akashic
1876–2024
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL·Florida

Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL delivered D+1 in 2024 — close enough to flip again next time.

A theme-park economy anchors one of Florida's fastest-diversifying metros

1876 — 2024·38 elections
FL
Latest
D+1
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
2,793,746
2024 ACS

Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL, Florida: Tossup metro. In 2024, voted D+1%. Democratic peak: D+89 in 1892.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+1MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
TossupAkashic typology
Population
2,793,7462024 5-year
Median household income
$78,7082024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
48.1%2024 5-year
Black
15.8%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
33.3%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+89 in 1892MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+61 in 1972MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
4 counties · 1 D · 3 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+1.2%
630,032615,1121,260,118
D
+10.7%
708,344569,9781,291,968
D
+11.7%
584,104457,1481,081,839
D
+7.7%
499,148426,767934,488
D
+8.8%
495,254414,790916,202
R
−7.8%
357,179418,217780,393
R
−4.0%
264,221286,568562,261
R
−3.7%
202,223219,290466,444
R
−12.6%
156,553215,857469,625
R
−38.9%
103,236236,320342,381
R
−46.2%
85,392231,979317,600
R
−30.1%
85,941165,104263,391
R
−11.0%
99,313124,144226,212
R
−61.2%
37,021154,573192,156
R
−26.7%
35,13777,630159,193
R
−13.1%
58,67776,375135,052
R
−40.5%
31,73474,850106,584
R
−41.5%
23,90657,81381,719
R
−38.1%
20,95846,76167,719
R
−3.3%
17,37518,79042,470
D
+19.2%
21,03414,27135,305
D
+26.1%
23,30813,65436,962
D
+29.7%
15,5618,42623,987
D
+23.7%
11,7457,24318,988
R
−34.8%
6,40413,45520,241
D
+15.2%
5,0933,56210,055
D
+19.0%
5,9683,98310,455
D
+38.5%
3,3641,3535,222
D
+54.6%
2,3644303,543
D
+31.2%
1,6327662,778
D
+49.2%
1,6745282,328
D
+41.9%
1,6155872,452
D
+36.7%
2,2309853,390
D
+89.3%
2,53802,842
—
No data
———
D
+25.4%
1,8671,1102,977
—
No data
———
—
No data
———

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
9.4%
German
8.0%
English
7.3%
Irish
7.1%
Italian
4.9%
Polish
1.8%
French
1.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 38.7 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.7%
85+
1.1%
2.1%
75–84
2.7%
4.2%
65–74
5.0%
5.8%
55–64
6.1%
6.3%
45–54
6.5%
7.2%
35–44
7.2%
7.3%
25–34
7.3%
4.5%
18–24
4.6%
8.1%
5–17
7.7%
2.8%
<5
2.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$78,708
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL ranks near the middle of US counties.
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL$78,708
Florida$74,568
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
11.7%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1814.4%
Working age (18–64)10.8%
Seniors (65+)13.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
65.0%
speak English only
Spanish25.5%
Other Indo-European6.2%
Asian & Pacific Islander2.3%
Other languages1.0%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
17.9%
Other Christian
15.6%
Baptist
5.7%
Pentecostal & Holiness
3.1%
Non-Christian
2.2%
Methodist
2.1%
Mainline Protestant
1.7%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 51.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Puerto Rican migration over the past two decades has reshaped Orlando's electorate, making it a bellwether corridor where hospitality-sector employment and rapid Latino population growth interact in ways that consistently complicate statewide forecasts.

The metro's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached eighty-nine points in 1892; the Republican margin reached sixty-one points in 1972. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Its demographics — a population of 2,793,746, a 48% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $78,708 — situate the metro close to national averages on several dimensions.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL, Florida — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/36740/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL, Florida vote in 2024?
In 2024, Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL, Florida voted Democratic by 1.2 points (D+1), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 1,260,118 votes cast, 630,032 went Democratic and 615,112 went Republican.
What is Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL, Florida's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL, Florida as a "Tossup" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 19 times, Republican 16 times, and other 0 times.
When did Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL, Florida last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL, Florida voted Republican was 2004.
How many people live in Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL, Florida?
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL, Florida has a population of 2,793,746 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL, Florida?
Median household income in Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL, Florida is $78,708 — below the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL, Florida?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL, Florida from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 19 went Democratic and 16 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Tossup" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.