Oak Harbor, WA, Washington: Tossup metro. In 2024, voted D+16%. Republican peak: R+58 in 1904.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+16MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- TossupAkashic typology
- Population
- 86,8362024 5-year
- Median household income
- $90,5512024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 77.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 8.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+27 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+58 in 1904MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 29,595 | 20,967 | 52,449 | ||
| D | 29,213 | 22,746 | 53,925 | ||
| D | 20,960 | 18,465 | 44,273 | ||
| D | 21,478 | 19,605 | 42,372 | ||
| D | 22,058 | 19,426 | 42,159 | ||
| R | 18,216 | 19,754 | 38,580 | ||
| R | 14,778 | 16,408 | 33,004 | ||
| R | 12,157 | 12,387 | 28,464 | ||
| D | 9,555 | 9,526 | 27,168 | ||
| R | 8,510 | 12,552 | 21,353 | ||
| R | 6,850 | 13,548 | 20,616 | ||
| R | 5,422 | 10,926 | 18,559 | ||
| R | 5,859 | 7,804 | 14,104 | ||
| R | 3,149 | 7,495 | 11,003 | ||
| R | 3,238 | 4,077 | 8,000 | ||
| D | 3,946 | 3,044 | 6,999 | ||
| R | 2,470 | 3,596 | 6,094 | ||
| R | 2,009 | 3,196 | 5,222 | ||
| R | 1,772 | 2,901 | 4,703 | ||
| R | 1,694 | 1,805 | 3,680 | ||
| D | 1,662 | 1,487 | 3,187 | ||
| D | 1,626 | 1,371 | 3,057 | ||
| D | 1,687 | 921 | 2,813 | ||
| D | 1,517 | 803 | 2,662 | ||
| R | 556 | 1,487 | 2,087 | ||
| O | 114 | 832 | 1,799 | ||
| R | 285 | 883 | 1,725 | ||
| D | 855 | 804 | 1,845 | ||
| O | 310 | 332 | 1,573 | ||
| R | 192 | 450 | 773 | ||
| R | 83 | 424 | 589 | ||
| R | 123 | 263 | 420 | ||
| R | 191 | 206 | 405 | ||
| R | 127 | 161 | 396 | ||
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Demographics
Home to Naval Air Station Whidbey Island, Oak Harbor anchors a community where military families make up an outsized share of residents, consistently producing Republican presidential margins well above Washington state's suburban averages.
The metro's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached twenty-seven points in 1936; the Republican margin reached fifty-eight points in 1904. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.
Its demographics — a population of 86,836, a 78% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $90,551 — situate the metro close to national averages on several dimensions.
Oak Harbor, WA, Washington — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/36020/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.