akashic
1876–2024
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ·New Jersey

New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ has voted Democratic by double digits in every cycle this century.

20 million residents anchoring the Northeast's dominant media and finance hub

18762024·38 elections
NJ
Latest
D+15
in 2024
Archetype
Urban anchor
since the recent cycles
Population
19,798,537
2024 ACS

New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ, New Jersey: Urban anchor metro. In 2024, voted D+15%. Republican peak: R+37 in 1920.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+15MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
Urban anchorAkashic typology
Population
19,798,5372024 5-year
Median household income
$102,1642024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
45.8%2024 5-year
Black
15.8%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
25.7%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+35 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+37 in 1920MIT Election Lab
22 counties · 11 D · 11 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+14.6%
4,561,8033,377,4838,086,492
D
+28.0%
5,412,1133,025,4878,509,922
D
+29.3%
4,733,8752,530,7827,530,017
D
+31.7%
4,441,4902,284,9836,803,573
D
+29.3%
4,693,0522,552,6207,305,003
D
+21.5%
4,148,5592,665,0116,886,717
D
+30.9%
3,947,5382,026,3186,210,580
D
+31.8%
3,559,4221,730,6155,757,989
D
+16.2%
3,259,6922,240,5816,290,868
D
+1.5%
2,991,4922,902,0935,955,379
R
−7.5%
2,897,4343,366,7336,295,935
R
−6.0%
2,426,3162,769,5205,697,378
D
+8.1%
3,217,7612,732,8116,020,269
R
−15.7%
2,749,7573,782,6596,580,853
D
+6.8%
3,156,8962,724,7796,325,774
D
+35.4%
4,470,4042,125,4416,615,641
D
+9.3%
3,565,9542,955,8656,556,255
R
−17.8%
2,571,0603,685,9436,280,927
R
−5.9%
2,911,1473,283,2546,287,022
D
+2.6%
2,485,9022,345,8345,383,693
D
+9.7%
3,015,0912,477,6335,524,508
D
+9.9%
2,950,4362,415,4375,404,770
D
+33.6%
3,102,1621,519,8914,715,920
D
+23.0%
2,298,2881,400,4293,899,618
D
+6.1%
1,821,0351,608,7533,508,220
R
−20.6%
782,4671,293,9422,484,138
R
−37.4%
584,9811,393,2782,163,608
R
−2.4%
553,546581,6411,181,118
D
+25.0%
486,921215,3321,084,333
R
−9.0%
452,469548,9181,077,123
R
−2.4%
486,785511,9631,051,996
R
−1.5%
466,817481,286977,506
R
−15.4%
347,471480,871868,333
D
+16.4%
448,416318,492794,582
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
Italian
10.8%
Irish
8.5%
German
5.6%
American
3.8%
Polish
3.3%
English
3.0%
French
0.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
59.8%
speak English only
Spanish20.0%
Other Indo-European11.2%
Asian & Pacific Islander6.6%
Other languages2.5%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
33.4%
Non-Christian
10.2%
Other Christian
4.4%
Mainline Protestant
1.9%
Baptist
1.6%
Methodist
1.1%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.0%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 46.3% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

The tri-state metro consistently delivers Democratic presidential margins above 30 points, driven by dense urban cores in Manhattan, Brooklyn, and Newark, while suburban counties in New Jersey and Long Island remain perennial battlegrounds for statewide races.

The Democratic margin in New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ has been steady. It reached its modern peak at thirty-five points in 1964; the 2024 margin was fifteen points, still in line with the metro's long pattern.

Its political identity is inseparable from its demographic profile: a 46% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $102,164, and the full diversity of a major metropolitan center.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ, New Jersey — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/35620/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ, New Jersey vote in 2024?
In 2024, New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ, New Jersey voted Democratic by 14.6 points (D+15), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 8,086,492 votes cast, 4,561,803 went Democratic and 3,377,483 went Republican.
What is New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ, New Jersey's political archetype?
Akashic classifies New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ, New Jersey as a "Urban anchor" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 22 times, Republican 12 times, and other 0 times.
When did New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ, New Jersey last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ, New Jersey voted Republican was 1984.
How many people live in New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ, New Jersey?
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ, New Jersey has a population of 19,798,537 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ, New Jersey?
Median household income in New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ, New Jersey is $102,164 — above the national median of $80,734. The New Jersey state median is $103,556.
What is the political history of New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ, New Jersey?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ, New Jersey from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 22 went Democratic and 12 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Urban anchor" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.