akashic
1876–2024
Mobile, AL·Alabama

Mobile, AL voted Democratic for a century; it now votes Republican by 16 points.

Gulf Coast port metro where turnout patterns track industrial employment

18762024·38 elections
AL
Latest
R+16
in 2024
Archetype
Old Confederacy
since the recent cycles
Population
412,590
2024 ACS

Mobile, AL, Alabama: Old Confederacy metro. In 2024, voted R+16%. Democratic peak: D+82 in 1936.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+16MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
Old ConfederacyAkashic typology
Population
412,5902024 5-year
Median household income
$58,8802024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
55.6%2024 5-year
Black
35.9%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
3.5%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+82 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+71 in 1964MIT Election Lab
1 counties · 0 D · 1 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−16.4%
72,055100,759175,164
R
−11.9%
79,474101,243183,164
R
−13.4%
72,18695,116170,593
R
−9.2%
78,76094,893174,864
R
−8.7%
82,18198,049181,424
R
−18.0%
63,73292,014156,771
R
−14.0%
58,64078,162139,745
R
−9.2%
54,74966,775130,103
R
−12.5%
54,96272,935143,788
R
−22.5%
45,52472,203118,597
R
−26.5%
47,25281,923130,959
R
−18.2%
46,18067,515116,992
R
−3.4%
50,26453,835105,876
R
−49.0%
20,69462,63985,634
O
+8.8%
18,61510,50991,936
R
−70.7%
049,49369,981
D
+7.4%
28,62624,60854,542
R
−8.8%
17,16320,63939,534
D
+1.1%
14,47314,15328,715
O
−19.4%
02,68513,835
D
+52.9%
9,4392,86712,423
D
+71.1%
11,4801,88713,493
D
+82.1%
11,1651,07212,299
D
+69.4%
9,6581,71011,447
D
+8.2%
5,9655,05811,033
D
+36.4%
4,1251,8146,355
D
+38.7%
6,1712,6819,023
D
+54.8%
2,9688323,896
D
+76.3%
3,0091403,762
D
+61.0%
2,4224533,228
D
+80.5%
3,2833253,675
D
+12.9%
2,9392,2435,387
D
+15.9%
3,9482,7787,357
D
+60.7%
4,6803977,056
D
+10.0%
3,1092,5425,651
D
+0.3%
2,8062,7875,609
D
+7.5%
3,7843,2397,224
D
+11.0%
5,3304,2729,602

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
9.4%
American
8.2%
Irish
7.5%
German
6.2%
French
2.5%
Scottish
1.7%
Italian
1.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
95.2%
speak English only
Spanish2.1%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.5%
Other Indo-European0.7%
Other languages0.4%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
29.4%
Other Christian
16.6%
Catholic & Orthodox
10.8%
Pentecostal & Holiness
7.0%
Methodist
5.7%
Mainline Protestant
2.1%
Non-Christian
1.5%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 26.9% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Mobile's electorate blends a substantial Black voting-age population with a white working-class majority shaped by shipbuilding and petrochemical industries, producing GOP margins at the top of the ticket that have widened steadily since the 1990s.

The shift began with civil rights. 1964 marked the realignment in Mobile, AL, by a seventy-one points margin. The Republican margin reached its widest at seventy-one points in 1964. The 2024 margin was sixteen points.

The political shift has tracked, in Mobile, AL, the political shift of the South more broadly. A 56% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $58,880, and a 16% poverty rate describe the demographic context.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Mobile, AL, Alabama — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/33660/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Mobile, AL, Alabama vote in 2024?
In 2024, Mobile, AL, Alabama voted Republican by 16.4 points (R+16), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 175,164 votes cast, 72,055 went Democratic and 100,759 went Republican.
What is Mobile, AL, Alabama's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Mobile, AL, Alabama as a "Old Confederacy" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 20 times, Republican 16 times, and other 2 times.
When did Mobile, AL, Alabama last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Mobile, AL, Alabama voted Democratic was 1960.
How many people live in Mobile, AL, Alabama?
Mobile, AL, Alabama has a population of 412,590 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Mobile, AL, Alabama?
Median household income in Mobile, AL, Alabama is $58,880 — below the national median of $80,734. The Alabama state median is $63,999.
What is the political history of Mobile, AL, Alabama?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Mobile, AL, Alabama from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 20 went Democratic and 16 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Old Confederacy" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.