akashic
1876–2024
New Bern, NC·North Carolina

New Bern, NC voted Democratic for a century; it now votes Republican by 22 points.

Historic Coastal Plain city where suburban growth is reshaping a longtime Republican lean

18762024·38 elections
NC
Latest
R+22
in 2024
Archetype
Old Confederacy
since the recent cycles
Population
124,304
2024 ACS

New Bern, NC, North Carolina: Old Confederacy metro. In 2024, voted R+22%. Democratic peak: D+74 in 1912.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+22MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
Old ConfederacyAkashic typology
Population
124,3042024 5-year
Median household income
$64,7932024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
66.8%2024 5-year
Black
19.9%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
7.3%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+74 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+48 in 1972MIT Election Lab
3 counties · 0 D · 3 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−22.2%
26,69442,11569,612
R
−19.8%
26,05839,16166,221
R
−21.7%
22,14334,96359,006
R
−17.3%
23,76233,81658,162
R
−12.3%
24,56831,54156,537
R
−24.0%
18,24729,86148,307
D
+20.4%
24,60716,22341,191
R
−8.5%
14,35017,21633,696
R
−2.2%
14,18914,94234,108
R
−16.6%
11,44716,00327,525
R
−21.2%
11,36317,50928,950
D
+3.1%
12,20311,45924,216
D
+19.2%
11,6827,89719,763
R
−48.4%
4,39612,86917,497
O
+12.9%
6,7454,09720,578
D
+27.4%
11,4156,50317,918
D
+33.8%
10,7755,32616,101
D
+38.1%
9,6454,32513,970
D
+38.8%
9,1934,05613,249
D
+61.8%
7,6471,5439,881
D
+61.6%
7,3881,7569,144
D
+65.9%
7,7351,5899,324
D
+70.7%
8,7331,50110,234
D
+69.9%
7,3501,2638,711
R
−1.7%
3,8583,9947,852
D
+63.8%
4,4329635,441
D
+45.4%
5,6632,1247,787
D
+42.0%
3,2021,3024,522
D
+74.0%
3,1481884,000
D
+34.5%
2,6121,2653,903
D
+48.6%
2,7679563,724
D
+8.2%
3,3392,8336,172
R
−9.8%
3,4854,2497,832
D
+1.0%
2,4842,4265,901
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
13.9%
American
12.3%
German
9.2%
Irish
8.8%
Italian
3.1%
Scottish
2.2%
French
1.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
92.6%
speak English only
Spanish4.5%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.7%
Other Indo-European1.1%
Other languages0.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
13.3%
Methodist
13.0%
Other Christian
9.1%
Catholic & Orthodox
8.3%
Mainline Protestant
3.1%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.3%
Non-Christian
0.9%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 49.9% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

New Bern anchors a small metro at the confluence of the Neuse and Trent rivers, where military-connected households from nearby Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station contribute to a consistently right-of-center baseline in federal and statewide contests.

The shift began with civil rights. 2004 marked the realignment in New Bern, NC, by a twenty-four points margin. The Republican margin reached its widest at forty-eight points in 1972. The 2024 margin was twenty-two points.

The political shift has tracked, in New Bern, NC, the political shift of the South more broadly. A 67% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $64,793, and a 14% poverty rate describe the demographic context.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
New Bern, NC, North Carolina — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/35100/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did New Bern, NC, North Carolina vote in 2024?
In 2024, New Bern, NC, North Carolina voted Republican by 22.2 points (R+22), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 69,612 votes cast, 26,694 went Democratic and 42,115 went Republican.
What is New Bern, NC, North Carolina's political archetype?
Akashic classifies New Bern, NC, North Carolina as a "Old Confederacy" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 20 times, Republican 13 times, and other 1 times.
When did New Bern, NC, North Carolina last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which New Bern, NC, North Carolina voted Democratic was 2000.
How many people live in New Bern, NC, North Carolina?
New Bern, NC, North Carolina has a population of 124,304 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in New Bern, NC, North Carolina?
Median household income in New Bern, NC, North Carolina is $64,793 — below the national median of $80,734. The North Carolina state median is $72,388.
What is the political history of New Bern, NC, North Carolina?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in New Bern, NC, North Carolina from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 20 went Democratic and 13 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Old Confederacy" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.