Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN Metro Area — Elections 1876–2024

Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN, Tennessee: Old Confederacy metro. In 2024, voted R+17%. Democratic peak: D+67 in 1936.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+17MIT Election Lab
Political archetype: Old ConfederacyAkashic typology
Population: 2,079,5962024 5-year
Median household income: $88,6372024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 70.1%2024 5-year
Black: 14.0%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 10.1%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+67 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+28 in 1972MIT Election Lab

2024 results by constituent county

14 counties · 1 D · 13 R

R+60

D+60

One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.

38 presidential elections

Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
Year	Won	Margin	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	−17.4%	378,720	542,365	938,734
2020	R	−10.8%	401,381	500,933	923,304
2016	R	−16.3%	281,062	398,113	719,346
2012	R	−16.4%	278,481	389,779	679,447
2008	R	−10.5%	314,069	388,882	711,956
2004	R	−12.8%	275,021	356,687	635,748
2000	D	+1.6%	257,907	249,423	516,073
1996	D	+6.1%	226,786	198,876	454,970
1992	D	+10.3%	221,469	174,973	449,788
1988	R	−12.7%	159,423	206,188	367,654
1984	R	−11.4%	160,469	201,884	364,810
1980	D	+17.6%	191,769	132,732	334,777
1976	D	+27.1%	186,641	106,387	296,379
1972	R	−27.7%	79,931	143,708	230,124
1968	O	+0.7%	71,975	70,250	241,476
1964	D	+32.6%	141,102	71,660	212,762
1960	D	+13.0%	106,593	81,853	190,078
1956	D	+29.4%	106,834	57,915	166,362
1952	D	+25.7%	101,174	59,736	161,309
1948	D	+41.6%	52,225	17,037	84,668
1944	D	+49.2%	59,971	20,357	80,556
1940	D	+56.6%	62,484	17,275	79,941
1936	D	+66.9%	55,169	10,805	66,289
1932	D	+59.5%	50,857	12,683	64,198
1928	D	+9.1%	32,990	27,491	60,559
1924	D	+44.7%	31,538	11,474	44,898
1920	D	+24.3%	41,004	24,909	66,192
1916	D	+41.2%	32,733	13,477	46,685
1912	D	+46.7%	32,977	10,662	47,828
1908	D	+37.4%	29,990	13,512	44,024
1904	D	+38.0%	28,736	12,595	42,483
1900	D	+32.5%	31,546	15,828	48,424
1896	D	+26.3%	37,625	21,714	60,455
1892	D	+34.6%	29,712	12,760	49,024
1888	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	No data	—	—	—

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry

Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.

English

13.7%

American

10.5%

German

9.7%

Irish

8.9%

Italian

2.7%

Scottish

2.3%

French

1.6%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.

Age distribution by sex

Median age: 37.1 in this county, 39.1 nationally

Male

Age

Female

0.4%

85+

0.8%

1.8%

75–84

2.3%

4.1%

65–74

4.7%

5.8%

55–64

6.1%

6.2%

45–54

6.3%

7.1%

35–44

7.2%

7.5%

25–34

7.8%

4.5%

18–24

4.5%

8.6%

5–17

8.2%

3.1%

3.0%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Median household income

2024 inflation-adjusted dollars

$88,637

Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN ranks near the middle of US counties.

Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN$88,637

Tennessee$69,595

United States$80,734

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Poverty rate

All persons below federal poverty line

10.4%

Child poverty is below the national average.

Children under 1814.3%

Working age (18–64)9.3%

Seniors (65+)9.8%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Language at home

Population aged 5 and older

87.1%

speak English only

Spanish7.4%

Other languages2.0%

Other Indo-European1.8%

Asian & Pacific Islander1.8%

Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.

Religious adherents

Adherents per capita by tradition

Baptist

16.4%

Other Christian

16.4%

Catholic & Orthodox

7.1%

Methodist

4.8%

Mainline Protestant

2.9%

Pentecostal & Holiness

2.3%

Non-Christian

1.5%

Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 48.5% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Nashville's metro has absorbed hundreds of thousands of new residents since 2010, compressing Republican margins in Davidson County's suburbs even as the city core votes reliably Democratic by double digits.

The shift began with civil rights. 2004 marked the realignment in Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN, by a thirteen points margin. The Republican margin reached its widest at twenty-eight points in 1972. The 2024 margin was seventeen points.

The political shift has tracked, in Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN, the political shift of the South more broadly. A 70% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $88,637, and a 10% poverty rate describe the demographic context.

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN, Tennessee — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/34980/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN, Tennessee vote in 2024?

In 2024, Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN, Tennessee voted Republican by 17.4 points (R+17), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 938,734 votes cast, 378,720 went Democratic and 542,365 went Republican.

What is Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN, Tennessee's political archetype?

Akashic classifies Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN, Tennessee as a "Old Confederacy" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 24 times, Republican 9 times, and other 1 times.

When did Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN, Tennessee last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN, Tennessee voted Democratic was 2000.

How many people live in Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN, Tennessee?

Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN, Tennessee has a population of 2,079,596 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN, Tennessee?

Median household income in Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN, Tennessee is $88,637 — above the national median of $80,734. The Tennessee state median is $69,595.

What is the political history of Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN, Tennessee?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN, Tennessee from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 24 went Democratic and 9 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Old Confederacy" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.

Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN voted Democratic for a century; it now votes Republican by 17 points.

Key facts

Demographics

Frequently asked questions