Monroe, MI, Michigan: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+27%. Democratic peak: D+39 in 1964.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+27MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 155,5052024 5-year
- Median household income
- $77,3352024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 90.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+39 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+27 in 2024MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 32,622 | 57,405 | 91,488 | ||
| R | 32,975 | 52,710 | 87,148 | ||
| R | 26,863 | 43,261 | 74,655 | ||
| D | 36,310 | 35,593 | 73,095 | ||
| D | 39,180 | 35,858 | 76,422 | ||
| R | 36,089 | 37,470 | 74,132 | ||
| D | 31,555 | 28,940 | 61,795 | ||
| D | 26,072 | 19,678 | 52,529 | ||
| D | 24,957 | 20,250 | 59,031 | ||
| R | 21,847 | 26,189 | 48,324 | ||
| R | 19,617 | 29,419 | 49,287 | ||
| R | 20,578 | 25,612 | 49,964 | ||
| D | 23,290 | 20,676 | 44,597 | ||
| R | 17,726 | 23,263 | 42,479 | ||
| D | 18,921 | 15,685 | 39,572 | ||
| D | 26,528 | 11,499 | 38,111 | ||
| D | 19,684 | 18,607 | 38,423 | ||
| R | 14,414 | 18,782 | 33,305 | ||
| R | 12,758 | 17,159 | 30,074 | ||
| R | 10,434 | 11,070 | 21,824 | ||
| R | 10,275 | 13,478 | 23,836 | ||
| R | 10,368 | 13,517 | 23,945 | ||
| D | 11,075 | 8,330 | 21,284 | ||
| D | 12,417 | 7,255 | 20,010 | ||
| R | 7,242 | 10,202 | 17,507 | ||
| R | 4,981 | 8,940 | 15,383 | ||
| R | 5,224 | 8,646 | 14,096 | ||
| D | 4,202 | 3,787 | 8,119 | ||
| D | 2,995 | 2,253 | 7,297 | ||
| R | 3,451 | 4,206 | 7,926 | ||
| R | 3,127 | 4,407 | 7,739 | ||
| R | 3,859 | 3,876 | 7,929 | ||
| D | 4,208 | 4,053 | 8,421 | ||
| D | 3,769 | 2,914 | 7,021 | ||
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Demographics
Monroe County sits between Detroit and Toledo, and its working-class manufacturing base has produced some of the sharpest partisan swings in southeastern Michigan over the past three election cycles.
The Democratic margin in Monroe, MI peaked at thirty-nine points in 1964. By 2016 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was twenty-seven points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $77,335 sits well below state and national norms, and 11% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Monroe, MI, Michigan — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/33780/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.