Oil City, PA, Pennsylvania: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+42%. Republican peak: R+61 in 1924.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+42MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 49,8012024 5-year
- Median household income
- $61,5222024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 93.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+14 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+61 in 1924MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 7,624 | 18,883 | 26,809 | ||
| R | 7,585 | 18,569 | 26,528 | ||
| R | 6,309 | 16,021 | 23,530 | ||
| R | 7,945 | 13,815 | 22,257 | ||
| R | 9,238 | 13,718 | 23,307 | ||
| R | 9,024 | 14,472 | 23,659 | ||
| R | 8,196 | 11,642 | 20,541 | ||
| R | 8,205 | 8,398 | 19,549 | ||
| R | 8,230 | 8,545 | 21,554 | ||
| R | 8,624 | 11,468 | 20,263 | ||
| R | 9,114 | 13,507 | 22,725 | ||
| R | 7,800 | 11,547 | 20,604 | ||
| R | 8,653 | 12,270 | 21,311 | ||
| R | 6,302 | 13,991 | 20,794 | ||
| R | 8,319 | 12,323 | 21,949 | ||
| D | 13,065 | 9,873 | 23,022 | ||
| R | 8,064 | 17,193 | 25,280 | ||
| R | 5,594 | 17,107 | 22,715 | ||
| R | 6,356 | 17,006 | 23,566 | ||
| R | 5,144 | 11,920 | 17,536 | ||
| R | 6,426 | 14,916 | 21,646 | ||
| R | 6,873 | 17,728 | 24,658 | ||
| R | 9,212 | 17,676 | 27,565 | ||
| R | 6,174 | 12,230 | 19,088 | ||
| R | 4,531 | 17,450 | 22,089 | ||
| R | 1,886 | 10,841 | 14,592 | ||
| R | 2,669 | 7,718 | 11,746 | ||
| D | 3,938 | 3,856 | 9,410 | ||
| O | 2,507 | 1,660 | 9,092 | ||
| R | 2,815 | 4,868 | 9,788 | ||
| R | 1,747 | 5,892 | 10,278 | ||
| R | 4,014 | 5,931 | 11,244 | ||
| R | 4,599 | 5,133 | 10,304 | ||
| R | 3,288 | 4,099 | 8,313 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — |
Demographics
Venango County's Allegheny River corridor has shed roughly half its population since the mid-20th century, and Oil City anchors a district where working-class realignment has steadily widened Republican margins in statewide races over the past two decades.
The Democratic margin in Oil City, PA peaked at fourteen points in 1964. By 1968 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was forty-two points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $61,522 sits well below state and national norms, and 13% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Oil City, PA, Pennsylvania — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/36340/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.