akashic
1876–2024
New Philadelphia-Dover, OH·Ohio

New Philadelphia-Dover, OH peaked at D+41; 2024 delivered R+43.

Tuscarawas County anchors a durable Republican lean in Ohio's canal country

1876 — 2024·38 elections
OH
Latest
R+43
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
92,385
2024 ACS

New Philadelphia-Dover, OH, Ohio: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+43%. Republican peak: R+50 in 1928.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+43MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
PopulistAkashic typology
Population
92,3852024 5-year
Median household income
$65,0442024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
93.5%2024 5-year
Black
0.7%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
4.7%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+41 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+50 in 1928MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
1 counties · 0 D · 1 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−43.1%
12,03230,65243,211
R
−39.9%
12,88930,45844,015
R
−34.9%
12,18826,91842,154
R
−9.1%
18,40722,24242,052
D
+2.4%
21,49820,45443,057
R
−11.6%
18,85323,82942,906
R
−9.9%
15,87919,54937,118
D
+5.3%
15,24413,38834,755
D
+4.4%
14,78713,17936,894
R
−9.4%
14,18517,14531,589
R
−19.0%
13,14919,36632,754
R
−11.9%
12,11715,70830,086
D
+8.2%
16,88014,27931,841
R
−19.8%
12,25518,41331,169
D
+4.7%
15,61714,10232,461
D
+40.7%
23,6239,96233,585
R
−12.4%
16,08320,63736,720
R
−21.3%
12,90819,87632,784
R
−6.5%
16,33218,62034,952
D
+10.9%
14,79911,87326,817
D
+6.0%
16,18414,35730,541
D
+12.9%
19,00414,67533,679
D
+35.4%
21,99110,31732,965
D
+14.3%
16,64812,36929,905
R
−49.7%
6,80520,49427,568
R
−33.6%
5,56613,57323,825
R
−7.6%
10,16711,90822,919
D
+15.9%
7,6085,40413,872
D
+12.5%
4,9783,41712,496
D
+0.4%
6,7756,71714,205
R
−17.2%
4,9797,20312,917
D
+3.8%
6,8676,35513,467
D
+5.0%
6,8986,23513,225
D
+8.8%
5,7154,74611,045
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Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
26.9%
English
12.1%
Irish
12.0%
Italian
7.3%
American
6.9%
Scottish
2.6%
Polish
2.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 41.1 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.7%
85+
1.4%
2.7%
75–84
3.5%
5.8%
65–74
6.1%
6.6%
55–64
6.9%
6.1%
45–54
5.9%
5.9%
35–44
5.7%
6.2%
25–34
5.7%
4.0%
18–24
3.6%
8.9%
5–17
8.0%
3.2%
<5
3.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$65,044
New Philadelphia-Dover, OH ranks near the middle of US counties.
New Philadelphia-Dover, OH$65,044
Ohio$71,389
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
13.4%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1817.0%
Working age (18–64)12.5%
Seniors (65+)10.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
91.2%
speak English only
Other Indo-European5.4%
Spanish2.8%
Other languages0.6%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Other Christian
21.0%
Catholic & Orthodox
9.5%
Mainline Protestant
9.3%
Methodist
5.8%
Pentecostal & Holiness
3.6%
Baptist
0.6%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 50.2% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

This small metro in east-central Ohio has backed Republican presidential candidates by double-digit margins in recent cycles, shaped by a working-class manufacturing base and a rural Amish population that depresses overall turnout figures.

The Democratic margin in New Philadelphia-Dover, OH peaked at forty-one points in 1964. By 2012 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was forty-three points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.

The economic context is the key. The median household income of $65,044 sits well below state and national norms, and 13% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
New Philadelphia-Dover, OH, Ohio — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/35420/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did New Philadelphia-Dover, OH, Ohio vote in 2024?
In 2024, New Philadelphia-Dover, OH, Ohio voted Republican by 43.1 points (R+43), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 43,211 votes cast, 12,032 went Democratic and 30,652 went Republican.
What is New Philadelphia-Dover, OH, Ohio's political archetype?
Akashic classifies New Philadelphia-Dover, OH, Ohio as a "Populist" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 17 times, Republican 17 times, and other 0 times.
When did New Philadelphia-Dover, OH, Ohio last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which New Philadelphia-Dover, OH, Ohio voted Democratic was 2008.
How many people live in New Philadelphia-Dover, OH, Ohio?
New Philadelphia-Dover, OH, Ohio has a population of 92,385 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in New Philadelphia-Dover, OH, Ohio?
Median household income in New Philadelphia-Dover, OH, Ohio is $65,044 — below the national median of $80,734. The Ohio state median is $71,389.
What is the political history of New Philadelphia-Dover, OH, Ohio?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in New Philadelphia-Dover, OH, Ohio from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 17 went Democratic and 17 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.