Oklahoma City, OK, Oklahoma: Bellwether metro. In 2024, voted R+18%. Republican peak: R+50 in 1972.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+18MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 1,463,2672024 5-year
- Median household income
- $72,6412024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 64.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 9.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 15.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+39 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+50 in 1972MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 226,419 | 329,020 | 567,585 | ||
| R | 224,083 | 316,731 | 555,257 | ||
| R | 176,770 | 299,065 | 510,818 | ||
| R | 168,267 | 292,281 | 460,548 | ||
| R | 185,581 | 313,763 | 499,344 | ||
| R | 159,639 | 319,558 | 479,197 | ||
| R | 136,115 | 241,514 | 382,028 | ||
| R | 134,648 | 197,808 | 369,008 | ||
| R | 125,802 | 201,865 | 428,364 | ||
| R | 124,443 | 215,682 | 343,099 | ||
| R | 95,958 | 257,251 | 357,085 | ||
| R | 92,987 | 210,778 | 323,796 | ||
| R | 135,312 | 166,925 | 307,946 | ||
| R | 70,332 | 218,672 | 295,491 | ||
| R | 84,003 | 125,653 | 258,148 | ||
| D | 128,543 | 111,357 | 239,900 | ||
| R | 89,165 | 137,090 | 226,255 | ||
| R | 83,933 | 116,454 | 200,387 | ||
| R | 99,018 | 131,554 | 230,572 | ||
| D | 92,687 | 59,066 | 151,753 | ||
| D | 86,547 | 65,728 | 152,522 | ||
| D | 86,954 | 61,855 | 149,361 | ||
| D | 87,830 | 44,545 | 133,062 | ||
| D | 81,614 | 35,971 | 117,585 | ||
| R | 31,386 | 66,483 | 98,667 | ||
| D | 40,873 | 34,784 | 83,891 | ||
| R | 35,266 | 36,529 | 75,234 | ||
| D | 20,667 | 14,375 | 40,453 | ||
| D | 18,168 | 15,147 | 37,783 | ||
| R | 17,710 | 17,966 | 38,261 | ||
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Demographics
Oklahoma City's metro has trended reliably Republican in federal races, but rapid expansion in the outer suburbs — particularly in Canadian County — has introduced demographic churn that analysts watch for shifts in down-ballot results.
The Democratic margin in Oklahoma City, OK has rarely exceeded thirty-nine points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded fifty points. 2024 delivered the metro to the Republican candidate by eighteen points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most metros. A 64% non-Hispanic-white share, a 14% poverty rate, and a median household income of $72,641 — all within the broad national range.
Oklahoma City, OK, Oklahoma — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/36420/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.