New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ, New Jersey: Urban anchor metro. In 2024, voted D+15%. Republican peak: R+37 in 1920.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+15MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- Urban anchorAkashic typology
- Population
- 19,798,5372024 5-year
- Median household income
- $102,1642024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 45.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 15.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 25.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+35 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+37 in 1920MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 4,561,803 | 3,377,483 | 8,086,492 | ||
| D | 5,412,113 | 3,025,487 | 8,509,922 | ||
| D | 4,733,875 | 2,530,782 | 7,530,017 | ||
| D | 4,441,490 | 2,284,983 | 6,803,573 | ||
| D | 4,693,052 | 2,552,620 | 7,305,003 | ||
| D | 4,148,559 | 2,665,011 | 6,886,717 | ||
| D | 3,947,538 | 2,026,318 | 6,210,580 | ||
| D | 3,559,422 | 1,730,615 | 5,757,989 | ||
| D | 3,259,692 | 2,240,581 | 6,290,868 | ||
| D | 2,991,492 | 2,902,093 | 5,955,379 | ||
| R | 2,897,434 | 3,366,733 | 6,295,935 | ||
| R | 2,426,316 | 2,769,520 | 5,697,378 | ||
| D | 3,217,761 | 2,732,811 | 6,020,269 | ||
| R | 2,749,757 | 3,782,659 | 6,580,853 | ||
| D | 3,156,896 | 2,724,779 | 6,325,774 | ||
| D | 4,470,404 | 2,125,441 | 6,615,641 | ||
| D | 3,565,954 | 2,955,865 | 6,556,255 | ||
| R | 2,571,060 | 3,685,943 | 6,280,927 | ||
| R | 2,911,147 | 3,283,254 | 6,287,022 | ||
| D | 2,485,902 | 2,345,834 | 5,383,693 | ||
| D | 3,015,091 | 2,477,633 | 5,524,508 | ||
| D | 2,950,436 | 2,415,437 | 5,404,770 | ||
| D | 3,102,162 | 1,519,891 | 4,715,920 | ||
| D | 2,298,288 | 1,400,429 | 3,899,618 | ||
| D | 1,821,035 | 1,608,753 | 3,508,220 | ||
| R | 782,467 | 1,293,942 | 2,484,138 | ||
| R | 584,981 | 1,393,278 | 2,163,608 | ||
| R | 553,546 | 581,641 | 1,181,118 | ||
| D | 486,921 | 215,332 | 1,084,333 | ||
| R | 452,469 | 548,918 | 1,077,123 | ||
| R | 486,785 | 511,963 | 1,051,996 | ||
| R | 466,817 | 481,286 | 977,506 | ||
| R | 347,471 | 480,871 | 868,333 | ||
| D | 448,416 | 318,492 | 794,582 | ||
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Demographics
The tri-state metro consistently delivers Democratic presidential margins above 30 points, driven by dense urban cores in Manhattan, Brooklyn, and Newark, while suburban counties in New Jersey and Long Island remain perennial battlegrounds for statewide races.
The Democratic margin in New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ has been steady. It reached its modern peak at thirty-five points in 1964; the 2024 margin was fifteen points, still in line with the metro's long pattern.
Its political identity is inseparable from its demographic profile: a 46% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $102,164, and the full diversity of a major metropolitan center.
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ, New Jersey — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/35620/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.