Muncie, IN, Indiana: Bellwether metro. In 2024, voted R+16%. Republican peak: R+38 in 1928.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+16MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 112,2802024 5-year
- Median household income
- $58,1272024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 85.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+19 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+38 in 1928MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 18,848 | 26,067 | 45,881 | ||
| R | 20,474 | 26,827 | 48,191 | ||
| R | 18,100 | 24,217 | 45,410 | ||
| D | 22,654 | 21,251 | 45,074 | ||
| D | 28,384 | 20,916 | 49,863 | ||
| R | 20,436 | 27,064 | 47,939 | ||
| R | 20,876 | 22,105 | 44,147 | ||
| D | 20,385 | 18,126 | 44,863 | ||
| R | 19,556 | 20,473 | 50,721 | ||
| R | 20,548 | 27,348 | 48,112 | ||
| R | 19,791 | 30,092 | 50,171 | ||
| R | 20,923 | 28,342 | 52,647 | ||
| R | 25,151 | 26,417 | 52,087 | ||
| R | 17,936 | 32,468 | 50,567 | ||
| R | 19,532 | 23,554 | 49,523 | ||
| D | 28,469 | 20,022 | 48,678 | ||
| R | 23,266 | 26,167 | 49,610 | ||
| R | 20,818 | 24,792 | 45,827 | ||
| R | 18,733 | 24,272 | 43,590 | ||
| D | 17,060 | 15,662 | 33,525 | ||
| D | 18,780 | 17,340 | 36,575 | ||
| D | 20,836 | 17,616 | 38,691 | ||
| D | 19,048 | 14,207 | 33,527 | ||
| R | 14,346 | 16,012 | 31,245 | ||
| R | 8,532 | 19,102 | 27,770 | ||
| R | 7,830 | 14,411 | 23,340 | ||
| R | 8,329 | 14,845 | 24,030 | ||
| R | 5,946 | 6,919 | 13,771 | ||
| O | 4,313 | 2,018 | 12,278 | ||
| R | 5,725 | 7,014 | 13,676 | ||
| R | 3,673 | 8,522 | 13,450 | ||
| R | 4,647 | 8,301 | 13,430 | ||
| R | 4,253 | 7,340 | 11,784 | ||
| R | 2,862 | 4,908 | 8,307 | ||
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Demographics
Once a Democratic stronghold anchored by auto-parts manufacturing, the Muncie metro shifted sharply rightward across the 2010s as union employment declined and college-educated voters remained a minority of the electorate.
The Democratic margin in Muncie, IN has rarely exceeded nineteen points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded thirty-eight points. 2024 delivered the metro to the Republican candidate by sixteen points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most metros. A 85% non-Hispanic-white share, a 20% poverty rate, and a median household income of $58,127 — all within the broad national range.
Muncie, IN, Indiana — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/34620/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.