New Ulm, MN, Minnesota: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+35%. Republican peak: R+70 in 1920.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+35MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 25,8002024 5-year
- Median household income
- $69,3782024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+52 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+70 in 1920MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 4,576 | 9,692 | 14,598 | ||
| R | 4,753 | 9,552 | 14,635 | ||
| R | 3,763 | 8,708 | 13,779 | ||
| R | 5,630 | 7,938 | 13,929 | ||
| R | 5,809 | 7,456 | 13,620 | ||
| R | 5,158 | 8,395 | 13,778 | ||
| R | 4,650 | 7,370 | 12,834 | ||
| R | 4,864 | 5,580 | 12,359 | ||
| R | 4,278 | 5,390 | 13,621 | ||
| R | 5,109 | 6,898 | 12,173 | ||
| R | 4,469 | 8,399 | 12,977 | ||
| R | 4,915 | 8,051 | 14,122 | ||
| R | 5,792 | 7,479 | 14,039 | ||
| R | 4,347 | 7,791 | 12,729 | ||
| R | 4,585 | 7,039 | 12,350 | ||
| D | 6,069 | 5,851 | 11,937 | ||
| R | 5,353 | 7,084 | 12,453 | ||
| R | 3,067 | 7,965 | 11,059 | ||
| R | 3,129 | 8,152 | 11,308 | ||
| R | 4,804 | 5,068 | 10,016 | ||
| R | 2,842 | 7,018 | 9,949 | ||
| R | 3,678 | 7,533 | 11,301 | ||
| D | 6,637 | 2,679 | 10,267 | ||
| D | 6,716 | 2,027 | 8,955 | ||
| D | 5,341 | 3,611 | 9,016 | ||
| O | 270 | 2,255 | 7,076 | ||
| R | 796 | 5,841 | 7,240 | ||
| R | 1,101 | 2,078 | 3,482 | ||
| D | 1,359 | 472 | 3,161 | ||
| D | 1,536 | 1,518 | 3,357 | ||
| R | 869 | 2,073 | 3,031 | ||
| R | 1,471 | 1,695 | 3,256 | ||
| R | 1,469 | 1,807 | 3,383 | ||
| R | 1,080 | 1,174 | 2,807 | ||
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Demographics
New Ulm anchors Brown County, one of Minnesota's most reliably conservative enclaves, where German Lutheran and Catholic settlement patterns dating to the 1850s still correlate with voting margins that routinely diverge from statewide trends.
The Democratic margin in New Ulm, MN peaked at fifty-two points in 1932. By 1968 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was thirty-five points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $69,378 sits well below state and national norms, and 9% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
New Ulm, MN, Minnesota — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/35580/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.