akashic
1876–2024
New Ulm, MN·Minnesota

New Ulm, MN peaked at D+52; 2024 delivered R+35.

A small German-heritage city where rural Catholic identity shapes the ballot

18762024·38 elections
MN
Latest
R+35
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
25,800
2024 ACS

New Ulm, MN, Minnesota: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+35%. Republican peak: R+70 in 1920.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+35MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
PopulistAkashic typology
Population
25,8002024 5-year
Median household income
$69,3782024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
92.7%2024 5-year
Black
1.0%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
5.1%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+52 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+70 in 1920MIT Election Lab
1 counties · 0 D · 1 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−35.0%
4,5769,69214,598
R
−32.8%
4,7539,55214,635
R
−35.9%
3,7638,70813,779
R
−16.6%
5,6307,93813,929
R
−12.1%
5,8097,45613,620
R
−23.5%
5,1588,39513,778
R
−21.2%
4,6507,37012,834
R
−5.8%
4,8645,58012,359
R
−8.2%
4,2785,39013,621
R
−14.7%
5,1096,89812,173
R
−30.3%
4,4698,39912,977
R
−22.2%
4,9158,05114,122
R
−12.0%
5,7927,47914,039
R
−27.1%
4,3477,79112,729
R
−19.9%
4,5857,03912,350
D
+1.8%
6,0695,85111,937
R
−13.9%
5,3537,08412,453
R
−44.3%
3,0677,96511,059
R
−44.4%
3,1298,15211,308
R
−2.6%
4,8045,06810,016
R
−42.0%
2,8427,0189,949
R
−34.1%
3,6787,53311,301
D
+38.6%
6,6372,67910,267
D
+52.4%
6,7162,0278,955
D
+19.2%
5,3413,6119,016
O
−28.1%
2702,2557,076
R
−69.7%
7965,8417,240
R
−28.1%
1,1012,0783,482
D
+28.1%
1,3594723,161
D
+0.5%
1,5361,5183,357
R
−39.7%
8692,0733,031
R
−6.9%
1,4711,6953,256
R
−10.0%
1,4691,8073,383
R
−3.3%
1,0801,1742,807
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
56.8%
Irish
5.9%
English
3.6%
American
3.4%
Polish
2.0%
French
2.0%
Scottish
1.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
95.0%
speak English only
Spanish3.2%
Other Indo-European1.0%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.4%
Other languages0.3%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
45.5%
Mainline Protestant
37.7%
Methodist
2.8%
Other Christian
1.3%
Pentecostal & Holiness
0.4%
Non-Christian
0.2%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 12.1% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

New Ulm anchors Brown County, one of Minnesota's most reliably conservative enclaves, where German Lutheran and Catholic settlement patterns dating to the 1850s still correlate with voting margins that routinely diverge from statewide trends.

The Democratic margin in New Ulm, MN peaked at fifty-two points in 1932. By 1968 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was thirty-five points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.

The economic context is the key. The median household income of $69,378 sits well below state and national norms, and 9% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
New Ulm, MN, Minnesota — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/35580/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did New Ulm, MN, Minnesota vote in 2024?
In 2024, New Ulm, MN, Minnesota voted Republican by 35.0 points (R+35), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 14,598 votes cast, 4,576 went Democratic and 9,692 went Republican.
What is New Ulm, MN, Minnesota's political archetype?
Akashic classifies New Ulm, MN, Minnesota as a "Populist" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 6 times, Republican 27 times, and other 1 times.
When did New Ulm, MN, Minnesota last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which New Ulm, MN, Minnesota voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in New Ulm, MN, Minnesota?
New Ulm, MN, Minnesota has a population of 25,800 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in New Ulm, MN, Minnesota?
Median household income in New Ulm, MN, Minnesota is $69,378 — below the national median of $80,734. The Minnesota state median is $89,062.
What is the political history of New Ulm, MN, Minnesota?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in New Ulm, MN, Minnesota from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 27 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.