Naples-Marco Island, FL, Florida: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+33%. Democratic peak: D+84 in 1932.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+33MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 398,2912024 5-year
- Median household income
- $90,0452024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 65.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 6.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 28.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+84 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+62 in 1972MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 71,673 | 143,244 | 216,299 | ||
| R | 77,621 | 128,950 | 207,818 | ||
| R | 61,085 | 105,423 | 170,789 | ||
| R | 51,698 | 96,520 | 149,112 | ||
| R | 54,450 | 86,379 | 141,988 | ||
| R | 43,892 | 83,631 | 128,683 | ||
| R | 29,939 | 60,467 | 92,202 | ||
| R | 23,185 | 42,593 | 72,517 | ||
| R | 18,796 | 38,448 | 71,944 | ||
| R | 12,769 | 38,920 | 51,980 | ||
| R | 9,067 | 33,619 | 42,691 | ||
| R | 7,739 | 23,900 | 33,613 | ||
| R | 8,764 | 14,643 | 23,710 | ||
| R | 3,201 | 13,501 | 16,744 | ||
| R | 2,230 | 5,362 | 10,544 | ||
| R | 2,877 | 3,581 | 6,458 | ||
| R | 1,750 | 2,708 | 4,458 | ||
| R | 1,304 | 1,934 | 3,238 | ||
| D | 1,104 | 1,086 | 2,190 | ||
| D | 362 | 247 | 880 | ||
| D | 640 | 180 | 820 | ||
| D | 809 | 156 | 965 | ||
| D | 902 | 88 | 990 | ||
| D | 424 | 37 | 461 | ||
| D | 256 | 151 | 408 | ||
| D | 148 | 15 | 180 | ||
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Demographics
Naples-Marco Island ranks among the wealthiest metros in the U.S., and Collier County's retiree-heavy, high-income electorate has produced some of the largest Republican margins in statewide Florida contests over the past two decades.
The Democratic margin in Naples-Marco Island, FL peaked at eighty-four points in 1932. By 1956 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was thirty-three points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $90,045 sits well below state and national norms, and 11% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Naples-Marco Island, FL, Florida — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/34940/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.