akashic
1876–2024
Oshkosh-Neenah, WI·Wisconsin

Oshkosh-Neenah, WI was solidly Democratic for decades. In the last twenty years, it flipped.

Fox River manufacturing corridor where margins stay razor-thin

18762024·38 elections
WI
Latest
R+5
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
171,769
2024 ACS

Oshkosh-Neenah, WI, Wisconsin: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+5%. Republican peak: R+50 in 1920.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+5MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
PopulistAkashic typology
Population
171,7692024 5-year
Median household income
$74,9252024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
86.5%2024 5-year
Black
2.8%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
5.1%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+24 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+50 in 1920MIT Election Lab
1 counties · 0 D · 1 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−4.7%
44,66049,17995,371
R
−4.0%
44,06047,79694,032
R
−7.3%
37,04743,44587,135
D
+3.7%
45,44942,12289,173
D
+11.7%
48,16737,94687,677
R
−6.3%
40,94346,54288,596
R
−5.7%
33,98338,33076,080
D
+2.6%
29,56427,88065,247
R
−8.4%
27,23433,70977,386
R
−10.3%
28,50835,08564,003
R
−26.1%
22,79139,01462,183
R
−15.7%
24,20334,28664,353
R
−13.2%
24,48532,14958,082
R
−17.6%
20,45029,48851,482
R
−14.3%
18,60525,36147,104
D
+5.7%
23,63621,08444,835
R
−23.6%
17,65628,59846,334
R
−43.8%
11,11528,75940,254
R
−36.7%
13,01628,17241,328
R
−13.0%
13,11617,16531,110
R
−20.0%
12,84119,31032,420
R
−9.1%
15,57018,69734,535
D
+21.6%
18,52211,67931,621
D
+14.7%
15,59111,50527,852
R
−23.4%
9,99516,19126,501
R
−40.9%
1,80111,23923,078
R
−49.9%
3,39712,03517,308
R
−5.8%
5,2425,92311,731
O
+24.0%
4,6311,92211,296
R
−9.9%
5,5116,79713,011
R
−30.1%
4,0067,72012,326
R
−13.9%
5,6057,46713,414
R
−21.1%
5,0897,89813,334
D
+4.5%
5,8935,35411,882
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
42.7%
Irish
10.1%
Polish
6.8%
English
6.5%
American
4.2%
French
3.0%
Italian
2.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
94.1%
speak English only
Spanish2.4%
Asian & Pacific Islander2.1%
Other Indo-European1.1%
Other languages0.3%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
18.8%
Mainline Protestant
15.2%
Other Christian
6.5%
Non-Christian
1.6%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.5%
Methodist
1.0%
Baptist
0.1%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 55.3% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Spanning Winnebago County along the Fox River, this mid-size metro blends paper-industry heritage with a growing healthcare sector, producing presidential-race margins that have flipped between parties in consecutive cycles.

The Democratic margin in Oshkosh-Neenah, WI peaked at twenty-four points in 1912. By 2016 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was five points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.

The economic context is the key. The median household income of $74,925 sits well below state and national norms, and 11% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Oshkosh-Neenah, WI, Wisconsin — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/36780/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Oshkosh-Neenah, WI, Wisconsin vote in 2024?
In 2024, Oshkosh-Neenah, WI, Wisconsin voted Republican by 4.7 points (R+5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 95,371 votes cast, 44,660 went Democratic and 49,179 went Republican.
What is Oshkosh-Neenah, WI, Wisconsin's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Oshkosh-Neenah, WI, Wisconsin as a "Populist" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 7 times, Republican 26 times, and other 1 times.
When did Oshkosh-Neenah, WI, Wisconsin last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Oshkosh-Neenah, WI, Wisconsin voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Oshkosh-Neenah, WI, Wisconsin?
Oshkosh-Neenah, WI, Wisconsin has a population of 171,769 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Oshkosh-Neenah, WI, Wisconsin?
Median household income in Oshkosh-Neenah, WI, Wisconsin is $74,925 — below the national median of $80,734. The Wisconsin state median is $77,485.
What is the political history of Oshkosh-Neenah, WI, Wisconsin?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Oshkosh-Neenah, WI, Wisconsin from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 7 went Democratic and 26 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.