North Port-Bradenton-Sarasota, FL, Florida: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+21%. Democratic peak: D+83 in 1892.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+21MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 889,3392024 5-year
- Median household income
- $81,0192024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 77.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 14.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+83 in 1892MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+60 in 1972MIT Election Lab
Constituent county margins for North Port-Bradenton-Sarasota, FL, FLOne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 199,217 | 303,645 | 506,535 | ||
| R | 210,276 | 273,357 | 487,533 | ||
| R | 169,094 | 226,382 | 408,021 | ||
| R | 161,622 | 196,131 | 360,971 | ||
| R | 172,720 | 183,618 | 359,347 | ||
| R | 149,704 | 186,010 | 339,273 | ||
| R | 122,095 | 141,140 | 271,321 | ||
| R | 105,556 | 113,349 | 245,864 | ||
| R | 88,393 | 109,580 | 256,572 | ||
| R | 68,723 | 135,789 | 205,522 | ||
| R | 51,414 | 143,564 | 195,053 | ||
| R | 47,300 | 108,600 | 164,841 | ||
| R | 50,635 | 73,457 | 125,838 | ||
| R | 20,293 | 81,603 | 102,150 | ||
| R | 18,413 | 48,407 | 82,075 | ||
| R | 27,011 | 39,064 | 66,075 | ||
| R | 17,101 | 36,457 | 53,558 | ||
| R | 10,446 | 25,841 | 36,287 | ||
| R | 8,528 | 18,593 | 27,121 | ||
| R | 5,068 | 6,930 | 14,735 | ||
| D | 7,987 | 4,327 | 12,314 | ||
| D | 8,904 | 3,655 | 12,559 | ||
| D | 5,905 | 2,510 | 8,415 | ||
| D | 4,806 | 1,947 | 6,753 | ||
| R | 2,653 | 4,308 | 7,074 | ||
| D | 1,268 | 816 | 2,395 | ||
| D | 1,790 | 884 | 2,867 | ||
| D | 1,033 | 289 | 1,548 | ||
| D | 712 | 55 | 1,036 | ||
| D | 644 | 93 | 909 | ||
| D | 592 | 91 | 855 | ||
| D | 535 | 60 | 688 | ||
| D | 480 | 135 | 635 | ||
| D | 348 | 0 | 418 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| D | 670 | 216 | 886 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — |
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
15.0%
English
12.4%
Irish
12.1%
American
8.7%
Italian
7.8%
Polish
3.6%
French
2.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 53.6 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$81,019
North Port-Bradenton-Sarasota, FL ranks near the middle of US counties.
North Port-Bradenton-Sarasota, FL$81,019
Florida$74,568
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
9.2%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1812.4%
Working age (18–64)8.6%
Seniors (65+)8.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
82.8%
speak English only
Spanish10.5%
Other Indo-European4.9%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.3%
Other languages0.5%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 56.5% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Sarasota and Manatee counties have absorbed decades of Midwestern and Northeastern retirees, producing an older, college-educated electorate that swings presidential margins but anchors Republican lean in down-ballot races.
The Democratic margin in North Port-Bradenton-Sarasota, FL peaked at eighty-three points in 1892. By 1948 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was twenty-one points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $81,019 sits well below state and national norms, and 9% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
North Port-Bradenton-Sarasota, FL, Florida — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/35840/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did North Port-Bradenton-Sarasota, FL, Florida vote in 2024?
In 2024, North Port-Bradenton-Sarasota, FL, Florida voted Republican by 20.6 points (R+21), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 506,535 votes cast, 199,217 went Democratic and 303,645 went Republican.
What is North Port-Bradenton-Sarasota, FL, Florida's political archetype?
Akashic classifies North Port-Bradenton-Sarasota, FL, Florida as a "Populist" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 14 times, Republican 21 times, and other 0 times.
When did North Port-Bradenton-Sarasota, FL, Florida last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which North Port-Bradenton-Sarasota, FL, Florida voted Democratic was 1944.
How many people live in North Port-Bradenton-Sarasota, FL, Florida?
North Port-Bradenton-Sarasota, FL, Florida has a population of 889,339 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in North Port-Bradenton-Sarasota, FL, Florida?
Median household income in North Port-Bradenton-Sarasota, FL, Florida is $81,019 — above the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of North Port-Bradenton-Sarasota, FL, Florida?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in North Port-Bradenton-Sarasota, FL, Florida from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 14 went Democratic and 21 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.