shaped by shipbuilding and petrochemical industries, producing GOP margins at the top of the ticket that have widened steadily since the 1990s.
The shift began with civil rights. 1964 marked the realignment in Mobile, AL, by a seventy-one points margin. The Republican margin reached its widest at seventy-one points in 1964. The 2024 margin was sixteen points.
The political shift has tracked, in Mobile, AL, the political shift of the South more broadly. A 56% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $58,880, and a 16% poverty rate describe the demographic context.
Mobile, AL, Alabama — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/33660/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.