akashic
1876–2024
Monticello, NY·New York

Monticello, NY peaked at D+35; 2024 delivered R+17.

Catskills gateway where resort-era roots meet new rural migration

18762024·38 elections
NY
Latest
R+17
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
79,721
2024 ACS

Monticello, NY, New York: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+17%. Republican peak: R+35 in 1920.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+17MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
PopulistAkashic typology
Population
79,7212024 5-year
Median household income
$72,3822024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
69.9%2024 5-year
Black
9.2%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
19.0%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+35 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+35 in 1920MIT Election Lab
1 counties · 0 D · 1 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−16.6%
14,54920,38635,062
R
−9.2%
15,48918,66534,647
R
−11.2%
12,56815,93129,955
D
+9.0%
15,26812,70528,415
D
+9.5%
16,85013,90031,183
R
−0.9%
15,03415,31930,966
D
+5.8%
14,34812,70328,528
D
+20.3%
15,0529,32128,244
D
+7.3%
13,71711,39631,635
R
−14.8%
11,63515,71327,568
R
−26.4%
10,47518,03728,590
R
−20.3%
9,55315,08927,218
D
+1.7%
14,18913,70928,096
R
−26.7%
9,84717,03526,938
R
−3.3%
10,86011,65724,198
D
+35.2%
16,7288,00624,775
R
−8.9%
11,48613,74425,279
R
−27.9%
8,93715,84524,782
R
−27.5%
8,42114,92623,626
R
−17.0%
7,65411,25321,152
R
−12.0%
8,83611,25820,167
R
−9.6%
9,78511,87721,738
D
+0.8%
9,9089,75719,982
D
+7.4%
9,6568,29418,517
R
−24.5%
6,20710,33116,861
R
−27.0%
4,0577,73413,604
R
−35.4%
3,6238,02912,458
R
−8.3%
3,6594,3408,181
D
+10.2%
3,8643,0398,092
R
−7.8%
3,9114,5938,746
R
−10.6%
3,5824,4528,189
R
−9.4%
3,6254,3938,148
R
−19.3%
3,0734,5897,864
R
−1.3%
3,5673,6647,589
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
Irish
14.0%
German
13.5%
Italian
10.4%
English
6.8%
American
5.1%
Polish
4.0%
French
1.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
77.9%
speak English only
Spanish12.9%
Other Indo-European6.8%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.2%
Other languages1.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
17.0%
Non-Christian
9.4%
Methodist
2.9%
Mainline Protestant
1.5%
Other Christian
1.3%
Pentecostal & Holiness
0.8%
Baptist
0.5%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 66.6% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Sullivan County's county seat anchors a small metro long shaped by its Borscht Belt past; recent decades have brought Hasidic Jewish community growth that has measurably shifted local electoral coalitions and school-board politics.

The Democratic margin in Monticello, NY peaked at thirty-five points in 1964. By 2016 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was seventeen points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.

The economic context is the key. The median household income of $72,382 sits well below state and national norms, and 16% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Monticello, NY, New York — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/33910/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Monticello, NY, New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, Monticello, NY, New York voted Republican by 16.6 points (R+17), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 35,062 votes cast, 14,549 went Democratic and 20,386 went Republican.
What is Monticello, NY, New York's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Monticello, NY, New York as a "Populist" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 10 times, Republican 24 times, and other 0 times.
When did Monticello, NY, New York last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Monticello, NY, New York voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Monticello, NY, New York?
Monticello, NY, New York has a population of 79,721 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Monticello, NY, New York?
Median household income in Monticello, NY, New York is $72,382 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Monticello, NY, New York?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Monticello, NY, New York from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 24 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.