New Bern, NC, North Carolina: Old Confederacy metro. In 2024, voted R+22%. Democratic peak: D+74 in 1912.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+22MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- Old ConfederacyAkashic typology
- Population
- 124,3042024 5-year
- Median household income
- $64,7932024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 66.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 19.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+74 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+48 in 1972MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 26,694 | 42,115 | 69,612 | ||
| R | 26,058 | 39,161 | 66,221 | ||
| R | 22,143 | 34,963 | 59,006 | ||
| R | 23,762 | 33,816 | 58,162 | ||
| R | 24,568 | 31,541 | 56,537 | ||
| R | 18,247 | 29,861 | 48,307 | ||
| D | 24,607 | 16,223 | 41,191 | ||
| R | 14,350 | 17,216 | 33,696 | ||
| R | 14,189 | 14,942 | 34,108 | ||
| R | 11,447 | 16,003 | 27,525 | ||
| R | 11,363 | 17,509 | 28,950 | ||
| D | 12,203 | 11,459 | 24,216 | ||
| D | 11,682 | 7,897 | 19,763 | ||
| R | 4,396 | 12,869 | 17,497 | ||
| O | 6,745 | 4,097 | 20,578 | ||
| D | 11,415 | 6,503 | 17,918 | ||
| D | 10,775 | 5,326 | 16,101 | ||
| D | 9,645 | 4,325 | 13,970 | ||
| D | 9,193 | 4,056 | 13,249 | ||
| D | 7,647 | 1,543 | 9,881 | ||
| D | 7,388 | 1,756 | 9,144 | ||
| D | 7,735 | 1,589 | 9,324 | ||
| D | 8,733 | 1,501 | 10,234 | ||
| D | 7,350 | 1,263 | 8,711 | ||
| R | 3,858 | 3,994 | 7,852 | ||
| D | 4,432 | 963 | 5,441 | ||
| D | 5,663 | 2,124 | 7,787 | ||
| D | 3,202 | 1,302 | 4,522 | ||
| D | 3,148 | 188 | 4,000 | ||
| D | 2,612 | 1,265 | 3,903 | ||
| D | 2,767 | 956 | 3,724 | ||
| D | 3,339 | 2,833 | 6,172 | ||
| R | 3,485 | 4,249 | 7,832 | ||
| D | 2,484 | 2,426 | 5,901 | ||
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Demographics
New Bern anchors a small metro at the confluence of the Neuse and Trent rivers, where military-connected households from nearby Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station contribute to a consistently right-of-center baseline in federal and statewide contests.
The shift began with civil rights. 2004 marked the realignment in New Bern, NC, by a twenty-four points margin. The Republican margin reached its widest at forty-eight points in 1972. The 2024 margin was twenty-two points.
The political shift has tracked, in New Bern, NC, the political shift of the South more broadly. A 67% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $64,793, and a 14% poverty rate describe the demographic context.
New Bern, NC, North Carolina — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/35100/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.