Ocala, FL, Florida: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+32%. Democratic peak: D+72 in 1936.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+32MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 400,0782024 5-year
- Median household income
- $61,0102024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 69.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 12.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 17.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+72 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+57 in 1972MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 72,424 | 140,168 | 214,089 | ||
| R | 74,858 | 127,826 | 204,376 | ||
| R | 62,041 | 107,833 | 174,700 | ||
| R | 66,831 | 93,043 | 161,385 | ||
| R | 70,839 | 89,628 | 162,022 | ||
| R | 57,271 | 81,283 | 139,677 | ||
| R | 44,674 | 55,146 | 102,971 | ||
| R | 37,045 | 41,409 | 90,171 | ||
| R | 30,829 | 35,442 | 86,989 | ||
| R | 20,685 | 41,501 | 62,520 | ||
| R | 16,225 | 37,815 | 54,046 | ||
| R | 15,400 | 23,743 | 40,592 | ||
| D | 16,963 | 16,163 | 33,679 | ||
| R | 5,397 | 19,505 | 24,948 | ||
| O | 5,798 | 7,468 | 22,866 | ||
| R | 9,112 | 10,879 | 19,991 | ||
| D | 7,206 | 7,043 | 14,249 | ||
| R | 6,114 | 6,362 | 12,476 | ||
| R | 5,854 | 6,134 | 11,988 | ||
| D | 4,650 | 1,829 | 8,156 | ||
| D | 5,597 | 1,642 | 7,239 | ||
| D | 6,127 | 1,297 | 7,424 | ||
| D | 4,664 | 760 | 5,424 | ||
| D | 3,208 | 962 | 4,170 | ||
| R | 1,863 | 1,927 | 3,873 | ||
| D | 1,528 | 359 | 2,081 | ||
| D | 2,436 | 1,232 | 3,902 | ||
| D | 1,567 | 462 | 2,369 | ||
| D | 1,165 | 179 | 1,647 | ||
| D | 1,352 | 482 | 2,186 | ||
| D | 1,091 | 230 | 1,452 | ||
| D | 1,132 | 264 | 1,499 | ||
| D | 1,230 | 480 | 1,871 | ||
| D | 1,133 | 0 | 1,683 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| R | 1,494 | 2,007 | 3,501 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — |
Demographics
The Ocala metro, anchored by Marion County's retiree-heavy and horse-country economy, swung to within 1 point in 2024 after posting double-digit Republican margins for much of the past decade.
The Democratic margin in Ocala, FL peaked at seventy-two points in 1936. By 1980 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was thirty-two points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $61,010 sits well below state and national norms, and 14% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Ocala, FL, Florida — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/36100/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.