Omaha, NE-IA, Nebraska: Bellwether metro. In 2024, voted R+4%. Republican peak: R+38 in 1972.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+4MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 982,0642024 5-year
- Median household income
- $85,4332024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 75.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 7.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 12.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+29 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+38 in 1972MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 226,647 | 243,452 | 479,274 | ||
| R | 226,701 | 236,351 | 475,479 | ||
| R | 170,037 | 211,067 | 414,020 | ||
| R | 169,561 | 207,799 | 384,990 | ||
| R | 184,018 | 194,169 | 384,557 | ||
| R | 132,162 | 216,057 | 352,813 | ||
| R | 116,358 | 173,863 | 303,184 | ||
| R | 109,936 | 150,816 | 290,700 | ||
| R | 102,787 | 147,554 | 318,414 | ||
| R | 117,191 | 157,331 | 276,268 | ||
| R | 88,606 | 178,610 | 268,862 | ||
| R | 76,957 | 155,751 | 254,725 | ||
| R | 98,097 | 140,046 | 243,196 | ||
| R | 69,315 | 154,142 | 224,313 | ||
| R | 73,252 | 108,325 | 204,868 | ||
| D | 118,516 | 94,796 | 213,345 | ||
| R | 95,344 | 117,256 | 212,622 | ||
| R | 78,737 | 116,794 | 195,671 | ||
| R | 82,428 | 118,383 | 200,912 | ||
| D | 79,012 | 78,775 | 158,166 | ||
| D | 94,092 | 92,485 | 186,712 | ||
| D | 103,202 | 93,929 | 197,200 | ||
| D | 113,212 | 67,584 | 183,357 | ||
| D | 105,419 | 57,494 | 165,440 | ||
| R | 69,101 | 86,026 | 156,040 | ||
| R | 36,559 | 61,605 | 129,329 | ||
| R | 36,979 | 63,238 | 104,260 | ||
| D | 43,732 | 30,932 | 77,755 | ||
| D | 27,496 | 13,153 | 63,329 | ||
| D | 32,666 | 32,329 | 67,111 | ||
| R | 17,559 | 36,189 | 60,854 | ||
| R | 30,707 | 34,086 | 66,029 | ||
| R | 30,151 | 30,159 | 61,455 | ||
| D | 24,526 | 13,842 | 53,566 | ||
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Demographics
Omaha anchors Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District, which allocates one Electoral College vote by district winner — a quirk that made it a genuine presidential battleground and drew outsized national campaign spending in recent cycles.
The Democratic margin in Omaha, NE-IA has rarely exceeded twenty-nine points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded thirty-eight points. 2024 delivered the metro to the Republican candidate by four points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most metros. A 75% non-Hispanic-white share, a 10% poverty rate, and a median household income of $85,433 — all within the broad national range.
Omaha, NE-IA, Nebraska — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/36540/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.