akashic
1876–2024
Mount Sterling, KY·Kentucky

Mount Sterling, KY peaked at D+40; 2024 delivered R+49.

A small Appalachian trade hub where rural voting patterns run deep

18762024·38 elections
KY
Latest
R+49
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
47,476
2024 ACS

Mount Sterling, KY, Kentucky: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+49%. Republican peak: R+49 in 2024.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+49MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
PopulistAkashic typology
Population
47,4762024 5-year
Median household income
$54,9522024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
93.3%2024 5-year
Black
1.0%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
2.9%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+40 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+49 in 2024MIT Election Lab
3 counties · 0 D · 3 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−49.4%
5,27115,90621,510
R
−43.3%
5,95315,29021,570
R
−41.1%
5,21912,94818,818
R
−21.4%
6,51910,15716,968
R
−9.3%
7,7209,33617,363
R
−4.1%
8,3989,13117,677
R
−6.9%
6,9588,00715,241
D
+14.2%
6,2374,51812,147
D
+20.2%
7,2264,40613,960
D
+4.6%
6,2775,71912,049
R
−12.0%
5,2276,66911,967
D
+14.2%
6,5314,87911,659
D
+31.3%
6,2953,2749,661
R
−17.9%
3,7365,3839,219
R
−5.9%
3,3563,8999,156
D
+39.9%
6,6862,8679,571
D
+4.9%
5,6845,15610,840
D
+10.5%
6,0624,90811,005
D
+18.0%
6,2724,35610,653
D
+36.6%
6,1302,7949,115
D
+20.4%
5,4943,6309,143
D
+25.6%
6,4593,81810,307
D
+24.6%
6,5123,93310,483
D
+33.3%
7,1443,56510,753
R
−11.8%
4,4935,69710,217
D
+12.4%
5,3134,1299,535
D
+16.7%
6,6584,74111,465
D
+18.1%
4,2312,9247,203
D
+26.2%
3,7352,0146,581
D
+12.2%
4,1363,2277,456
D
+9.5%
3,7103,0586,881
D
+7.7%
4,2703,6577,977
D
+8.3%
4,0513,4227,579
D
+16.0%
3,4252,4476,100
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
26.1%
English
12.0%
Irish
8.5%
German
7.0%
Scottish
1.0%
Italian
0.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
95.3%
speak English only
Spanish2.5%
Other Indo-European1.8%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.4%
Other languages0.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Other Christian
12.1%
Pentecostal & Holiness
9.4%
Baptist
9.2%
Mainline Protestant
4.8%
Methodist
1.5%
Catholic & Orthodox
1.1%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 62.0% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Montgomery County anchors this compact metro at the eastern edge of the Bluegrass region, where Republican margins in federal races have widened steadily over the past two decades as coal-era economic anxieties reshaped voter alignment.

The Democratic margin in Mount Sterling, KY peaked at forty points in 1964. By 2000 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was forty-nine points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.

The economic context is the key. The median household income of $54,952 sits well below state and national norms, and 20% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Mount Sterling, KY, Kentucky — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/34460/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Mount Sterling, KY, Kentucky vote in 2024?
In 2024, Mount Sterling, KY, Kentucky voted Republican by 49.4 points (R+49), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 21,510 votes cast, 5,271 went Democratic and 15,906 went Republican.
What is Mount Sterling, KY, Kentucky's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Mount Sterling, KY, Kentucky as a "Populist" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 23 times, Republican 11 times, and other 0 times.
When did Mount Sterling, KY, Kentucky last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Mount Sterling, KY, Kentucky voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Mount Sterling, KY, Kentucky?
Mount Sterling, KY, Kentucky has a population of 47,476 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Mount Sterling, KY, Kentucky?
Median household income in Mount Sterling, KY, Kentucky is $54,952 — below the national median of $80,734. The Kentucky state median is $63,726.
What is the political history of Mount Sterling, KY, Kentucky?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Mount Sterling, KY, Kentucky from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 23 went Democratic and 11 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.